which is more likely to flip TO D?
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Question: which is more likely to flip TO D?
#1
Wyoming		  
#2
Utah		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 60

Author Topic: which is more likely to flip TO D?  (Read 525 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: June 06, 2017, 08:57:44 PM »
In absolute D landslide, which would more likely flip?
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2017, 09:21:13 PM »
My personal calculations based on the 2016 election results indicate that it would take a 1920 or 1924 PV margin in order to make WY flip to D, while it would take only take a 1872 PV margin to make UT flip to D.
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #2 on: June 06, 2017, 10:25:19 PM »
Utah, because it only requires Trump making one group (Mormons) mad.
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #3 on: June 06, 2017, 10:58:04 PM »
Utah
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Wikipedia delenda est
HenryWallaceVP
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« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2017, 06:12:19 PM »
Seeing how it trended in 2016, Utah is more likely to flip Democratic. Wyoming is the most Republican state in the country, and even in a Democratic landslide it would stay Republican.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2017, 05:58:43 PM »
Utah: the GOP is way more likely to lose Mormons than resource extractors.
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Progressive Power
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« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2017, 11:45:33 PM »
Utah. This isn't 1936, when FDR swept most of the country. Basically the GOP candidate would have to be caught murdering people on live TV if the Dems have any chance at winning Wyoming ever again.

However, a conservative independent, like McMullin, would have to successfully split the conservative vote if the Dems win Utah again.
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