UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread
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Author Topic: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 145320 times)
BlueDogDemocrat
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« Reply #250 on: June 08, 2017, 04:31:53 PM »

BBC saying Amber Rudd in danger of losing her seat.

"Were you up for portillo?"
I was thinking the same thing
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #251 on: June 08, 2017, 04:32:07 PM »

Battersea has a 60% chance of going Labour.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #252 on: June 08, 2017, 04:32:23 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)
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cp
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« Reply #253 on: June 08, 2017, 04:32:30 PM »

Can someone, using the exit polls, say if any coalition would work?

Specifically, CON-led and "Progressive Alliance"

If the exit poll numbers are reflected in the final result, it is pretty much the least amenable situation for a coalition of any kind. Neither 'side' has enough to form a majority of more than 5 seats or so, even accounting for how unstable and arbitrary the definition of 'side' is in this scenario.
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jeron
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« Reply #254 on: June 08, 2017, 04:33:08 PM »

so..... Cons+UUP+DUP government or a 'progressive alliance' of everybody with Sinn Fein taking seats to block the conservatives.

Exit polls means CON/DUP/UUP is short of a majority.

But perhaps not if Sinn Fein doesn't count. As I said, every seat would matter with this result.

Maybe, Sinn Fein had 4 seats, DUP 8 and UUP 2. If that stays the same it means 324-322 for Con-DUP-UUP. Losing only one by-election means the majority would be gone even without Sinn Fein.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #255 on: June 08, 2017, 04:34:08 PM »

When will the first real votes come in?
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #256 on: June 08, 2017, 04:34:19 PM »

notice in 1992 and 2015 the exit poll predicted hung parliament yet tories won a narrow majority..

still shocked in a good way lol Tongue

Except back in 1992 there was a feeling Labour will win. Now, Tories underperformed severely, majority or not.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #257 on: June 08, 2017, 04:34:54 PM »

Just saw a tweet that even Labour operatives don't believe this exit poll.
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mgop
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« Reply #258 on: June 08, 2017, 04:35:08 PM »

theresa may - shortest serving pm since 1924
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #259 on: June 08, 2017, 04:35:39 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.
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Kamala
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« Reply #260 on: June 08, 2017, 04:36:34 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiny_Kox
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #261 on: June 08, 2017, 04:36:42 PM »

I really hope this exit poll isn't underestimating the Tories, I HONESTLY think Labour is being underestimated.
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kyc0705
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« Reply #262 on: June 08, 2017, 04:36:46 PM »

When will the first real votes come in?

The first constituency will likely report within the next ten to fifteen minutes.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #263 on: June 08, 2017, 04:36:53 PM »

Of the 32 obvious target seats, Conservatives seem to have taken only two. (according to the Exit poll)

Btw: Here is the BBC results page in case anyone hasn't seen it yet:

http://www.bbc.com/news/election/2017/results
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #264 on: June 08, 2017, 04:36:59 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.

Dick Swett. Butch Otter.
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BlueDogDemocrat
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« Reply #265 on: June 08, 2017, 04:37:04 PM »

Conservatives seem to be doing very good in Scotland according to the exit polls  
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CrabCake
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« Reply #266 on: June 08, 2017, 04:38:13 PM »

Can someone, using the exit polls, say if any coalition would work?

Specifically, CON-led and "Progressive Alliance"

It will be a minority government rather than a coalition. About the only thing uniting Labour is they don't want to form a coalition with the Nats especially, and the Libs don't have enough clout to form a full on colaition without feeling subsumed.

The unionists will simply ask for cash, some token weird stuff irt brtexit in return for support in supply and confidence.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #267 on: June 08, 2017, 04:38:22 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.

Dick Swett. Butch Otter.

Eh.  Flip a coin.
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Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
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« Reply #268 on: June 08, 2017, 04:38:29 PM »

RUTH DAVIDSON FOR PRIME MINISTER!!!
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CMB222
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« Reply #269 on: June 08, 2017, 04:38:38 PM »

Conservatives seem to be doing very good in Scotland according to the exit polls  

Also in Wales, but surprisingly not in England.
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cp
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« Reply #270 on: June 08, 2017, 04:38:51 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.

Dick Swett. Butch Otter.


Is this forum *only* 12 year olds now? Tongue
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #271 on: June 08, 2017, 04:39:11 PM »

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.

Dick Swett. Butch Otter.

How have we not mentioned Harry Baals?
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jaichind
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« Reply #272 on: June 08, 2017, 04:39:21 PM »

Sporting Index markets is now

CON    330
LAB     239
SNP      39.5
LIB       13.5


Exit poll seems to be believed less and less over time.
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #273 on: June 08, 2017, 04:39:37 PM »

There have been some big errors in exit polls in the past:

See here
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #274 on: June 08, 2017, 04:39:41 PM »

so..... Cons+UUP+DUP government or a 'progressive alliance' of everybody with Sinn Fein taking seats to block the conservatives.

Exit polls means CON/DUP/UUP is short of a majority.

But perhaps not if Sinn Fein doesn't count. As I said, every seat would matter with this result.

Maybe, Sinn Fein had 4 seats, DUP 8 and UUP 2. If that stays the same it means 324-322 for Con-DUP-UUP. Losing only one by-election means the majority would be gone even without Sinn Fein.

And I think there's a good chance the DUP loses Belfast East back to the Alliance (as the UUP stood against the DUP there this time after standing aside in 2015), which would mean no majority even without SF counted.
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