UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread

[BlueDogDemocrat]

Jeremy Corbyn now favorite of becoming PM on Betfair!!!

What? Seriously?

Is Labour overperforming that well right now?

I don't think that there is anyway that Labor will be able to win that big of a majority, but I think it is possible that Corbyn will continue to over perform.

[Technocracy Timmy]

What is propelling Labour right now? I'm guessing it's a combination of working class voters and young people?

[Figueira]

WOW Putney!!!

Is the "WOW" because the Tories held it or because there was a huge CON->LAB swing anyway? It's not showing up on the NYT map yet.

The former is my understanding. It's generally a more Conservative seat.

[heatcharger]

So what are our takeaways from this?

Mine are:

1. Hubris is still as powerful a force in human affairs as ever.
2. Muh fundamentals are overrated. Campaigns matter.

3. Directly stating left-wing values is more effective than standing for some vague reasonableness.

3a. It is in fact possible to win back working-class voters who've flirted with right-wing populism by doing so.

In Britain, sure. Working-class voters have historically been much stronger for Labour than they've been for U.S. Democrats, so let's not act like this is directly comparable to America.

Sounds like a reason to get working on building that solidarity, but okay.

My point is that it's easier to win back voters who probably voted for you two years ago than ones who haven't in decades like in the U.S. Plus, British voters are way more elastic, and that's for a number of reasons.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

What is propelling Labour right now? I'm guessing it's a combination of working class voters and young people?

Seems that way. The dynamic being discussed with the former is voters who defected from Labour to UKIP in 2010 and 2015 returning home rather than going to the Tories.

[Angrie]

Map link anyone?
 

This posted earlier is good.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/06/08/world/europe/british-general-election-results-analysis.html

[Lachi]

What is propelling Labour right now? I'm guessing it's a combination of working class voters and young people?

Young people actually turned out like the polls said they would.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Map link anyone?
 

This posted earlier is good.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/06/08/world/europe/british-general-election-results-analysis.html

The Grauniad has a better map for proportion, but it's slow as molasses.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jun/08/live-uk-election-results-in-full-2017

[Helsinkian]

Angus first CON gain.

[Mike88]

Tories win Angus!!

[Classic Conservative]

Scottish Tories here we go!

[heatcharger]

BBC swingometer showing a >1% swing towards Labour overall, with 9 seats flipping CON to LAB.

Where's Klartext?

Retreated just like the losers of WWII

It's also quite late in Germany.

[Angel of Death]

Jeremy Corbyn now favorite of becoming PM on Betfair!!!

What? Seriously?

At the moment it fluctuated back to Theresa again, but remember also that she is not likely to remain PM even with a Tory government.

[Kamala]

Map link anyone?
 

This posted earlier is good.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/06/08/world/europe/british-general-election-results-analysis.html

The Grauniad has a better map for proportion, but it's slow as molasses treacle.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jun/08/live-uk-election-results-in-full-2017

UK, buddy.

[Gass3268]

BBC says that Labour picked up a seat from the Conservatives, where was that?

[Technocracy Timmy]

My point is that it's easier to win back voters who probably voted for you two years ago than ones who haven't in decades like in the U.S. Plus, British voters are way more elastic, and that's for a number of reasons.

We need to target the 6.7-9.2 million Trump voters who voted for Obama in 2012. Many of them were working class whites especially in the Midwest. (Source)


Lok1999 and Trounce em Theresa, thank you for the insight!

[Lachi]

BBC says that Labour picked up a seat from the Conservatives, where was that?

Vale of clwyd

[Gass3268]

BBC says that Labour picked up a seat from the Conservatives, where was that?

Vale of clwyd

Ah yes, thank you!

[Hydera]

My point is that it's easier to win back voters who probably voted for you two years ago than ones who haven't in decades like in the U.S. Plus, British voters are way more elastic, and that's for a number of reasons.

We need to target the 6.7-9.2 million Trump voters who voted for Obama in 2012. Many of them were working class whites especially in the Midwest. (Source)


Lok1999 and Trounce em Theresa, thank you for the insight!

More like 2-4 million.

[Kamala]

Since we're seeing a decent portion of 2015 UKIP voters to Labour, is Clacton a possible pick-up?

[Technocracy Timmy]

My point is that it's easier to win back voters who probably voted for you two years ago than ones who haven't in decades like in the U.S. Plus, British voters are way more elastic, and that's for a number of reasons.

We need to target the 6.7-9.2 million Trump voters who voted for Obama in 2012. Many of them were working class whites especially in the Midwest. (Source)


Lok1999 and Trounce em Theresa, thank you for the insight!

More like 2-4 million.

Source?

[Classic Conservative]

Since we're seeing a decent portion of 2015 UKIP voters to Labour, is Clacton a possible pick-up?

No no chance in hell

[Angel of Death]

How many seats are the SNP on track of losing?

[Lachi]

How many seats are the SNP on track of losing?

At least a dozen or more.

[Kamala]

LAB hold Islwyn.