UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread

[bullmoose88]

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.

[bullmoose88]

Would May be the shortest PM in office ever?

Since Andrew Bonar Law in the 20s, yes.

Lol Bonar Law (one of the funniest names in political history)

Dick. Armey.

Dick Swett. Butch Otter.

Eh.  Flip a coin.

[bullmoose88]

Tories still poised to pick up seats in Wales and Scotland...perhaps not just the England-only party going forward...

...nah.

[bullmoose88]

If LAB gets 68% in Sunderland South, it means the exit poll is generally right, if it's under that, tories are doing better and over means Labour doing better according to BBC

What are you basing that on?

Based on what BBC said.

Just spitballing here, but if the usual tactical voting is going on, greater than 68% for Labour in a seat like that is actually worse for the Tories than BBC portends. (I imagine).

So looks like the Tories would need the Irish Unionists to survive, 314 + 8 (DUP) + 2 (UUP)...SF abstaining...another election?  Yes please.

[bullmoose88]

Newcastle-Upon-Tyne=Labour Hold

Swing?

[bullmoose88]

Without SF, the magic number looks to be 323 or so, not necessarily 326.

[bullmoose88]

Ha, newly re-elected Labour MP Bridget Phillipson in Houghton and Sunderland South declines to endorse Jeremy Corbyn for Prime Minister.

Re-form the SDP?

[bullmoose88]

Possible "hidden" (my term) Tory strength outside London in postal vote per BBC.

[bullmoose88]

So whats the Tory swing (if there is one) in the North 2%? And the Labour swing in the south (4%?)  what does that give us if applied in the North and South of England?

[bullmoose88]

BBC still thinking of re-calibrating numbers.

As for the notion of PM Corbyn...I'm not sure the SF-less actual majority needed, and the Tory+Unionist numbers bear that out just yet.

[bullmoose88]

Sinn Fein gain a seat from SDLP

Helps the Tories too.

[bullmoose88]

Tories gain Alex salmond seat
wow just wow

The exit poll actually had that as a prediction.

I thought LDs were supposed to win Gordon...unless I'm thinking of the wrong seat.

[bullmoose88]

So I've been at work since polls closed. Apart from Clegg losing and a smalk swing to Labour, how is the overall seat projection looking?

 
  
Apparently Ruth Davidson saved the Tories. Not entirely sure if it will be the 326 though.

326 is the official mark that ignores that Sinn Fein won't take the oath.

The real number is likely 323.

[bullmoose88]

So I've been at work since polls closed. Apart from Clegg losing and a smalk swing to Labour, how is the overall seat projection looking?

 
  
Apparently Ruth Davidson saved the Tories. Not entirely sure if it will be the 326 though.

326 is the official mark that ignores that Sinn Fein won't take the oath.

The real number is likely 323.

SF has 2 seats so far - if that's all they get then that reduces parliament from 650 to 648 -> 325 needed for a majority.

Sinn Fein had what...4 coming in, one gain from SDLP?  Any others?