UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 07:42:00 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 146421 times)
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« on: June 08, 2017, 06:38:42 PM »

Boris is already preparing his leadership campaign according to sources.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2017, 06:48:25 PM »

Boris is already preparing his leadership campaign according to sources.

Gove and Leadsom should consider, Patel as well.

Osborne must be kicking himself right now.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2017, 07:38:03 PM »

Have there been any con gains so far at all (have I missed any, since I hadn't seen any, or are there just none?)

It looks like maybe the Con vote is getting very inefficiently distributed, with most of their gains coming in safe labour areas in the north?

Pretty much that. May thought the election was won, got arrogant and went for places she didn't really need instead of protecting the areas she truly needed. This, plus a very poor campaign overall, explain this appalling result. Hillary 2.0.

I bet she resigns tomorrow and since an autumn election is likely, there will be pressure for a quick solution for the leadership of the Conservative party. Boris is probably a very happy man right now.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2017, 07:57:24 PM »

Conservative sources also speculate that David Davis could be preparing a leadership bid. That would be quite a comeback after 2005.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2017, 08:08:27 PM »

Tories gain banff and buchan from snp

best result for tories in scotland since 1992

If the Tories perform as well as predicted in Scotland then I'm sure Ruth Davidson will at least consider standing on a safe seat on the likely autumn election. There may be some pressure on her to do so, in fact.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2017, 08:15:05 PM »

Could Ruth Davidson become Conservative Leader? or am I thoroughly misunderstanding British politics...

Unlikely right now because she won't be in Westminster. More likely that she stands on a safe seat on the next election and takes over the party if Labour wins it. A very possible scenario IMO.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2017, 08:18:43 PM »

Wow, it seems that Ruth Davidson will really save the day for the Conservatives. There will be huge pressure on her to move to Westminster as soon as a safe Conservative seat opens up.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2017, 08:21:36 PM »

Wow, it seems that Ruth Davidson will really save the day for the Conservatives. There will be huge pressure on her to move to Westminster as soon as a safe Conservative seat opens up.

So she'll move to England to be elected to Westminster?

I wouldn't rule out this possibility.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #8 on: June 08, 2017, 08:26:01 PM »

Sturgeon may have saved CONS tonight with her stupid Scottish independence re vote gamble.

Well she took a stupid gamble she'll probably regret (just like May) but give credit to Ruth Davidson for running a faultless campaign.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #9 on: June 08, 2017, 08:33:05 PM »

I'm cheering for DUP to back up CONS in event that no one reaches a majority

This will likely happen but it'll be tricky because DUP will demand a lot, specially on the Brexit issue.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #10 on: June 08, 2017, 08:37:39 PM »

Sky news is saying Tories are doing a bit better than exit poll. A majority is still possible... 324, 326.. maybe 327.

This could be 2015 all over again, exit poll shows the Conservatives some 10 seats behind an overall majority, projections slowly improve over the evening and in the morning they just cross the 326 seat threshold.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #11 on: June 08, 2017, 08:40:00 PM »
« Edited: June 08, 2017, 08:41:40 PM by Paleobrazilian »

Renfrewshire East turns blue.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #12 on: June 08, 2017, 08:46:59 PM »

Many talking about a Tory-DUP "joint venture". This will be quite tough because DUP is very eurosceptic and the incoming Scottish Conservative MPs are more pro-EU than their English/Welsh peers. Even if the Conservatives cross the 326 margin, the EU question will put the Conservatives in trouble once again due to this.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #13 on: June 08, 2017, 09:01:51 PM »

Just read an interesting post on ConservativeHome explaining that not only May ran an awful campaign, CCHQ also messed up big time. Of course, it shows that May chose the worst possible people to surround her and lead her campaign.

http://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2017/06/general-election-2017-results-live-blog-the-bbc-exit-poll-predicts-a-hung-parliament.html
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #14 on: June 08, 2017, 09:13:45 PM »

Boris refuses to say if he supports Theresa May. It's happening.

http://www.bbc.com/news/av/election-2017-40212221/boris-johnson-asked-if-he-supports-theresa-may
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #15 on: June 08, 2017, 09:20:17 PM »


She should just announce she's resigning right now. UK cannot afford a lame duck PM right now.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #16 on: June 08, 2017, 09:25:36 PM »

TM has all but resigned right now. It'll happen tomorrow morning.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2017, 09:29:09 PM »

"A period of stability,"

She's ing staying on.

No chance of that happening. She'll be kicked out by her bench. They are mad about her. Osborne must be laughing so hard right now.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2017, 09:32:48 PM »

Take that with a grain of salt, but John McDonnell says Boris will formally launch his leadership bid as early as tonight.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2017, 09:46:44 PM »

Odds of David Davis as the next Tory leader were slashed to 5/1. He will probably be plan B if Boris proves to be too loony to be the next leader.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #20 on: June 08, 2017, 09:53:00 PM »

Any chance that Brexit doesn't happen after this election outcome?
No.  At this point it would require all 27 EU nations to agree to that and that's extremely unlikely to happen.  It does make a soft Brexit more likely.

David Davis has already conceded remaining on the single market/customs union is likely now. That's relevant because he's not only the leading Brexit negotiator right now, but also a highly likely candidate for the leadership of the Conservatives.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #21 on: June 08, 2017, 09:55:42 PM »

Odds of David Davis as the next Tory leader were slashed to 5/1. He will probably be plan B if Boris proves to be too loony to be the next leader.

What are the odds on Priti Patel?

Quite low at Paddy Power, 33/1. David Davis is already at 10/3, just Boris ahead of him at 3/1.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #22 on: June 08, 2017, 10:04:37 PM »

80 away currently from a Lab/SNP/LD coalition government. Could possibly make it if others are willing to go in as well.

If the projections are correct Lab/SNP/LD would have less seats then the Tories.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2017, 10:17:30 PM »

LAB and CON now tied in number of seats (220) according to BBC

This was a really poor gamble by May. She's not saying on as leader.

Whether it's her or Boris at the helm, it looks like a Conservative + DUP coalition is going to happen now.

Probably a "joint venture", not a true coalition.

I'm going to bed, hopefully May will have resigned when I wake up. My God, she looked like Dilma Rousseff when she was speaking earlier. Yikes.
Logged
Paleobrazilian
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
Brazil


« Reply #24 on: June 09, 2017, 06:02:27 AM »

While DUP says they want a softer Brexit, not only Farage is coming back, but it's widely believed May will be challenged if Brexit is watered down. Her position is untenable.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 12 queries.