CA-UCB: Newsom still leads in the jungle

[heatcharger]

Link.

Newsom 22% (-6)
Villaraigosa 17% (+6)
Cox 9% (-9)
Hadley 7%
Chiang 5% (-3)
Eastin 3%
Undecided 37%

[Holmes]

Another DvD general in California would probably kill Republicans here for good. And in a year where Democrats are looking to gain 6 or so House seats in the state, it would be bad for turnout among Republicans.

[Vega]

Shame Chiang is doing so poorly.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Shame Chiang is doing so poorly.

He's really been bouncing around in the polls. Some have had him near 10% and I've seen some with him at like 3%.

[TheSaint250]

How did Villaraigosa improve and Cox fall so far?

[Holmes]

How did Villaraigosa improve and Cox fall so far?

There's really no campaign going on right now so there might not really be a specific reason, other than the Republican brand being further tarnished in the state due to what's going on in DC and name recognition.

[diptheriadan]

What ever happened to Faulconer?

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

How did Villaraigosa improve and Cox fall so far?

Cox fell because he was the only Republican option the last time.

[henster]

So who wins in a Newsom/Villaraigosa matchup? It'd be interesting to see the racial divides.

[Holmes]

So who wins in a Newsom/Villaraigosa matchup? It'd be interesting to see the racial divides.

Newsom would be favored. He'll be the pseudo-incumbent as outgoing Lt. Governor, gets the Democratic Party's support and has less skeletons in the closet (though he clearly does have some). It would probably be a Harris vs. Sanchez redux but probably a bit closer.

[BuckeyeNut]

What ever happened to Faulconer?

He ruled out running a while ago, IIRC.

[This account no longer in use.]

califoRnIa rePublicans

[Kingpoleon]

I would prefer Steve Westly, Meg Whitman, Kevin Faulconer, or Steve Poizner(in that order, I think), but if they don't run, I am rooting for Newsom.

[ajc0918]

Wow... I never even thought of what the impact of having no Republican at the top of the ticket would mean for the CA House races. That could be devastating.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Wow... I never even thought of what the impact of having no Republican at the top of the ticket would mean for the CA House races. That could be devastating.

The Senate race could play into that as well. If a Democrat or left leaning Indy like Michael Eisen gets the second spot, it doesn't look good for at least Issa. I'd imagine others would have issues and maybe lose as well.

[libertpaulian]

Yeah, these D vs. D races aren't politically healthy.  No state should have one-party rule.  I hope to live to see the day where CA votes for a Republican for President and has a GOP state trifecta, and TX elects a Democrat for President and has a Dem state trifecta.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No surprise here, Newsom will be Gov-elect

[Badger]

Yeah, these D vs. D races aren't politically healthy.  No state should have one-party rule.  I hope to live to see the day where CA votes for a Republican for President and has a GOP state trifecta, and TX elects a Democrat for President and has a Dem state trifecta.

Well, California needs to get rid of the Jungle primary system at any rate.

[Technocracy Timmy]

Yeah, these D vs. D races aren't politically healthy.  No state should have one-party rule.  I hope to live to see the day where CA votes for a Republican for President and has a GOP state trifecta, and TX elects a Democrat for President and has a Dem state trifecta.

The GOP nominated a pro choice, pro SSM, pro environment candidate in 2014 (a favorable year) and they still got walloped. I'm not a big fan of a one Party state rule either but the Republican Party just doesn't resonate here.

[Mr. Smith]

Yeah, these D vs. D races aren't politically healthy.  No state should have one-party rule.  I hope to live to see the day where CA votes for a Republican for President and has a GOP state trifecta, and TX elects a Democrat for President and has a Dem state trifecta.

The GOP nominated a pro choice, pro SSM, pro environment candidate in 2014 (a favorable year) and they still got walloped. I'm not a big fan of a one Party state rule either but the Republican Party just doesn't resonate here.

To be fair, he was against Jerry Brown. Only Dennis Daugaard, Matt Mead, and Bill Haslam were more popular.

[Heisenberg]

Yeah, these D vs. D races aren't politically healthy.  No state should have one-party rule.  I hope to live to see the day where CA votes for a Republican for President and has a GOP state trifecta, and TX elects a Democrat for President and has a Dem state trifecta.

The GOP nominated a pro choice, pro SSM, pro environment candidate in 2014 (a favorable year) and they still got walloped. I'm not a big fan of a one Party state rule either but the Republican Party just doesn't resonate here.

To be fair, he was against Jerry Brown. Only Dennis Daugaard, Matt Mead, and Bill Haslam were more popular.

Still, it's California. I kind of just accept that most people aren't voting for someone with radically different views.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

The only way the CA GOP will ever come back in the immediate future is if it either becomes very, very socially liberal or if the coastline sinks into the ocean.

Honestly if I were the CA GOP, I'd do whatever I can to take in the would-be Hillbots and moderate Democrats that exist. Basically become David Cameron's Conservative Party.

[Technocracy Timmy]

The only way the CA GOP will ever come back in the immediate future is if it either becomes very, very socially liberal or if the coastline sinks into the ocean.

Honestly if I were the CA GOP, I'd do whatever I can to take in the would-be Hillbots and moderate Democrats that exist. Basically become David Cameron's Conservative Party.

This would be a good strategy if it weren't for the very rural and very conservative parts of the Valley keeping the Party from moving anymore to the Left. The California GOP is gonna be in the wilderness while Trump remains President. His presence is just far too toxic for them in this state.

[Mr. Smith]

Yeah, these D vs. D races aren't politically healthy.  No state should have one-party rule.  I hope to live to see the day where CA votes for a Republican for President and has a GOP state trifecta, and TX elects a Democrat for President and has a Dem state trifecta.

The GOP nominated a pro choice, pro SSM, pro environment candidate in 2014 (a favorable year) and they still got walloped. I'm not a big fan of a one Party state rule either but the Republican Party just doesn't resonate here.

To be fair, he was against Jerry Brown. Only Dennis Daugaard, Matt Mead, and Bill Haslam were more popular.

Still, it's California. I kind of just accept that most people aren't voting for someone with radically different views.

True, but it could've been a Boxer v. Fiorina style loss instead if anyone else were running.

[DrScholl]

Yeah, these D vs. D races aren't politically healthy.  No state should have one-party rule.  I hope to live to see the day where CA votes for a Republican for President and has a GOP state trifecta, and TX elects a Democrat for President and has a Dem state trifecta.

The voters in California choose to elect Democrats. What is unhealthy in Republicans gerrymandering states to create a House majority.