KS-GOV 2018: Will Carl Brewer's race be a problem in 2018?

[Suburbia]

Former Wichita, Kansas Mayor Carl Brewer is running for Kansas governor in 2018. He is African-American. Sad as it is, will his race matter in this election? It is a state that Barack Obama won in the 2008 KS Democratic presidential primary, and Obama got 41% in 2008, and 38% in 2012.

Will race matter?

http://www.kwch.com/content/news/Brewer-expected-to-announce-run-for-Kansas-governor-414164013.html

[Ebsy]

Republicans in Wichita seem to like him a lot, so who knows.

[henster]

His ties to the Bloomberg gun group is the problem in 2018.

[KingSweden]

His ties to the Bloomberg gun group is the problem in 2018.

[Heisenberg]

His ties to the Bloomberg gun group is the problem in 2018.

This. Sedgwick County Republicans seem to like him, but gun control would likely become a big issue and hurt his ability to get crossover appeal.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democrats are favored to win the Governor race in KS.

[Dr. MB]

No. As said before gun control is a much bigger issue.

[Holmes]

Democrats are favored to win the Governor race in KS.

Not favored but there is a big opening.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Democrats are favored to win the Governor race in KS.

Not favored but there is a big opening.

This.

The only reason Dems have an opening here is because Brownback has become so toxic.

[Young Conservative]

Democrats are favored to win the Governor race in KS.

This is never a sentence that can be said. They do have a good chance, and that is stunning enough.

[VPH]

I don't think his race will hurt him. The aformentioned Bloomberg thing will, but he did cook for a Pat Roberts fundraiser and endorse him in 2008.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

No, but it seems he's married to a white woman, and after that Cheerios ad controversy I no longer trust people to be decent on this topic.

[Kingpoleon]

I hope Svaty picks Carl Brewer, Greg Orman, Paul Davis, or William Kassebaum as his running mate if he wins. Brewer just isn't a very inspiring speaker(in contrast to Svaty), but he is very likeable.

[136or142]

I hope Svaty picks Carl Brewer, Greg Orman, Paul Davis, or William Kassebaum as his running mate if he wins. Brewer just isn't a very inspiring speaker(in contrast to Svaty), but he is very likeable.

Paul Davis is running for the open U.S House seat in Kansas.

[Heisenberg]

I hope Svaty picks Carl Brewer, Greg Orman, Paul Davis, or William Kassebaum as his running mate if he wins. Brewer just isn't a very inspiring speaker(in contrast to Svaty), but he is very likeable.

Davis is running for KS-02.
Kassebaum is a Republican, but hey, look where Sebelius got both her running mates.

[Badger]

Is he all but anointed, or does he face any realistic primary challengers?

[Figueira]

Democrats are favored to win the Governor race in KS.

Not favored but there is a big opening.

This.

The only reason Dems have an opening here is because Brownback has become so toxic.

Not really--Democrats have a decent record of winning gubernatorial elections in Kansas.

[SATW]

Yea, I don't know why people are surprised that this race could flip to the Dems.

Kansas is to the Dems as Massachusetts is to the GOP, in terms of gubernatorial elections.

Since 1979, 3 Republicans had served as Governor of Kansas, compared to the 4 Democrats.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Is he all but anointed, or does he face any realistic primary challengers?

I was under the impression that he had a real challenge from Josh Svaty, but I could be wrong.

[Kingpoleon]

Is he all but anointed, or does he face any realistic primary challengers?

I was under the impression that he had a real challenge from Josh Svaty, but I could be wrong.

Svaty will be a very strong candidate. He's a great speaker and very charismatic. I can't believe Brewer thinks it is a good idea to run against Svaty.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Is he all but anointed, or does he face any realistic primary challengers?

I was under the impression that he had a real challenge from Josh Svaty, but I could be wrong.

Svaty will be a very strong candidate. He's a great speaker and very charismatic. I can't believe Brewer thinks it is a good idea to run against Svaty.

I mean, Brewer announced first. It was more Svaty's decision to run against Brewer.

[Holmes]

It's not like the first candidate to announce has first dibs and every subsequent candidate is "challenging" them.

[Kingpoleon]

It's not like the first candidate to announce has first dibs and every subsequent candidate is "challenging" them.

Svaty signaled pretty clearly that he would run.

[NOVA Green]

I strongly doubt that racism will be an issue in this election....

Partisan affiliation will obviously be a much bigger factor, and how will a Democrat be able to bag a large enough % of the vote in small town and rural Kansas to create a winning coalition?

Even if we give the Kansas City suburbs to Brewer, and then start tossing in decent margins in the various other cities within Kansas, it would be difficult to see a Dem winning without massive swings elsewhere in the State.....

What would the strategy look like?

[CMB222]

I strongly doubt that racism will be an issue in this election....

Partisan affiliation will obviously be a much bigger factor, and how will a Democrat be able to bag a large enough % of the vote in small town and rural Kansas to create a winning coalition?

Even if we give the Kansas City suburbs to Brewer, and then start tossing in decent margins in the various other cities within Kansas, it would be difficult to see a Dem winning without massive swings elsewhere in the State.....

What would the strategy look like?

Getting a Wichitan as the Dem candidate would increase his chances by a lot as much of the difference in the 2014 election can be made up in Wichita. But it really depends on the Republican candidate and how they deal with the Brownback mess.