2016: Trump's margins in swing states
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016: Trump's margins in swing states
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Author Topic: 2016: Trump's margins in swing states  (Read 1260 times)
Spark
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« on: June 17, 2017, 02:35:47 AM »
« edited: June 18, 2017, 01:34:27 AM by Spark498 »

Why were Trump's margins in swing states under 50%?
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The Self
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« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2017, 02:48:27 AM »

Because he was a bad candidate for all of them.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: June 17, 2017, 02:52:35 AM »

Why were Trump's margins in swing states under 50%?

Because his campaign still sucked and did almost nothing in the big cities of those states [besides maybe Wisconsin]. Literally needed a bunch of perfect storms to get the minority turnout low enough to stop Hillary, and that's what happened.



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AGA
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« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2017, 04:31:16 PM »

Because of high third party support. All competitive states were won with only a plurality.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: June 17, 2017, 11:41:40 PM »

Because of high third party support. All competitive states were won with only a plurality.

Georgia says hi.
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15 Down, 35 To Go
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« Reply #5 on: June 18, 2017, 08:40:06 AM »

Because of high third party support. All competitive states were won with only a plurality.

Georgia says hi.

Not a competitive state
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krazen1211
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« Reply #6 on: June 18, 2017, 09:57:10 AM »

Hillary got 50% in only a small number of states.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #7 on: June 18, 2017, 12:11:35 PM »

Because of high third party support. All competitive states were won with only a plurality.

Georgia says hi.

Not a competitive state

I didn't know that Ohio and Iowa weren't swing states.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #8 on: June 18, 2017, 06:49:20 PM »

His plurality in some of the swing states was pure luck. He was up against a milquetoast candidate and was able to win a plurality due to low turnout in key areas for his opponent and was able to draw up huge margins in sparsely populated counties. Those margins add up statewide.

Also third party support was especially high due to both candidates being unpopular. If he has an opponent with any competence this will be his undoing in 2020.
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Tutankhuman Bakari Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2017, 12:43:33 AM »

Because the Johnson/Stein votes siphened away critical votes for Clinton, that otherwise would have went to Bernie.
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