My Gubernatorial Predictions

[Senator-elect Spark]

My predictions for the Governors races in 2017 and 2018. Please don't hesitate to give me feedback. These are just my own personal assessments and opinion.

MN & AK to come

Gubernatorial Election in Virginia, 2017

Map:



Ed Gillespie (R)- 50.2%
Ralph Northam (D)- 49.8%

Gubernatorial Election in New Jersey, 2017

Map:



Phil Murphy (D)- 56.4%
Kim Guadagno (R)- 43.3%


Gubernatorial Election in Illinois, 2018

Map:



[Scott Drury (D)- 49.6%
Bruce Rauner (R), inc.- 48.4%

Gubernatorial Election in Connecticut, 2018

Map:



Mark Lauretti (R)- 51.4%
Nancy Wyman (D)- 47.6%

Gubernatorial Election in Florida, 2018

Map:



Gwen Graham (D)- 52.1%
Adam Putnam (R)- 47.9%


Gubernatorial Election in Pennsylvania, 2018

Map:



Tom Wolf (D), inc.- 51.8%
Scott Wagner (R)- 48.2%

Gubernatorial Election in Michigan, 2018



Gretchen Whitmer (D)- 55.3%
Bill Schuette (R)- 43.6%

Gubernatorial Election in Ohio, 2018



Mike DeWine (R)- 60.1%
Joe Schiavoni (D)- 39.8%

[Senator-elect Spark]

AK, MN, FL, & VA are toss-ups.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Will Baker win all counties in MA except Boston?

[Senator-elect Spark]

Follow my gubernatorial predictions series on Youtube:

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCLinnmzSyoC5QhJUaqt5BaTi3HSuqcmy

Doing all of the races.

[Senator-elect Spark]

2018:

MA: Gov. Charlie Baker def. Jay Gonzalez (62-37%)
VT: Gov. Phil Scott def. Dem (56-42%)
RI: Gov. Gina Raimondo def. Allan Fung (48-42%)
CT: Erin Stewart def. Susan Bysiewicz (48-46%)
ME: Shawn Moody def. Terry Hayes and Janet Mills (41-37-13%)
NH: Gov. Chris Sununu def. Steve Marchand (48-47%)
PA: Gov. Tom Wolf def. Scott Wagner (51-47%)
OH: Richard Cordray def. Mike DeWine (49-46%)
NY: Gov. Andrew Cuomo def. Marc Molinaro (56-42%)
MI: Gretchen Whitmer def. Att Gen. Bill Schuette (57-43%)
IL: J.B. Pritzker def. Gov. Bruce Rauner (50-44%)
FL: Gwen Graham def. Adam Putnam (52-47%)
MD: Gov. Larry Hogan def. Rushurn Baker (50-48%)
WI: Gov. Scott Walker def. Tony Evers (51-48%)
MN: Erin Murphy def. Tim Pawlenty (51-47%)
IA: Gov. Kim Reynolds def. Nate Boulton (55-42%)
SD: Kristi Noem def. Billie Sutton (61-38%)
NE: Gov. Pete Ricketts (75%, unopposed)
KS: Carl Brewer def. Kris Kobach (upset pick) (50-47%)
OK: Lt. Gov. Todd Lamb def. Drew Edmondson (53-46%)
TX: Gov. Greg Abbott def. Lupe Valdez (51-40%)
NM: Michelle Lujan Grisham def. Steve Pearce (47-45%)
AZ: Gov. Doug Ducey def. Steve Farley (54-43%)
CO: Cary Kennedy def. Victor Mitchell (52-45%)
NV: Att Gen. Adam Laxalt def. Stephen Sisolak (49-47%)
ID: Lt. Gov. Brad Little def. A.J. Balukoff (62-37%)
WY: Mark Gordon def. Mary Throne (60-38%)
OR: Gov. Kate Brown def. Knute Buehler (50-46%)
CA: Gavin Newsom def. John Cox (53-43%)
HI: Gov. David Ige def. Bob McDermott (59-40%)
AK: Mike Chenault def. Gov. Bill Walker (upset, Walker not popular), (47-45%)
AR: Gov. Asa Hutchinson def. Jared Henderson (62-36%)
AL: Gov. Kay Ivey def. Susan Bell Cobb (56-43%)
SC: Gov. Henry McMaster def. James Smith (55-43%)
TN: Diane Black def. Karl Dean (53-44%)
GA: Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle def. Stacey Abrams (52-47%)

[Senator-elect Spark]

Spark, what are your reasons for Jackley defeating Noem in the primaries?  I'm just interested to hear what the race looks like from the outside.

Simply because there has not yet been a female governor of South Dakota.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Spark, what are your reasons for Jackley defeating Noem in the primaries?  I'm just interested to hear what the race looks like from the outside.

Simply because there has not yet been a female governor of South Dakota.

Well, there hasn't been a male representative from South Dakota in almost a decade and a half either.

I would say Noem is currently slightly favored because I think she's more dynamic than Jackley and most likely also has the support of Thune and his machine.

Either would win the race handily. I favor Jackley slightly for now.

[Senator-elect Spark]

*Bump* Updated my predictions for November.