My Gubernatorial Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: My Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 3692 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: June 18, 2017, 07:38:12 PM »
Everything is fine except Virginia
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2017, 07:41:16 PM »
Nelson will help Graham win there, because Nelson and Bob Graham were senators there.  Everything goes the Dems direction except for Iowa, and Ohio and MA and MD
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2017, 10:57:53 AM »
Once, someone officially declares in WI, which is Kathleen Vinehout, she will get the supports from the DNC to run a strong race against 2X incumbant Walker, with nat'l implications.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2017, 12:32:09 PM »
« Edited: June 19, 2017, 12:59:03 PM by Da-Jon »
Michigan will go Democratic
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2017, 01:54:18 PM »
« Edited: June 19, 2017, 01:59:16 PM by Da-Jon »
Probable turnovers
IL, MI, NM, NV, NJ FL and ME

Competetive seats
 NH and MD

Tilting Inc party preference
Iowa, WI,AK, MN, CO OH

Baker and Phil Scott are too popular
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2017, 06:37:00 PM »
Dems winning FL, IL, ME, MD, MI, NV, NH, NJ and NM +8 is probably where it will wind up at.



24 D-2I-24R

Jealous will beat Hogan rather than Brewer winning in KS.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2017, 11:20:26 PM »
No way Dems lose CT and VA
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: June 20, 2017, 11:12:04 AM »
Quote from: Skunk on June 20, 2017, 12:00:31 AM

I don't see Dems losing VA either but CT is plausible. If KS can be competitive because of Brownback then CT can easily be competitive because of Malloy.

Dems are gonna win MD rather than KS because Carl Brewer is anti-2nd amendment.  Jealous will break out of pack in his anti-concealed weapon and MD will have a Democratic gain. As for CT, Dems will win.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: June 20, 2017, 12:20:45 PM »
Hogan veteoed Paid Leave of Absence and Sununu's race will become competetive.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: June 24, 2017, 01:09:36 PM »
« Edited: June 24, 2017, 03:08:49 PM by Da-Jon Cory Booker-4-Prez »


AZ* P-David Garcia def T Ducey
FL P-Gwen Graham def T Adam Putnam
IL* S-Chris Kennedy def cc Bruce Rauner
KS S-Carl Brewer def T- Kris Kobach
MD*S Ben Jealous def cc Larry Hogan
MI  S-Gretchen Whitmerdef T Bill Schuette
NH* S-Steve Marchard def T- Sununu
NJ S-Phil Murphy def T- Kim Guadagno
NM S Michelle Grisham def T Aubrey Dunn Jr

D+10 with ME
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #10 on: July 17, 2018, 11:29:41 AM »
« Edited: July 17, 2018, 11:41:35 AM by Cory Booker »
WI, MI, IL, ME, NM safe D
Wildcards OH, FL, MD& NV, AK, Walker winning
AZ and TN, GA tilt R

Pollsters are underestimating Ben Jealous, Dems come home, like they do in 2006; and Hogan upset Anthony Brown as well, 2014😁
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #11 on: July 17, 2018, 05:14:57 PM »
5-8 Govs; sweeping OH and FL, which would be hard to do, and the basic 273 map WI, MI and Pa
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #12 on: July 17, 2018, 07:15:36 PM »
If AZ goes Dem, so would Ohio
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #13 on: July 17, 2018, 09:21:26 PM »
The predictions are based on mainly the state by state party control. Percentages arent that important, and you can change it at the end
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #14 on: July 20, 2018, 01:10:58 PM »
If its a wave: states to watch are: Iowa, MD, AZ and AK. I dont see Jealous losing and Abrams winning.
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