NV-SEN: Rosen in

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

Hmm...let's see here:

1. Democrats are uniting behind Rosen

2. If Heller votes for the hugely unpopular healthcare bill, he will get lambasted and tarred with it

3. If Heller votes against the bill, he will disappoint pro-Trump activists and risk backlash

4. REID MACHINE

5. Early polling favors Rosen

Let's see here troll:

1. probably true

2. I doubt he will, if he does you are probably right

3. better than option #2

4. Rory Reid

5. Early polls loved Hillary

Well, Hillary won Nevada and Masto captured a Senate seat too. In any case, perhaps "DOA" may be too presumptive, however I still believe it is a fair conclusion from the available data.

Reid's loss can be attributed to several factors:
1. 2010 was a wave year.
2. Titus lost to Gibbons in '06 by 4 points.
3. Rory Reid isn't terribly charismatic nor was he the incumbent, unlike his daddy.

Look, Heller is in a very tough spot and I think it's fair to say there is a very high probability he will lose.


Also, shoutout to IndyRep for deliberately lying about my thoughts concerning McCaskill.

I agree, Rosen has the advantage, but DOA is far from reality.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Rosen in? Endorsed.

[Devout Centrist]

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.

You were acting like the race is a done deal. In any case, you have this habit of making... well.. very confident predictions that turn out to be hilariously wrong in the end. It's pretty astounding that anyone would rate MO "Lean D" and NV "Safe D" (though the latter is probably more plausible than the former), honestly.

And here I am getting lectured by the guy who called New Hampshire Safe D and assumed that Van Ostern was a shoe in.

[MAINEiac4434]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

What? It's a Democratic state in a Trump midterm. Heller is screwed.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Calling it now, Heller is DOA

Smh... some people have thicker skulls than brick walls...

What? It's a Democratic state in a Trump midterm. Heller is screwed.

And whose sock are you?

[Devout Centrist]

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.

You were acting like the race is a done deal. In any case, you have this habit of making... well.. very confident predictions that turn out to be hilariously wrong in the end. It's pretty astounding that anyone would rate MO "Lean D" and NV "Safe D" (though the latter is probably more plausible than the former), honestly.

And here I am getting lectured by the guy who called New Hampshire Safe D and assumed that Van Ostern was a shoe in.

Word to the wise: it's best not to debate the retardedness of NH being safe D or the difference between "leans" and "safe" because apparently that's a hard concept to grasp

Peak Atlas: arguing over the difference between "tilt" and "lean".

More to the point, I wouldn't take my predictions all that seriously. Obviously I'll defend them when attacked, but c'mon, this is inherently a site where people drop their hot takes all the time.

[_]

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.

You were acting like the race is a done deal. In any case, you have this habit of making... well.. very confident predictions that turn out to be hilariously wrong in the end. It's pretty astounding that anyone would rate MO "Lean D" and NV "Safe D" (though the latter is probably more plausible than the former), honestly.

And here I am getting lectured by the guy who called New Hampshire Safe D and assumed that Van Ostern was a shoe in.

Word to the wise: it's best not to debate the retardedness of NH being safe D or the difference between "leans" and "safe" because apparently that's a hard concept to grasp

Peak Atlas: arguing over the difference between "tilt" and "lean".

More to the point, I wouldn't take my predictions all that seriously. Obviously I'll defend them when attacked, but c'mon, this is inherently a site where people drop their hot takes all the time.

It'd be better if people just let others voice their opinions on what will happen, then laugh at eachother's opinions AFTER the race.

[Kingpoleon]

Lean means landslide? Lol.

Donnelly is the only Lean R Democratic seat right now.

You were acting like the race is a done deal. In any case, you have this habit of making... well.. very confident predictions that turn out to be hilariously wrong in the end. It's pretty astounding that anyone would rate MO "Lean D" and NV "Safe D" (though the latter is probably more plausible than the former), honestly.

This is really a case of the pot calling the kettle black. And before you call me the frying pan, please keep in mind that I called all three of New Hampshire's races(Presidential, gubernatorial, and Senate) being very, very close.

[Kamala]

Meanwhile, in NV-03, Reid is trying to find another Jacky Rosen- that is, another political outsider-  in Susie Lee, a philanthropist.

[Ronnie]

Reid shouldn't count his chickens before they hatch.  He still has to potentially deal with a gadfly in Titus, who has a knack for defeating the candidates he grooms in primaries.

[Cactus Jack]

Reid shouldn't count his chickens before they hatch.  He still has to potentially deal with a gadfly in Titus, who has a knack for defeating the candidates he grooms in primaries.

I can't imagine Titus taking that plunge this time. The Vegas seat is hers for as long as she wants it, and I doubt she'd give that up for a chance to face the double whammy of running against Rosen and Heller all in one election.

[The Other Castro]

Danny Tarkanian is in! Will run in the GOP primary against Heller.

"I'm very excited to announce that I'm going to run for United States Senate here in Nevada against Dean Heller."

https://twitter.com/foxnews/status/894881507084455936

[windjammer]

Danny Tarkanian is in! Will run in the GOP primary against Heller.

"I'm very excited to announce that I'm going to run for United States Senate here in Nevada against Dean Heller."

https://twitter.com/foxnews/status/894881507084455936

I don't think he will win this, Heller hasn't totally pissed off the Trumpists.

[GoldenMainer]

Meanwhile, in NV-03, Reid is trying to find another Jacky Rosen- that is, another political outsider-  in Susie Lee, a philanthropist.

The same Susie Lee who ran in NV-04 last year? The one who Emily's List endorsed and still finished in third in the primaries behind Kihuen & Lucy Flores?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Ah so this is where Heller voting on that skinny repeal might come in to help him

[Young Conservative]

Ah so this is where Heller voting on that skinny repeal might come in to help him

I think anti-Trump comments are what sink candidates, not always voting records. I think that sunk Heck and Ayotte, who could have won more GOP support with moderate records if they hadn't been so vocal with anti-Trump rhetoric.

[JMT]

Meanwhile, in NV-03, Reid is trying to find another Jacky Rosen- that is, another political outsider-  in Susie Lee, a philanthropist.

The same Susie Lee who ran in NV-04 last year? The one who Emily's List endorsed and still finished in third in the primaries behind Kihuen & Lucy Flores?

Yup, that would be the one

[Canis]

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/08/danny-tarkanian-challenges-dean-heller-nevada-senate-241401
Politco article on the primary challenge

[Pollster]

A Tarkanian primary challenge likely won't take out Heller, but makes it all the more likely that Rosen will.

[The Arizonan]

A Tarkanian primary challenge likely won't take out Heller, but makes it all the more likely that Rosen will.

Yes, a nasty primary is going to threaten, if not destroy, Dean Heller's chances of getting reelected.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

A Tarkanian primary challenge likely won't take out Heller, but makes it all the more likely that Rosen will.

[maga2020]

Danny Tarkanian is in! Will run in the GOP primary against Heller.

"I'm very excited to announce that I'm going to run for United States Senate here in Nevada against Dean Heller."

https://twitter.com/foxnews/status/894881507084455936

Endorsed

[Xing]

If Tarkanian couldn't beat Rosen in NV-03, I don't know why he thinks he can beat her in a statewide race.

[Unapologetic Chinaperson]

Hmm, interesting: Peter Cvjetanovic, one of the participants in the Charlottesville rally/violence, smiled and posed with Dean Heller once.

Could this have a small effect on Heller's reelection chances?

[Brittain33]

Hmm, interesting: Peter Cvjetanovic, one of the participants in the Charlottesville rally/violence, smiled and posed with Dean Heller once.

Could this have a small effect on Heller's reelection chances?

In which direction?