Democrats’ Best Chance to Retake the House? 8 Types of G.O.P. Districts to Watch
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  Democrats’ Best Chance to Retake the House? 8 Types of G.O.P. Districts to Watch
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Author Topic: Democrats’ Best Chance to Retake the House? 8 Types of G.O.P. Districts to Watch  (Read 494 times)
Technocracy Timmy
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« on: June 26, 2017, 04:22:06 PM »

Too much to copy and paste, so the details on each group will stay in the link. Here's the 8 kind of districts:

1. Well-Educated Sun Belt
2. Diverse Sun Belt
3. Suburban Stragglers
4. Suburban Survivors
5. White Working Class
6. Weaker Than They Should Be
7. Gerrymander Breakdown
8. Perhaps Still Vulnerable?

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PragmaticPopulist
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« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2017, 06:00:36 PM »

Most of these I already had my eyes on. I'm skeptical about Martha Roby in AL-02 though. Yes, she's a weak incumbent, but that's an R+16 district, and It isn't very elastic downballot. When Bobby Bright won it in 2008, it was a perfect storm.
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2017, 06:22:55 PM »

Most of these I already had my eyes on. I'm skeptical about Martha Roby in AL-02 though. Yes, she's a weak incumbent, but that's an R+16 district, and It isn't very elastic downballot. When Bobby Bright won it in 2008, it was a perfect storm.

So long as the Dems are bothering to run Ojeda up in WV, they might as well target Roby while they're at it. Whether or not they actually stand a chance in hell is all a matter of recruitment.
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