GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread

[Skye]

Any more Nate Cohn, et al. updates about turnout suggesting result?

Nate Cohn a few minutes ago..."the turnout model is live"

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-congressional-runoff-ossoff-handel?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news

No offence to Nate and 538...but his ''models'' were wrong about everything in 2016 and not even in just politics...they blew a bunch of sports predictions (and by bunch I mean all)

Umm...you do realize that Nate Cohn and Nate Silver are two different people, right?  Cohn is affiliated with the New York Times, not 538.

It's all the same thing. They were all repeatedly wrong about so many things with their ''models.'' Nate Silver currently holds the record for the largest polling prediction error in US election history

His model was far more generous to Trump than most other models on election day.

[Confused Democrat]

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Agreed.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

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[Progressive]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

Still, an Ossoff win wouldn't be an upset.

Yes it would. If the GOP won the Nita Lowey seat in NY (Westchester and northern suburbs), D+7, it would be an upset even if the GOP put millions into the race. GA-06 is R+8 with little statewide Dem infrastructure.

[This is Eharding, guys]

I think the disenchantment with Trump might be so yuge, Democrats might pick up the South Carolina seat as well, if only by a point or two. So many Republicans are discouraged by the inaction in Congress right now.

[BudgieForce]

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11pm!?

*throws table*

[Confused Democrat]

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Hahaha

[Progressive]

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11pm!?

*throws table*

I don't think they mean first numbers by 11, right?

[This is Eharding, guys]

I think it'll be a short night in Georgia.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

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Didn't the same 'very serious' people expect Romney to win Florida in 2012 ? Or Hillary winning Florida i 2016?

[bilaps]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

again, so what? if last election didn't educate you guys to put previous 30 or 40 years down the tube I don't know what would.

only obvious thing is that country is changing, while some places are becoming more democrat like VA or places like GA 6 or maybe some other places in the south as well, Trump has compensated that with midwest. for now. so we don't have a clue what will happen in the future, will 2018 and 2020 confirm this or would it be a current glitch. but it's laughable to make a point about district 20yrs ago and ignore elections which took place 6 months ago

[Confused Democrat]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

Still, an Ossoff win wouldn't be an upset.

I guess that depends on what your definition of "upset" is.

[krazen1211]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

This isn't really accurate of course. The district didn't even cover anything near its current territory until your party moved it there in the 1990s in order to gerrymander Newt Gingrich.

[BudgieForce]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

This isn't really accurate of course. The district didn't even cover anything near its current territory until your party moved it there in the 1990s in order to gerrymander Newt Gingrich.

As I said, democrats didn't even bother fielding a candidate here in 2010.

[The_Doctor]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

This isn't really accurate of course. The district didn't even cover anything near its current territory until your party moved it there in the 1990s in order to gerrymander Newt Gingrich.

OK your goal post moving is a good sign Ossoff wins. Sounds solid.

[InheritTheWind]

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11pm!?

*throws table*

Really hope that's final results and not first results.

[LimoLiberal]

Archie Parnell wins the early vote in Kershaw county... went for trump by 30 points. lol

[OneJ]

Archie Parnell
Democrat
340   57.5%   

Ralph Norman
Republican
245   41.5   

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Archie Parnell
Democrat
340   57.5%   
Ralph Norman
Republican
245   41.5   
Victor Kocher
Libertarian
4   0.7   
David Kulma
Green
2   0.3   
Josh Thornton
American Party
0   0.0   


First results from Kershaw county

[The Other Castro]

First votes coming in:

Karen Handel (Republican)    56.3%   9
Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    43.8%   7

Let's call it for Handel now! /s

lol it's a landslide folks

[MAINEiac4434]

PARNELL LEADS IN SOUTH CAROLINA

HE DID IT, HE FLIPPED THE DISTRICT!

[Confused Democrat]

First votes coming in:

Karen Handel (Republican)    56.3%   9
Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    43.8%   7

Let's call it for Handel now! /s

We're doomed.

[bilaps]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

This isn't really accurate of course. The district didn't even cover anything near its current territory until your party moved it there in the 1990s in order to gerrymander Newt Gingrich.

OK your goal post moving is a good sign Ossoff wins. Sounds solid.

are you blind? only people moving goalposts here are democrats saying that a candidate from a party which pres candidate lost district by a point, where they poured in a tons of money and which is actualy favored in the polls with R president historicaly unpopular would be a HUGE UPSET. lol.

[InheritTheWind]

PARNELL LEADS IN SOUTH CAROLINA

HE DID IT, HE FLIPPED THE DISTRICT!

OH MY GOD HANDEL IN THE LEAD DEMOCRATS ARE DESTINED TO SPEND THE NEXT 40 YEARS IN THE WILDERNESS

[Confused Democrat]

PARNELL LEADS IN SOUTH CAROLINA

HE DID IT, HE FLIPPED THE DISTRICT!

It'll be funny if Ossoff loses and Parnell wins.