GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread
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  GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread
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Author Topic: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread  (Read 69822 times)
GlobeSoc
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« Reply #275 on: June 20, 2017, 06:48:19 PM »

It's too early. Wait for more results.

I was being sarcastic
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BlueDogDemocrat
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« Reply #276 on: June 20, 2017, 06:49:37 PM »

Why doesn't the New York Times have a probability arrow on South Carolina's race today?
Probably because it isn't supposed to be a Competitive race the republican should win it by a decent margin
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #277 on: June 20, 2017, 06:49:55 PM »

So what happens if Parnell wins and Ossoff loses?  Do we just shut everything down?
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GGover
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« Reply #278 on: June 20, 2017, 06:50:00 PM »

It's over for Ossoff! :0
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #279 on: June 20, 2017, 06:50:02 PM »

I see nobody saw the posts that these early vote numbers are just in-person early vote, and doesn't including the Dem-leaning mail votes.

How many are there?

Anyone have the answer to this?

I just did a quick crunch on last night's absentee file, and get:

Cobb
ELECTRONIC Count   90
IN PERSON Count   17131
MAILED Count   10695

DeKalb
ELECTRONIC Count   95
IN PERSON Count   25328
MAILED Count   7256

Fulton
ELECTRONIC Count   144
IN PERSON Count   72084
MAILED Count   9187
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #280 on: June 20, 2017, 06:50:23 PM »

Man, after watching the UK general election unfold, I have got to say (especially now) that I am jealous of how fast they manage to tabulate everything.

Uhhh what? Aside from the race in Sunderland and Newcastle, the UK is slower. Constituencies typically take 2 hours minimum to report, with many having to take 4+ for districts with less then 80K people.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #281 on: June 20, 2017, 06:50:34 PM »

some precinct maps out there on NYT and 538 for Fulton in person EV for anyone that knows what that data might indicate.....
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Hammy
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« Reply #282 on: June 20, 2017, 06:50:56 PM »

Karen Handel (Republican)    51.5%   37,435
Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    48.5%   35,256

Early vote count is fairly in line with my R 54-46 prediction given how things trended during the runoff.
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #283 on: June 20, 2017, 06:51:01 PM »

So what happens if Parnell wins and Ossoff loses?  Do we just shut everything down?

No, it just means the entire strategy of the dems is wrong.
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jfern
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« Reply #284 on: June 20, 2017, 06:51:31 PM »

So what happens if Parnell wins and Ossoff loses?  Do we just shut everything down?

No, it just means the entire strategy of the dems is wrong.

Well, we already knew that.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #285 on: June 20, 2017, 06:51:56 PM »

So what happens if Parnell wins and Ossoff loses?  Do we just shut everything down?

No, it just means the entire strategy of the dems is wrong.

Was Parnell's strategy really that different from Ossoff's?
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #286 on: June 20, 2017, 06:52:04 PM »

So, we have a Haganing?
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #287 on: June 20, 2017, 06:52:38 PM »

So what happens if Parnell wins and Ossoff loses?  Do we just shut everything down?

No, it just means the entire strategy of the dems is wrong.

Was Parnell's strategy really that different from Ossoff?

It's suburban vs rural, not in terms of messaging.
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NeederNodder
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« Reply #288 on: June 20, 2017, 06:53:02 PM »

So what happens if Parnell wins and Ossoff loses?  Do we just shut everything down?

No, it just means the entire strategy of the dems is wrong.

Well, we already knew that.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #289 on: June 20, 2017, 06:54:18 PM »

Karen Handel (Republican)    51.6%   38,945
Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    48.4%   36,540
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #290 on: June 20, 2017, 06:55:28 PM »

DDHQ says this is consistent with an extremely close race, although I'm not sure how much stock I put in them at this point.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #291 on: June 20, 2017, 06:55:36 PM »

SC-05 stopped updating. SC GOP sweatin' like a dog
GA-06 stopped updating too.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #292 on: June 20, 2017, 06:55:42 PM »

WTF Atlas. Early vote drops for Fulton and Ossoff down 1: its all over for Ossoff, why did Dems waste money, nothing is good. 3% of precincts from a Dem county and the dem-leaning early vote in in SC: Dems win, strategy wrong, rurals for life?  

I wonder why I even bother to sign up here in the first place.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #293 on: June 20, 2017, 06:56:02 PM »

Handel showed up at her victory party, so clearly she's optimistic.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #294 on: June 20, 2017, 06:56:05 PM »

Ossoff probably ends up with 52-53% of the EV in Fulton once mail ballots are counted.
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #295 on: June 20, 2017, 06:56:15 PM »

SC-05 stopped updating. SC GOP sweatin' like a dog

I'm sure Gov. McMaster has already voided the election and declared the ghost of Strom Thurmond the winner based on a few early returns from Kershaw county
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #296 on: June 20, 2017, 06:56:36 PM »

WTF Atlas. Early vote drops for Fulton and Ossoff down 1: its all over for Ossoff, why did Dems waste money, nothing is good. 3% of precincts from a Dem county and the dem-leaning early vote in in SC: Dems win, strategy wrong, rurals for life?  

I wonder why I even bother to sign up here in the first place.

Every moment of election night is an eternity.
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GGover
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« Reply #297 on: June 20, 2017, 06:57:04 PM »

Ossoff probably wasn't the best candidate Dems could've chosen.
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This is Eharding, guys
ossoff2028
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« Reply #298 on: June 20, 2017, 06:57:06 PM »

WTF Atlas. Early vote drops for Fulton and Ossoff down 1: its all over for Ossoff, why did Dems waste money, nothing is good. 3% of precincts from a Dem county and the dem-leaning early vote in in SC: Dems win, strategy wrong, rurals for life?  

I wonder why I even bother to sign up here in the first place.
Less than 30% of the vote is in for both districts. Don't worry.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #299 on: June 20, 2017, 06:57:11 PM »

NYT just moved their projection from Handel +0.8 to Handel +0.6. Clearly she's done for.
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