GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread
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  GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread
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Author Topic: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread  (Read 70618 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #25 on: June 20, 2017, 11:07:32 AM »

What were people saying about Murphy vs West in 2012? Who did they expect to win?
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JJC
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« Reply #26 on: June 20, 2017, 11:08:14 AM »

I'm hearing that in Cobb county lines are three times as long as they were in the presidential election.

That's good for Handel. Even though Cobb - the best GOP district - had low EV turnout, the EV for Handel was still pretty descent. All she needs to do is nab about 55% of the election day vote to win.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #27 on: June 20, 2017, 11:15:28 AM »

Does anyone know if ossoff is going to have a surplus of cash at the end? And if he does what would he do with it? Run again?

No matter who wins, they will have an insane amount of cash leftover at the end. This will probably make the seat less then competitive in 2018 as all the credible opposition is deterred by the warchest. This is similar to Fl-18 in 2014, where Murphy's huge cash pile from 2012 put off credible Republican challengers.

I'm not sure what Handel does with her money in the event of defeat, but Ossoff probably sits on his cash for a future race - he is young after all.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #28 on: June 20, 2017, 11:20:27 AM »

Does anyone know if ossoff is going to have a surplus of cash at the end? And if he does what would he do with it? Run again?

No matter who wins, they will have an insane amount of cash leftover at the end. This will probably make the seat less then competitive in 2018 as all the credible opposition is deterred by the warchest. This is similar to Fl-18 in 2014, where Murphy's huge cash pile from 2012 put off credible Republican challengers.

I'm not sure what Handel does with her money in the event of defeat, but Ossoff probably sits on his cash for a future race - he is young after all.
I would hope he runs again if he looses. If Handel wins its probably because Republicans still giving Trump a chance. Atleast by 2018 he be married, live in the district, and more time for people to have an opinion about Trump. Handel is no way safe if she wins the 2012-2016 swing was huge plus Atlanta Metro adds about 90k a year and the only people who can afford to live off 400 are people from more expensive liberal cities.   
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ajc0918
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« Reply #29 on: June 20, 2017, 11:20:54 AM »

Take this with a grain of salt, obviously, but:

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Matty
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« Reply #30 on: June 20, 2017, 11:22:34 AM »

Turnout reports are easily the worst part of election day waiting.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #31 on: June 20, 2017, 11:25:32 AM »

Take this with a grain of salt, obviously, but:

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So GOP vote is either "moderate" or 3x better than the 2016 presidential election.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #32 on: June 20, 2017, 11:25:49 AM »

Turnout reports are easily the worst part of election day waiting.

Turnout reports will probably be even less useful than usual.  142K people already voted early.
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Matty
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« Reply #33 on: June 20, 2017, 11:28:16 AM »

Turnout reports are easily the worst part of election day waiting.

Turnout reports will probably be even less useful than usual.  142K people already voted early.

Honestly the only time I think pre-results "reports" were useful were the utah caucuses last year. lol
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JJC
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« Reply #34 on: June 20, 2017, 11:34:31 AM »

Turnout reports are easily the worst part of election day waiting.

But it's tradition Smiley

Just like made up posts of voter intimidation practices.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #35 on: June 20, 2017, 11:51:21 AM »

Torrential rain and flash flood warnings in parts of the district, but other parts haven't seen any rain yet.
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Matty
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« Reply #36 on: June 20, 2017, 11:53:07 AM »

Torrential rain and flash flood warnings in parts of the district, but other parts haven't seen any rain yet.

didn't it rain last time, too?

What are the chances of that? In june no less.....
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Hydera
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« Reply #37 on: June 20, 2017, 11:54:34 AM »

Torrential rain and flash flood warnings in parts of the district, but other parts haven't seen any rain yet.

Should benefit Ossoff since republicans are stronger with election day voting while dems with early voting.
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kyc0705
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« Reply #38 on: June 20, 2017, 11:55:34 AM »

Take this with a grain of salt, obviously, but:

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I think Ossoff is going to win, but that tweet just reminds me of the SNL sketch about how suburban moms were supposed to swing Pennsylvania for Clinton.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #39 on: June 20, 2017, 11:56:21 AM »

I wonder if the adeage that good weather jelp democrats because of turnout may be obsolete now that so many democrats vote early and Republicans tend to win election day handily.
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JJC
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« Reply #40 on: June 20, 2017, 12:05:53 PM »
« Edited: June 20, 2017, 12:07:42 PM by JJC »

lol

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #41 on: June 20, 2017, 12:14:09 PM »


It's now expanding into the more Republican areas of Fulton and Cobb.  Just like early voting: the Democrats lead early, with the Republicans coming in later. Wink
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Progressive
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« Reply #42 on: June 20, 2017, 12:15:19 PM »

Any other turnout reports?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #43 on: June 20, 2017, 12:17:41 PM »

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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #44 on: June 20, 2017, 12:24:30 PM »

Is there any evidence of weather (outside of catastrophic weather) actually having an impact on elections?
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Virginiá
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« Reply #45 on: June 20, 2017, 12:25:35 PM »

lol @ this

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Matty
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« Reply #46 on: June 20, 2017, 12:33:16 PM »

I cannot wait until this is over. Regardless of who wins. Let us remember it is one house race out of 438 districts in the nation.

50 million bucks being spent is frankly troubling.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #47 on: June 20, 2017, 12:35:22 PM »

Is there any evidence of weather (outside of catastrophic weather) actually having an impact on elections?

In Austria, there has actually been a study on this:

Rain-weather increases turnout here, while sunny weather leads to lower turnout (mostly because people have better stuff like hiking or cycling to do).

Did you ever notice that shopping malls have like 3-4 times the number of customers when it rains rather than when it's sunny outside ? If it's sunny, shopping malls (like precincts) are virtually empty (well, not really, but there's still a difference).
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Progressive
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« Reply #48 on: June 20, 2017, 12:38:32 PM »

I cannot wait until this is over. Regardless of who wins. Let us remember it is one house race out of 438 districts in the nation.

50 million bucks being spent is frankly troubling.

True, but my concern is that many of my friends for example (especially those who were anti-Hillary or reluctantly Hillary) will take a losing result as a sign that the DNC has permanently and irreparably failed.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #49 on: June 20, 2017, 12:42:51 PM »

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