GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread

[Progressive]

Purely anecdotal and probably stupid dribble on my end, but:

1. Earlier this AM many of the Pro-Handel/GOP/Trump people on Twitter were writing about how funny it will be when he "loses his Ossoff," "Lossoff loses," etc.

2. A lot of people on Twitter now posting about Ossoff busing in "illegal voters," the seat and victory was bought by Soros, etc.

So I guess I'm wondering whether there were Tweets/news reports about favorable ground for Ossoff during the day?

Anyone who understands Atlanta traffic, especially in bad weather, knows this is clearly infeasible.

Hahaha. I've heard it's bad though I insist NYC can give it a run for its money..

[Classic Conservative]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

[GeorgiaModerate]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

36K in Fulton, which has over half the district's voters, doesn't seem like that much.  Wasn't overall Election Day turnout expected to be in the 100K neighborhood?

[Progressive]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

Is that a good Handel or Ossoff county? anyone have benchmarks for them to win county by county?

[GeorgiaModerate]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

Is that a good Handel or Ossoff county? anyone have benchmarks for them to win county by county?

It's a mix, with good areas for both.  Generally the more northern areas are R, the southern ones D (although this isn't absolute).  Regarding benchmarks, Gass3268 posted this upthread:

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[Progressive]

Thanks for the county breakdown. Now just to be clear, if Ossoff were to over perform in Fulton County let's say he wins 50.6% instead of the baseline 49.6% needed to win, that gives him some room to underperform elsewhere right?

[Gass3268]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

36K in Fulton, which has over half the district's voters, doesn't seem like that much.  Wasn't overall Election Day turnout expected to be in the 100K neighborhood?

I could be totally wrong, but this seems like bad news for Handel. She needs a robust Election Day turnout.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Thanks for the county breakdown. Now just to be clear, if Ossoff were to over perform in Fulton County let's say he wins 50.6% instead of the baseline 49.6% needed to win, that gives him some room to underperform elsewhere right?

Yes, assuming the vote is distributed among the counties the way the original source expects it to be.

[GeorgiaModerate]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

36K in Fulton, which has over half the district's voters, doesn't seem like that much.  Wasn't overall Election Day turnout expected to be in the 100K neighborhood?

I could be totally wrong, but this seems like bad news for Handel. She needs a robust Election Day turnout.

Let me correct myself here...actually Fulton doesn't have quite half of the registered voters in the district.  It's Fulton 48%, Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%.  And in the first round, the distribution of votes was Fulton 45%, Cobb 32%, DeKalb 23%.  However, in the early vote Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26%, Dekalb 21%.  So the trend then was for Fulton to have less of an Election Day turnout (relative to early vote) than the other two counties.  If that trend continues, then maybe today's turnout will be something close to 100K after all.

[Person Man]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

36K in Fulton, which has over half the district's voters, doesn't seem like that much.  Wasn't overall Election Day turnout expected to be in the 100K neighborhood?

I could be totally wrong, but this seems like bad news for Handel. She needs a robust Election Day turnout.

Let me correct myself here...actually Fulton doesn't have quite half of the registered voters in the district.  It's Fulton 48%, Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%.  And in the first round, the distribution of votes was Fulton 45%, Cobb 32%, DeKalb 23%.  However, in the early vote Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26%, Dekalb 21%.  So the trend then was for Fulton to have less of an Election Day turnout (relative to early vote) than the other two counties.  If that trend continues, then maybe today's turnout will be something close to 100K after all.

And that would benefit whom and how much?

[Sorenroy]

Imagine how hilarious it would be if the Democrats lost GA-06 but won SC-05, lol.

Anyway, links to the NYTimes and AP results plz?

NYTimes results:
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-congressional-runoff-ossoff-handel

For South Carolina:
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/south-carolina-house-special-election

[Crumpets]

Purely anecdotal and probably stupid dribble on my end, but:

1. Earlier this AM many of the Pro-Handel/GOP/Trump people on Twitter were writing about how funny it will be when he "loses his Ossoff," "Lossoff loses," etc.

2. A lot of people on Twitter now posting about Ossoff busing in "illegal voters," the seat and victory was bought by Soros, etc.

So I guess I'm wondering whether there were Tweets/news reports about favorable ground for Ossoff during the day?

Anyone who understands Atlanta traffic, especially in bad weather, knows this is clearly infeasible.

Exclusive look at dastardly voter fraud operation:

[GeorgiaModerate]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

36K in Fulton, which has over half the district's voters, doesn't seem like that much.  Wasn't overall Election Day turnout expected to be in the 100K neighborhood?

I could be totally wrong, but this seems like bad news for Handel. She needs a robust Election Day turnout.

Let me correct myself here...actually Fulton doesn't have quite half of the registered voters in the district.  It's Fulton 48%, Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%.  And in the first round, the distribution of votes was Fulton 45%, Cobb 32%, DeKalb 23%.  However, in the early vote Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26%, Dekalb 21%.  So the trend then was for Fulton to have less of an Election Day turnout (relative to early vote) than the other two counties.  If that trend continues, then maybe today's turnout will be something close to 100K after all.

And that would benefit whom and how much?

It's expected that Ossoff will lead in the EV and Handel will lead in today's voting.  So in theory, a lower turnout today should benefit Ossoff.  How much?  Good question.

[Classic Conservative]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 more than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

[GeorgiaModerate]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 less than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

DDHQ says it's about 1,000 more than R1, not less.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 less than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.

[Classic Conservative]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 less than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

DDHQ says it's about 1,000 more than R1, not less.

Yes sorry; in R1 32,000 people voted in DeKalb.

[Roronoa D. Law]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

36K in Fulton, which has over half the district's voters, doesn't seem like that much.  Wasn't overall Election Day turnout expected to be in the 100K neighborhood?

I could be totally wrong, but this seems like bad news for Handel. She needs a robust Election Day turnout.

Let me correct myself here...actually Fulton doesn't have quite half of the registered voters in the district.  It's Fulton 48%, Cobb 29%, DeKalb 23%.  And in the first round, the distribution of votes was Fulton 45%, Cobb 32%, DeKalb 23%.  However, in the early vote Fulton was 53%, Cobb 26%, Dekalb 21%.  So the trend then was for Fulton to have less of an Election Day turnout (relative to early vote) than the other two counties.  If that trend continues, then maybe today's turnout will be something close to 100K after all.

And that would benefit whom and how much?

It's expected that Ossoff will lead in the EV and Handel will lead in today's voting.  So in theory, a lower turnout today should benefit Ossoff.  How much?  Good question.

Where also matter if Cobb voter share is lower than last time that not good for Handel Fulton is a wild card right now.

[Matty]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 less than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.

dekalb county democrats work long and hard hours and may or may not be able to get off of work to vote.

[GeorgiaModerate]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 less than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.

No, it's about 1K more than were cast at the same time of day in R1.  The total E-day vote for DeKalb in R1 was about 32K.

[hueylong]

Among early vote, signs that Ossoff campaign has succeeded in turning out more Asian and Hispanic voters. Black vote is up by more than 7000, though black voters account for a smaller overall percentage of the early vote than they did in April (about 1.1% less).

[Gass3268]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 less than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.

dekalb county democrats, for the most part, either don't work or work at jobs like wendy's and raising cane's where they can't get off from work to vote

[RFayette]

Well, Romney isn't president now. Trump is, and he only won the district by 1. But you are right, this seat is more about the narrative anyway. My point was that I seriously doubt that many Democrats will be happy if Ossoff loses only by 1 or 2 instead of 10. They have set their expectations so high that anything other than a win would be a disappointment IMO.

However, isn't it significant if Ossoff finishes with 49% of the vote or something, and implies a sea shift in the college educated electorate?

Then it just means we are holding steady at '16 levels in terms of the demographic change of college-educated whites; but we don't need that special election to confirm that; we already see this pattern in cross tabs for public opinion polls.

[ajc0918]

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[Roronoa D. Law]

13,787 votes in DeKalb as of 3:00, about 1,000 less than R1
https://mobile.twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/877262286053941250

But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.

dekalb county democrats, for the most part, either don't work or work at jobs like wendy's and raising cane's where they can't get off from work to vote

Sorry no the GA-400 Corridor is our version of the Collar/WOW counties. You can't buy a new home in this district less than 500k. Brookhaven and Dunwoody are not poor or working class by any means.