GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread

[Umengus]

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

[Classic Conservative]

From Dave Wasserman:

"One thing is for sure: Democrats will outperform Hillary Clinton’s vote share by much more in South Carolina 5 than Georgia 6. A big reason why? Georgia’s election is on track for a historic turnout in excess of 250,000 voters. Meanwhile, South Carolina’s election may have drawn fewer than 100,000 voters. Democrats are fired up everywhere, but after all the hype, Republican voters were more engaged in Georgia than South Carolina."

[ApatheticAustrian]

I think a few things are clear from this special election season.

1) dem make big gains across the board.

2) republican voters are going all-in.

3) the margins of change are all big not scott brown-huge.

especially GA6 is going to affirm everyone and no one......this anti-trump prez seat became an anti-trump congress-seat, with a similar margin.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Disastrous results for the GOP tonight

Nice try.

I mean it's not disastrous in the sense that GOP will win the seats tonight, but like. Idk I'd think it were pretty disastrous if the GOP came within 2 points of winning Rep. Grace Meng's seat for example.

SC is a pretty awful result, but they could have done much worse in GA, so I'd say it's a wash. I know it's a controversial opinion on here, but I don't believe that special elections are a 100% foolproof barometer to predict the results of the midterm elections.

Obviously they are in trouble in several House races, but we already knew that.

I agree on the one hand this says nothing about 2018 but jfc what does Trump need to do to finally pay some type of politcal backlash at the polls?

[Confused Democrat]

This is glorious.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

DDHQ calls it for Norman.  NYT too.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

It's over.

[AtorBoltox]

Disastrous results for the GOP tonight

Nice try.

I mean it's not disastrous in the sense that GOP will win the seats tonight, but like. Idk I'd think it were pretty disastrous if the GOP came within 2 points of winning Rep. Grace Meng's seat for example.

SC is a pretty awful result, but they could have done much worse in GA, so I'd say it's a wash. I know it's a controversial opinion on here, but I don't believe that special elections are a 100% foolproof barometer to predict the results of the midterm elections.

Obviously they are in trouble in several House races, but we already knew that.

I agree on the one hand this says nothing about 2018 but jfc what does Trump need to do to finally pay some type of politcal backlash at the polls?

This is backlash. As someone further up said there are about 80 Republican seats closer than this, to be within 1 point is absolutely disastrous.

[The_Doctor]

DDHQ calls it for Norman

By 2%! Bang up job!

[VPH]

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

It's over.

\
POLITICO:
Handel is running 2.8 points behind where Republicans ran in those precincts in April. Ossoff is running 2.7 points ahead of where Democrats ran in those precincts in the primary.

[Matty]

NYT tracker is at 2.6 Handel win

[Umengus]

Candidate

Percent

Votes


Karen Handel (Republican)  52.6% 96,130
Jon Ossoff (Democratic)  47.4% 86,531

182,661 Total Votes

[InheritTheWind]

Disastrous results for the GOP tonight

Nice try.

I mean it's not disastrous in the sense that GOP will win the seats tonight, but like. Idk I'd think it were pretty disastrous if the GOP came within 2 points of winning Rep. Grace Meng's seat for example.

SC is a pretty awful result, but they could have done much worse in GA, so I'd say it's a wash. I know it's a controversial opinion on here, but I don't believe that special elections are a 100% foolproof barometer to predict the results of the midterm elections.

Obviously they are in trouble in several House races, but we already knew that.

I agree on the one hand this says nothing about 2018 but jfc what does Trump need to do to finally pay some type of politcal backlash at the polls?

Literally shoot someone on 5th Avenue?

[libertpaulian]

Disastrous results for the GOP tonight

Nice try.

I mean it's not disastrous in the sense that GOP will win the seats tonight, but like. Idk I'd think it were pretty disastrous if the GOP came within 2 points of winning Rep. Grace Meng's seat for example.

SC is a pretty awful result, but they could have done much worse in GA, so I'd say it's a wash. I know it's a controversial opinion on here, but I don't believe that special elections are a 100% foolproof barometer to predict the results of the midterm elections.

Obviously they are in trouble in several House races, but we already knew that.

I agree on the one hand this says nothing about 2018 but jfc what does Trump need to do to finally pay some type of politcal backlash at the polls?

Maybe your message needs to be more than "MUH RESISTANCE"

[krazen1211]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

This isn't really accurate of course. The district didn't even cover anything near its current territory until your party moved it there in the 1990s in order to gerrymander Newt Gingrich.

OK your goal post moving is a good sign Ossoff wins. Sounds solid.

I am supposed to be concerned about a single house district the GOP can simply gerrymander back?

If I were you, I'd be concerned about a lot of things in the political world.

And more evidence you're worried. Excellent.

Nah.

[Confused Democrat]

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

It's over.

\
POLITICO:
Handel is running 2.8 points behind where Republicans ran in those precincts in April. Ossoff is running 2.7 points ahead of where Democrats ran in those precincts in the primary.

Keep grasping at straws.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Handel is winning in Dekalb county now

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

It's over.

We'll see.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

A pretty big jump for Handel from the NYT

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

It's over.

\
POLITICO:
Handel is running 2.8 points behind where Republicans ran in those precincts in April. Ossoff is running 2.7 points ahead of where Democrats ran in those precincts in the primary.

Welcome to reality, congresswoman Handel will be a thing.

[krazen1211]

Maybe your message needs to be more than "MUH RESISTANCE"

Whining losers of the 2016 election don't like Trump, therefore others should vote Democrat!

Wait, what?

[Beet]

I'm starting to think GA-06 was hacked but the hackers just forgot about SC-05.

jk

[Dr. Arch]

When will this country have some mercy on my soul? Good lord, I weep for our futures.

[Horus]

Politico's model appears waaay off. Not sure what they were doing.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Wasserman: "DAVID WASSERMAN 9:12 PM
In the last few minutes, Ossoff’s fortunes have taken a turn for the worse … just how much worse, it’s going to take a few minutes to assess"