GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread

[The Other Castro]

A lot of people in line are drinking iced coffee. Good sign. Only liberals drink iced coffee.

[The Other Castro]

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
We could be talking >250k total votes in #GA06. When's last time turnout for a stand-alone special was that high? I can't find an example.

https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/877274782437437440

[The Other Castro]

Last minute reminder:

Michael McDonald‏ @ElectProject  22s22 seconds ago
When we get the #GA06 early vote dump, expect them to be much worse for Ossoff than the 1st round. More Reps voted early in 2nd round

[The Other Castro]

Nate Cohn estimated 266k votes....

Even without the flooding, that would be an unexpectedly super high total.

[The Other Castro]

For our GA people - when do results begin coming in?

We're probably 20-30 minutes away.

[The Other Castro]

DDHQ says Fulton early vote (in person) expected around 7:45-8.

[The Other Castro]

First votes coming in:

Karen Handel (Republican)    56.3%   9
Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    43.8%   7

Let's call it for Handel now! /s

lol it's a landslide folks

[The Other Castro]

Karen Handel    Republican    37,140    51.4%    
Jon Ossoff           Democrat            35,111    48.6

All Fulton EV.

It's just in-person though, no mail (which will lean more Dem).

[The Other Castro]

I see nobody saw the posts that these early vote numbers are just in-person early vote, and doesn't including the Dem-leaning mail votes.

[The Other Castro]

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[The Other Castro]

Michael McDonald says 8,539 mail EV in Fulton.

[The Other Castro]

Handel should probably win a very close race at this point.

[The Other Castro]

In fully reporting precincts for Election Day vote, Handel is doing about 0.6% worse and Ossoff about 0.6% better than round 1 (than total Republicans and Democrats respectively). Likely not enough though for Ossoff.

[The Other Castro]

Can Dems apply some of Parnell's overperformance to Ossoff to help him win?

If Democrats did more to try to help Parnell, he would have done worse.

[The Other Castro]

Sigh, gold standard Trafalgar wins again.

[The Other Castro]

Hmmm

Robert Costa @costareports  14s15 seconds ago
Democratic strategist remains upbeat. Voting by mail is seen as an Ossoff stronghold and it's not yet been factored into returns.

[The Other Castro]

The mail ins for DeKalb are coming soon, per DDHQ.

[The Other Castro]

How does Trafalgar Group do it?

They got the Early Vote essentially correct (Ossoff +3), and the final margin looks to be dead on (Handel +2) at the moment.

I hate to do it, but hats off to Trafalgar tonight.

[The Other Castro]

Biggest questions remaining:

1. Can Ossoff perform better in the remaining DeKalb areas?
2. Can Ossoff win the mail in votes by a massive margin?

If yes to both, he could still have a chance.

[The Other Castro]

Ossoff 73% DeKalb mail in

OK, that's enough info for me to say this is over. Not good enough in the mail-ins for Ossoff.

[The Other Castro]

Final Result SC-05: Norman wins by 3.2%

Probably going to be closer than GA-6 lol

[The Other Castro]

NYT live vote tracker currently predicting an end result of Handel 51.4%, Ossoff 48.6%.

[The Other Castro]

Ossoff has called Handel and conceded.

[The Other Castro]

Honestly I'm just glad this is over. It's been exhausting. I'm disappointed by the loss, but it doesn't hurt too much knowing how little an impact it will have on the 2018 races.

[The Other Castro]

When will some people realize it takes more than just a good candidate to win a race? Ossoff was by no means a bad candidate. He wasn't perfect, but he did probably pretty close to the best a Democrat in his position could do given the circumstances. People don't lose just because of how good they are as a candidate. Perhaps there is a set of factors that could have aligned to provide a victory, but that was not the case here at this time.