GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (user search)
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  GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread  (Read 69729 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« on: June 20, 2017, 11:07:32 AM »

What were people saying about Murphy vs West in 2012? Who did they expect to win?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2017, 12:50:01 PM »

True, but my concern is that many of my friends for example (especially those who were anti-Hillary or reluctantly Hillary) will take a losing result as a sign that the DNC has permanently and irreparably failed.

Probably. Whenever I talk to people about this offline I tend to mention that it is a district that isn't even supposed to be competitive, and is only having a special election now because Trump's team thought it would be filled by another Republican due to its previous voting behavior.

The fact that Democrats have made this district a toss-up should be cause for celebration on its own imo. Further, despite the huge price tag, which is troubling, it has also shown that while money does help, esp the further downballot you go, it really can't just buy a district that is not favorable to your party. Candidates and partisan leanings still matter.

He needs to find a way to win.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2017, 01:47:31 PM »

Well, Romney isn't president now. Trump is, and he only won the district by 1. But you are right, this seat is more about the narrative anyway. My point was that I seriously doubt that many Democrats will be happy if Ossoff loses only by 1 or 2 instead of 10. They have set their expectations so high that anything other than a win would be a disappointment IMO.

Correct.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2017, 03:35:19 PM »


But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2017, 03:58:55 PM »


But with nearly three hours left. They will most likely exceed that especially in the last couple of hours when people leave work.


dekalb county democrats, for the most part, either don't work or work at jobs like wendy's and raising cane's where they can't get off from work to vote

This is northern DeKalb genius, mostly white collar, educated, and suburban, not the inner city part.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2017, 04:19:24 PM »

I know a whole family that lives in this part of DeKalb, two engineers and one administrator, all Puerto Rican, and they all voted for Ossoff today. Get your foot out of your mouth marty.

He's been reading too much of the daily stormer, you know the GOP these days, helping perpetuate gun culture and guns in blue areas and getting off scotch free when shooting people while in uniform, too much violence.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2017, 05:03:21 PM »

I can't follow PredictIt. It makes me nauseous. and the comments are vile

Yusky is by far the worst.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #7 on: June 20, 2017, 05:43:03 PM »

Any reason ossof is down 7 cents on predictitt today?

People are coming back to reality, and reality is you probably don't want to bet your money on him.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #8 on: June 20, 2017, 05:48:16 PM »

Why does everyone pronounce it "DeKab" even though it's Dekalb?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #9 on: June 20, 2017, 06:06:27 PM »

I think Judson Hill has got this in the bag.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #10 on: June 20, 2017, 06:37:01 PM »

Oooooooh, he lost the early vote in Fulton, terrible sign.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #11 on: June 20, 2017, 08:01:33 PM »

I am very close to calling this for Handel.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #12 on: June 20, 2017, 08:09:44 PM »

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

It's over.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #13 on: June 20, 2017, 08:12:03 PM »

NYT: If we had to guess, we’d give the advantage to Karen Handel, but the race is close.

It's over.
\
POLITICO:
Handel is running 2.8 points behind where Republicans ran in those precincts in April. Ossoff is running 2.7 points ahead of where Democrats ran in those precincts in the primary.

Welcome to reality, congresswoman Handel will be a thing.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #14 on: June 20, 2017, 08:13:57 PM »

Sc 5th's margin could actually be skinnier than Ga 6th.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #15 on: June 20, 2017, 09:44:41 PM »

Wow, my GA predictions were almost spot on. My SC was off, but yeah.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #16 on: June 20, 2017, 09:52:06 PM »

I hope this 2017 is to 2018 as 2009 was to 2010. But I doubt it.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #17 on: June 20, 2017, 09:52:42 PM »

Does anyone think that a Sanders clone would have won either of these races? Be honest.

No.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #18 on: June 20, 2017, 09:55:55 PM »

Schweitzer would have knocked the living crap out of Gianforte. He must be courted for future races.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #19 on: June 20, 2017, 09:58:03 PM »

Who thinks that Thompson could have won if he got Ossoff's war chest? I think he would have squeeked by and slightly won.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #20 on: June 20, 2017, 10:11:43 PM »

Although I'm disappointed by the results in Georgia, I thank God for a safe and free election, and reluctantly respect the will of the majority. I don't know where to even look for 2018. Hopefully the DNC and DCCC will get their crap together by then, but I doubt it.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #21 on: June 20, 2017, 10:15:37 PM »

I find it funny that Trump and Republican are celebrating about winning in Kansas, Montana, South Carolina, and Georgia.
Still celebrating winning in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, etc.

Things look very good for yall right now, I can see it and I admit it. But a piece of friendly advice, don't get too cocky, just trust me and all the other liberals feeding you our tears now, you don't want to end up like us.
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