GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread

[Progressive]

Any other turnout reports?

[Progressive]

I cannot wait until this is over. Regardless of who wins. Let us remember it is one house race out of 438 districts in the nation.

50 million bucks being spent is frankly troubling.

True, but my concern is that many of my friends for example (especially those who were anti-Hillary or reluctantly Hillary) will take a losing result as a sign that the DNC has permanently and irreparably failed.

[Progressive]

True, but my concern is that many of my friends for example (especially those who were anti-Hillary or reluctantly Hillary) will take a losing result as a sign that the DNC has permanently and irreparably failed.

Probably. Whenever I talk to people about this offline I tend to mention that it is a district that isn't even supposed to be competitive, and is only having a special election now because Trump's team thought it would be filled by another Republican due to its previous voting behavior.

The fact that Democrats have made this district a toss-up should be cause for celebration on its own imo. Further, despite the huge price tag, which is troubling, it has also shown that while money does help, esp the further downballot you go, it really can't just buy a district that is not favorable to your party. Candidates and partisan leanings still matter.

He needs to find a way to win.

It also goes with this narrative--Democrats can't get nice things.

Think about the Scott Brown election in MA for example. I wasn't even old enough to vote yet in 2010 but I still remember the sting of Coakley losing to Brown. If I recall correctly, Brown did not even squeak by. He won solidly by like 5 points ~100,000 votes. That's a 17 point swing from a state that had a D+12 PVI in 2010. Many of us are waiting for Trump to have that embarrassing moment. I think, pretty objectively, even among many Republicans I know (incl. Trump supporters), no one deserves a humbling moment more than Trump does.

[Progressive]

Purely anecdotal and probably stupid dribble on my end, but:

1. Earlier this AM many of the Pro-Handel/GOP/Trump people on Twitter were writing about how funny it will be when he "loses his Ossoff," "Lossoff loses," etc.

2. A lot of people on Twitter now posting about Ossoff busing in "illegal voters," the seat and victory was bought by Soros, etc.

So I guess I'm wondering whether there were Tweets/news reports about favorable ground for Ossoff during the day?

[Progressive]

Purely anecdotal and probably stupid dribble on my end, but:

1. Earlier this AM many of the Pro-Handel/GOP/Trump people on Twitter were writing about how funny it will be when he "loses his Ossoff," "Lossoff loses," etc.

2. A lot of people on Twitter now posting about Ossoff busing in "illegal voters," the seat and victory was bought by Soros, etc.

So I guess I'm wondering whether there were Tweets/news reports about favorable ground for Ossoff during the day?

Anyone who understands Atlanta traffic, especially in bad weather, knows this is clearly infeasible.

Hahaha. I've heard it's bad though I insist NYC can give it a run for its money..

[Progressive]

16,500 votes in Fulton County by 12:30. They are expecting 36,000 today.
https://mobile.twitter.com/TopAtlantaNow/status/877243954001047556

Is that a good Handel or Ossoff county? anyone have benchmarks for them to win county by county?

[Progressive]

Thanks for the county breakdown. Now just to be clear, if Ossoff were to over perform in Fulton County let's say he wins 50.6% instead of the baseline 49.6% needed to win, that gives him some room to underperform elsewhere right?

[Progressive]

I can't follow PredictIt. It makes me nauseous. and the comments are vile

[Progressive]

Any more Nate Cohn, et al. updates about turnout suggesting result?

[Progressive]

Is Decision Desk not working for anyone else?

[Progressive]

Let's ignore the entire history of GA-6 lol. It's been a ruby-red district for years, and hasn't elected a Democrat since the 70's.

Still, an Ossoff win wouldn't be an upset.

Yes it would. If the GOP won the Nita Lowey seat in NY (Westchester and northern suburbs), D+7, it would be an upset even if the GOP put millions into the race. GA-06 is R+8 with little statewide Dem infrastructure.

[Progressive]

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11pm!?

*throws table*

I don't think they mean first numbers by 11, right?

[Progressive]

Karen Handel    Republican    37,140    51.4%    
Jon Ossoff           Democrat            35,111    48.6

All Fulton EV.

What are Fulton benchmarks for Ossoff win?

[Progressive]

The left always gives the right a chance. The opposite never happens. Oh well.

[Progressive]

Disastrous results for the GOP tonight

Nice try.

I mean it's not disastrous in the sense that GOP will win the seats tonight, but like. Idk I'd think it were pretty disastrous if the GOP came within 2 points of winning Rep. Grace Meng's seat for example.