538: Georgia 6 Is All About The Voters Who Reluctantly Backed Trump
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  538: Georgia 6 Is All About The Voters Who Reluctantly Backed Trump
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Author Topic: 538: Georgia 6 Is All About The Voters Who Reluctantly Backed Trump  (Read 889 times)
Virginiá
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« on: June 20, 2017, 12:55:39 PM »

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/georgia-6-is-all-about-the-voters-who-reluctantly-backed-trump/

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3 attributes to reluctant Trump supporters:

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So these would be the "soft" Trump supporters. Regarding GA-6, what I wonder is exactly how many of those people have already defected from Trump? Trump barely won the district in 2016, and Ossoff barely lost the district in the primary. Now, the electorates surely were not replicated voter-for-voter, but overall it seems like at least as of April, most of those soft supporters were still in the Republican camp. If they had since moved, wouldn't Ossoff be unambiguously leading in the polls by now? If he does win narrowly, then it might suggest only a marginal amount flipped, which means Democrats still have work to do.

I have to admit though, it is pretty amazing they he has still retained a lot of their support even through 2 months of massive scandal.
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Xing
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« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2017, 01:01:16 PM »

All good points, but I think turnout/enthusiasm also play an important role. Those two are related, since reluctant Trump voters might feel less motivated to turn out.
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Matty
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« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2017, 01:02:49 PM »

What about the college experience makes someone less supportive of protectionism, immigration restrictions, nationalism, etc?
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2017, 04:20:13 PM »

What about the college experience makes someone less supportive of protectionism, immigration restrictions, nationalism, etc?

Anyone who has been exposed to economic courses - many of them VERY conservative - have a distaste for protectionism, as it's simply a bandaid for the inevitable.  We shouldn't be doing things we're not the best at, or at least better than those countries who we could trade with.  I wouldn't say immigration restrictions or nationalism are necessarily "driven out of you" at college, but I would say it's more likely that if you DIDN'T go to college, you'd find them more appealing?  Not sure, really.
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Beet
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« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2017, 04:27:30 PM »

What does nationalism even mean, anymore? When I grew up it was a synonym for patriotism. Trump is the least nationalist/patriotic president since WW2, by far.
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