WV-PPP (D): Moore Capito up 13 points over "Democratic opponent"

[MT Treasurer]

Generally speaking, if the election for US Senate were held today, would you vote for
Republican Shelley Moore Capito, or her Democratic opponent?

48% Shelley Moore Capito
35% Democratic opponent
17% Not sure

Trump approval: 55/36 (+19)
Capito approval: 42/33 (+9)

http://www.savemycare.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/WestVirginiaResults.pdf

Imagine if Jim Justice were in his second term...

[Skunk]

Seems about right.

[GlobeSoc]

Uhh...this would actually be a slight swing to dems from WV-SEN 2014 assuming all undecideds break republican and this poll is accurate...curious.

If the poll is accurate, and it's more like 2/3ds break republican, she could be held to mid-double digits.

However, I'd say this is overpolling dems by ~5 points.

[I’m not Stu]

How would someone like Earl Ray Tomblin do against Moore-Capito?

[I’m not Stu]

Is Moore-Capito going to run in 2020? I think so but am not sure. Does anyone know?

[SATW]

She'll be fine in 2020, I think. Good to see an early poll, though. Her campaign should prepare accordingly.

[Gone to Carolina]

Could Richard Ojeda run against her if he won WV-3 somehow?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Imagine if Jim Justice were in his second term...

It'd end up like Bill Weld vs. John Kerry 1996 with the parties flipped?

I have no idea who would win a Justice vs. Capito race, but fortunately we'll never have to find out. The 2020 map is already bad enough for Republicans, if they had to spend money in WV on top of that it would be a disaster.

If Justice wants to run in 2020, there is no way the GOP can stop him.  Plus, the 2020 map isn't that bad for the GOP - their only vulnerabilities are NC, CO and MAYBE IA/GA/MT.

[Heisenberg]

Imagine if Jim Justice were in his second term...

It'd end up like Bill Weld vs. John Kerry 1996 with the parties flipped?

I have no idea who would win a Justice vs. Capito race, but fortunately we'll never have to find out. The 2020 map is already bad enough for Republicans, if they had to spend money in WV on top of that it would be a disaster.

If Justice wants to run in 2020, there is no way the GOP can stop him.  Plus, the 2020 map isn't that bad for the GOP - their only vulnerabilities are NC, CO and MAYBE IA/GA/MT.

NC and CO are obvious. ME, maybe but not with Collins running (and even someone like Poliquin would be a slight favorite). Alaska is a possibility, but Sullivan could quickly establish himself as one who can build up seniority. IA should be fine, so should GA as the state won't quite be ready yet and Perdue seems to be making the right steps (if Ossoff wants a Senate seat he should try for the other one). MT and WV are not red states downballot, so they are possibilities. I feel like Democrats will aggressively try to target as much as they can. The only real offensive targets for the GOP are MI and MN.

[NewYorkExpress]

Unless Moore Capito is defeated in a primary (possible, she's a known moderate), she's a lock to win re-election. The Democrats bench is Justice, and he'll almost certainly run for re-election.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

If Justice wants to run in 2020, there is no way the GOP can stop him.  Plus, the 2020 map isn't that bad for the GOP - their only vulnerabilities are NC, CO and MAYBE IA/GA/MT.

Yeah, but I imagine he's far more likely to run for reelection (he'd probably be a lock, honestly) than against an incumbent Senator in a race that would be a Tossup at best for him.

As for the map... CO is likely gone for Rs, and NC, AK, GA and MT will be very competitive. Probably IA as well, but we'll see. Maine obviously as well if Collins retires.

LOL @ AK - unless you really think Begich will run again.

[RINO Tom]

Hasn't Capito always been uniquely popular for a Republican in WV, too?  Even before the state took a very conservative turn, she was an iron clad, it seemed.

[Kamala]

Hasn't Capito always been uniquely popular for a Republican in WV, too?  Even before the state took a very conservative turn, she was an iron clad, it seemed.

The Moore name still carries some weight in WV.

[Figueira]

I don't see her losing, but WV is not gone for Democrats on the downballot level.

[morgieb]

Hmmm those numbers are better than I expected. She'll still win though.

[MM876]

Dems need to shun lose this area of the country.

FTFY. Yeah, absolutely, let's have Democrats lose winnable elections (probably not Capito's, but downballot and some statewide) so that we can prove the GOP right about us being elitist.

[Kamala]

Dems need to shun lose this area of the country.

FTFY. Yeah, absolutely, let's have Democrats lose winnable elections (probably not Capito's, but downballot and some statewide) so that we can prove the GOP right about us being elitist.

[Mr. Smith]

Hmmm those numbers are better than I expected. She'll still win though.

Evan Bayh had numbers higher than this last year.

Ted Stevens was probably way higher in '05 too.

[TheSaint250]

Uhh...this would actually be a slight swing to dems from WV-SEN 2014 assuming all undecideds break republican and this poll is accurate...curious.

If the poll is accurate, and it's more like 2/3ds break republican, she could be held to mid-double digits.

However, I'd say this is overpolling dems by ~5 points.

Of course it's closer all "generic R/D" polls usually show that

[Rjjr77]

I hate generic ___ polls because the generic doesn't exist.

Also Capito is very popular in WV, and always has been.

[RINO Tom]

Dems need to shun this area of the country.

LOL, how do your posts keep getting worse?

[Xing]

Dems need to shun this area of the country.

Haven't they already been doing that for a while now? Doesn't seem like it's worked out too well.

[Skye]

Dems need to shun this area of the country.

lol that's exactly why they are getting these kinds of results.

[BuckeyeNut]

Dems need to shun this area of the country.

This is a buffoonish idea.

[RINO Tom]

Dems need to shun this area of the country.

This is a buffoonish idea.

Have you not seen him post before?