US SEN 2020: Which GOP Senate seats are the most vulnerable? (user search)
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  US SEN 2020: Which GOP Senate seats are the most vulnerable? (search mode)
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Author Topic: US SEN 2020: Which GOP Senate seats are the most vulnerable?  (Read 3492 times)
SCNCmod
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Posts: 2,271


« on: June 22, 2017, 07:43:23 PM »

Everyone tends to completely dismiss TX... but I think Cruz is definitely in danger if Joaquin Castro decides to run.  TX has low off-year turn out, Is now a Minority- Majority state (and such  a high profile Mexican-American candidate would motivate turnout), and Cruz is particularly divisive.

So I say TX (in addition to NV & CO) ... and 2 in Puerto Rico if they achieve Statehood!
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SCNCmod
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,271


« Reply #1 on: June 23, 2017, 03:30:57 AM »
« Edited: June 23, 2017, 03:33:21 AM by SCNCmod »

Everyone tends to completely dismiss TX... but I think Cruz is definitely in danger if Joaquin Castro decides to run.  TX has low off-year turn out, Is now a Minority- Majority state (and such  a high profile Mexican-American candidate would motivate turnout), and Cruz is particularly divisive.

So I say TX (in addition to NV & CO) ... and 2 in Puerto Rico if they achieve Statehood!

I just realized the post was asking about 2020... not 2018...

regarding 2020 predictions...

Dem win/ Lean Dem
Thom Tillis: Tillis 100% loses to state senator Jeff Jackson
Cory Gardner: Likely Dem
Dan Sullivan: I could see a Dem winning Alaska... leans Dem

Toss Up
David Perdue: Dems could win with the right candidate.... Toss Up
Shelley Moore Capito (if Jim Justice runs): Not sure... so Toss-up?
Steve Daines (Steve Bullock might run)SadNot sure... so Toss-up?

Repub win/ Lean Repub
Joni Ernst: Ernst will be safely re-elected
John Cornyn: This seat will be safely Repub (Dem best chance in TX is 2018 Joaquin Castro vs Cruz)
Pat Roberts (likely retires): Kansas will stay Republican
Susan Collins (possibly retires): Collins Stays & easily wins





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