My Senatorial Predictions

[Rjjr77]

I think Tester is vulnerable, but has a better chance than Heitkamp.

And Becker probably won't be the nominee. State House to US Senate is a massive jump, and there are better possible candidates who are far more likely to run and win.

4 current senators made that jump. 3 others went state senate to us senate, and yet a few others went to the us senate as their first elected office, or had minor local offices

[Rjjr77]

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MO: Vicky Hartzler*
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Oh, eww. Hartzler would probably be McCaskill's preferred opponent seeing as she's probably the most  conservative of all the possible candidates.

Is she hyperconservative or just a gaffe machine? According to the last National Journal ranking, Wagner was vastly more conservative than Hartzler, but admittedly the last time they published one was in 2013.

She's more of a gaffe machine. Sam Graves was also thought to be considering, but he has a ton of controversies.

Can we just go with the safe option and pick Wagner?

Wagner risks the base staying home

I think the base may come out breathing fire to vote for anyone, even that baby rhino from the St. Louis zoo. The republicans are coming to gut McCaskill this year. I'd be shocked for her to make it through this time. She's gotten lucky twice now, won't happen a third