Austrian legislative election, 2017

[Tender Branson]

SPÖ, but if the Greens or the breakaway Greens are hovering near the threshold on election day I'd strategically support them.

Preferred coalitions:
1) SPÖ-Greens-NEOS
2) SPÖ-FPÖ (my anti-Kurz reflex compels me to rank this above 3) )
3) SPÖ-ÖVP (only if SPÖ would get the chancellorship)

SPÖ-Greens-NEOS is hardly possible here. 45% is about the highest they can get.

And if Pilz runs his own left-populist "Transparency Citizen Movement", there would also be other coalition options.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

SPÖ, but if the Greens or the breakaway Greens are hovering near the threshold on election day I'd strategically support them.

Preferred coalitions:
1) SPÖ-Greens-NEOS
2) SPÖ-FPÖ (my anti-Kurz reflex compels me to rank this above 3) )
3) SPÖ-ÖVP (only if SPÖ would get the chancellorship)

SPÖ-Greens-NEOS is hardly possible here. 45% is about the highest they can get.

And if Pilz runs his own left-populist "Transparency Citizen Movement", there would also be other coalition options.

Could it be possible after a potentially controversial/disliked FPOVP coalition?

[Kingpoleon]

SPÖ, but if the Greens or the breakaway Greens are hovering near the threshold on election day I'd strategically support them.

Preferred coalitions:
1) SPÖ-Greens-NEOS
2) SPÖ-FPÖ (my anti-Kurz reflex compels me to rank this above 3) )
3) SPÖ-ÖVP (only if SPÖ would get the chancellorship)

SPÖ-Greens-NEOS is hardly possible here. 45% is about the highest they can get.

And if Pilz runs his own left-populist "Transparency Citizen Movement", there would also be other coalition options.

So this doesn't look plausible?:

SPÖ: 56
Greens/Transparency Citizen Movement: 21
NEOS: 15

[Tender Branson]

SPÖ, but if the Greens or the breakaway Greens are hovering near the threshold on election day I'd strategically support them.

Preferred coalitions:
1) SPÖ-Greens-NEOS
2) SPÖ-FPÖ (my anti-Kurz reflex compels me to rank this above 3) )
3) SPÖ-ÖVP (only if SPÖ would get the chancellorship)

SPÖ-Greens-NEOS is hardly possible here. 45% is about the highest they can get.

And if Pilz runs his own left-populist "Transparency Citizen Movement", there would also be other coalition options.

So this doesn't look plausible?:

SPÖ: 56
Greens/Transparency Citizen Movement: 21
NEOS: 15

TCM-Pilz would cannibalize the SPÖ too, so it's still pretty hard for the 3 parties to get a majority. And Pilz might drag the Greens below 4% (unlikely, but possible). Even if both the Greens and the Pilz-list make it into parliament it is highly unlikely that there'll be a 4-way coalition. Too much speculation right now. Pilz might also re-consider the next weeks and not even run against the Green Party and accept that he was defeated by the delegates ...

[Kingpoleon]

That's part of the reason I combined those two: in case Pilz doesn't run. If he doesn't run, that coalition becomes quite a bit more realistic.

[Boston Bread]

I would have included Pilz in any of my preferred coalitions if he makes it in, btw.

[Kingpoleon]

I would have included Pilz in any of my preferred coalitions if he makes it in, btw.

I don't have much of a preference between him and the main Greens. I prefer him to Lunacek, but I prefer Ingrid Felipe to Pilz.