Steve Bullock's most likely path to the nomination?

[AGA]

In this hypothetical situation, these are the other candidates.

Warren
Cuomo
Booker
O'Malley
Castro
Klobuchar
Harris

What states would Bullock have to win? What would his message be? Feel free to post a situation with different candidates if you think that it is more accurate.

[PragmaticPopulist]

I think Bullock would do well in states with a populist tradition. Here's what states I think he'd win if his campaign really caught steam:

Alaska
Idaho
Kansas
Maine
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming

I think he'd be kind of a Bernie Sanders-lite. Most of his positions seem to be like Sanders, which might excite the progressive base, but he has a shaky record on renewable energy and trade. He'd also probably be competing for the same base as Klobuchar in most states.

[Coraxion]

No.

This. Why? The only people who know who Bullock is are:

1. Montanans
2. Political nerds like us

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

There is no path.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

No.

This. Why? The only people who know who Clinton is are:

1. Arkansans
2. Political nerds like us

Circa. 1989

[McGovernForPrez]

No.

This. Why? The only people who know who Clinton is are:

1. Arkansans
2. Political nerds like us

Circa. 1989

People don't get that Governors are objectively WAAYYYY better nominees than Senators. All you have to do is see how many Governors have been elected straight from office compared to Senators. Senators have to deal with finnicky things like voting records on national issues. Their voting history already alienates them from the a large portion of the population. They also can't run on the record like Governors can. A guy like Steve Bullock can point to his record of success in Montana as a reason to vote for him, Senators can only point to a flimsy and seemingly inconsequential voting record. A senator's high national status is a downside. As long as a governor can break out during the primaries they will be in a better position to run for the presidency.

[HAnnA MArin County]

No.

This. Why? The only people who know who Bullock is are:

1. Montanans
2. Political nerds like us

Probably Atlas just descending back into the playbook of identity politics of "white male from red state who likes guns will help us win back the Trump voters."

I don't see how he could get the nomination with those other candidates in the race, particularly based upon how poorly he'd probably do in the South with African American voters. Montana has one of the lowest percentage of black citizens, so I'm just not sure if he would be able to connect as well with them as opposed to some of the other candidates in the race.