Canadian Provincial Growth Rate Maps
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Author Topic: Canadian Provincial Growth Rate Maps  (Read 875 times)
cinyc
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« on: July 01, 2017, 07:53:27 PM »

In hono(u)r of Canada's 150th birthday, here's a map of the yearly provincial growth rates from July 1991-2016.  This is based on Q3 of Statistics Canada's quarterly provincial growth estimates:



Does anyone know where I can find easily downloadable provincial census results for prior census years?  I couldn't find a simple source on StatsCan's website.  I'd like to make a gif of provincial growth rates from confederation in 1867 through the last census in 2016.  (I think the closest census to 1867 was 1861 or 1871, though).
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2017, 10:33:43 PM »

Have the Atlantic provinces always had such slow growth? What reasons are there for that?
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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2017, 10:37:13 PM »

Have the Atlantic provinces always had such slow growth? What reasons are there for that?

Not always, but often.  It's the economy.

Anyway, I found the 1851-2016 Census data, and made a gif of the Census data since confederation - every 10 years from 1861 to 1951, and every 5 years thereafter:

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jimrtex
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« Reply #3 on: July 01, 2017, 11:10:42 PM »

In hono(u)r of Canada's 150th birthday, here's a map of the yearly provincial growth rates from July 1991-2016.  This is based on Q3 of Statistics Canada's quarterly provincial growth estimates:



Does anyone know where I can find easily downloadable provincial census results for prior census years?  I couldn't find a simple source on StatsCan's website.  I'd like to make a gif of provincial growth rates from confederation in 1867 through the last census in 2016.  (I think the closest census to 1867 was 1861 or 1871, though).
Population of Canada, by province, census dates, 1851 to 1976

Population of Canada by Province 1956-2006

Newfies estimates

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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: July 01, 2017, 11:25:07 PM »
« Edited: July 01, 2017, 11:52:58 PM by cinyc »


Thanks.  I pieced it together from these tables for each province, plus the 2016 data.

I hate how my/the atlas color scheme makes dark blue look like dark red.  The territories lost a lot of population around the turn of the 20th century after the gold rush, but it looks like they gained.

Edited to add: Newfoundland's estimates go back to 1971.  I think they got their data from StatCan.  I think StatCan's estimates go back to 1951.  Pre-1971, though, estimates were in the 1000s instead of 1s.

If I ever find the time, I might try to make a GIF of 1971-2016 or maybe even 1951-2016.
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kcguy
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« Reply #5 on: July 02, 2017, 09:43:48 AM »

Have the Atlantic provinces always had such slow growth? What reasons are there for that?

For Newfoundland, I know that a major issue in the early 1990's was the sudden collapse of the cod population, which was a central focus of the Newfoundland economy, and 25 years later the cod population still hasn't completely recovered.

It's a textbook example of a community being devastated by an ecological disaster that could have been avoided if a more vigilant government had been in place.

(Wow, on re-reading this, I'm realizing that this is a lot more preachy than my usual post, but I'm going to leave it as it is, anyway.)
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cinyc
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« Reply #6 on: July 02, 2017, 11:22:40 AM »

Q3 (July 1) yearly provincial estimates data, 1971-2016:

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Sol
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« Reply #7 on: July 02, 2017, 04:40:32 PM »

Have the Atlantic provinces always had such slow growth? What reasons are there for that?

Their economy is quite bad, and many of the trends causing their decline have been going on for a long time. An unexpectedly good comparison is the Great Plains states; geographically removed from nearby population centers, reliant on major industries which have seen some decline (farming/fishing) and kept afloat by resource extraction, and in the case of the Maritimes, tourism.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #8 on: July 02, 2017, 07:52:39 PM »

Have the Atlantic provinces always had such slow growth? What reasons are there for that?

Northern Maine is very similar to the Atlantic Canadian provinces in terms of relative poverty and unemployment.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #9 on: July 02, 2017, 11:30:23 PM »

Q3 (July 1) yearly provincial estimates data, 1971-2016:



It appears that Quebec had been tapering off (declining birth rate?) but has recently been picking up. Presumably this is due to immigration to Montreal. But from where?
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cinyc
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« Reply #10 on: July 03, 2017, 08:19:21 AM »

It appears that Quebec had been tapering off (declining birth rate?) but has recently been picking up. Presumably this is due to immigration to Montreal. But from where?

My guess is French-speaking areas of the Middle East and Africa, particularly places like Tunisia.  But it's only a guess.
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