Politico: WA State Senate - The next national special election clash

[Virginiá]

Democrats and Republicans from both coasts are focused on a Washington state Senate race that will decide if Democrats control the state government.

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/07/03/next-national-special-election-clash-240154

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What odds do you peeps give this race? Given that it is a deeply Democratic district, it would seem Republicans have their work cut out for their them.

[TheSaint250]

Right now the Dems are favored by about 60-40 or 65-35 I'd say. GOP could make it up but it all depends on what happens by then

[smoltchanov]

Right now the Dems are favored by about 60-40 or 65-35 I'd say. GOP could make it up but it all depends on what happens by then

If Englund is a moderate in Hill's mold - yes. Otherwise her chances are no more then 10%.

[publicunofficial]

Even if Andy Hill was still alive I'd probably consider this seat a Toss-Up.

Englund is a solid candidate but the Seattle suburbs are ground zero for the GOP's weakening with educated suburbanites.

[KingSweden]

This will be a very hard hold for the GOP. My folks live here and I'm next door in the 1st, so here are my thoughts:

Englund is solid (though she sounds like a teenager when speaking) and Dhingra is a very good recruit.
Neither of the Dem House reps in this district have sweated reelection in a LONG time.

The only thing that gives me pause is how many of the Indians in this district are citizens who can vote. If it's a substantial number, then Dhingra will crush Englund. If not, this is a real race. But this is not the old Redmond/Sammamish/Woodinville anymore. Had Hill lived he would have had a very tough go in '18

[publicunofficial]

Also, before anyone gets the wrong idea, Seattle's east suburbs aren't like the North Atlanta Suburbs in GA-06 or the Houston area where Democrats are only recently breaking through because of Trump's unpopularity.

Democrats already hold the two House seats in this district (Remember: Washington doesn't have State House districts, instead it's two House members for every State Senate district)  and are re-elected comfortably every two years. If Dhingra wins in a rout, don't call it a anti-Trump landslide.

[KingSweden]

Also, before anyone gets the wrong idea, Seattle's east suburbs aren't like the North Atlanta Suburbs in GA-06 or the Houston area where Democrats are only recently breaking through because of Trump's unpopularity.

Democrats already hold the two House seats in this district (Remember: Washington doesn't have State House districts, instead it's two House members for every State Senate district)  and are re-elected comfortably every two years. If Dhingra wins in a rout, don't call it a anti-Trump landslide.

Whoa dude stop using logic and facts, we have special elections to overreact to!