In 2020, Will Texas vote to the left or right of 2016?

[Young Moderate Republican]

Why is this even a question? It's trending democratic, and democrats will probably do better in 2020 than 2016 overall.

 I disagree. The gap closing compared to 2012 was almost entirely because of third party candidates. Hillary only over performed Obama by a couple of points. Never Trumpers took a lot of normal GOP votes away. Even if Trump isn't super popular, a lot of those reluctant GOP voters will come back home barring a major scandal or meltdown. A more establishment GOP candidate or Ted Cruz would have won Texas by a similar margin to Mitt Romney.

[Young Moderate Republican]

Assuming Trump is the nominee, I can see Beto O'Rourke winning next year and Texas going Democratic in 2020. You could see Trump holding onto all the Midwestern states and picking up Minnesota and Maine, but the Democrats picking up Florida and Texas.

Maybe in your wildest fantasies lol

[Young Moderate Republican]

Why is this even a question? It's trending democratic, and democrats will probably do better in 2020 than 2016 overall.

 I disagree. The gap closing compared to 2012 was almost entirely because of third party candidates. Hillary only over performed Obama by a couple of points. Never Trumpers took a lot of normal GOP votes away. Even if Trump isn't super popular, a lot of those reluctant GOP voters will come back home barring a major scandal or meltdown. A more establishment GOP candidate or Ted Cruz would have won Texas by a similar margin to Mitt Romney.

Johnson voters don't like trump. They didn't then, they don't now.

Johnson was more of a protest vote for these people. They thought voting for Trump was gonna be an apocalyptic scenario which it hasn't become so far. If nothing changes much, or if he actually sticks to his promise to do some compromising with the Dems here and there and forges some bipartisan consensus, he could easily win here by Romney-like margins.