America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,385
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« on: July 12, 2017, 05:24:37 PM » |
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If Trump's approval ratings stay where they currently are, and they're no major scandals between now and 2020: He wins Texas by 7-8%
If Trump's approval ratings slip to ~35% by 2020: He wins Texas by 3-5%
If Trump makes a huge turn-around and ends up being near even in terms of approval ratings: he wins Texas by 10-12%
If Pence or someone else is the GOP nominee they probably win Texas by 10-15%, depending on how well they do with Hispanics.
In order for Trump to lose Texas, he'd basically have to have approval ratings in the low 30's, and several major scandals before Election Day 2020. Julian Castro as the D nominee doesn't hurt either.
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