Alabama Senate Primaries
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Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Luther Strange		  
#2
Mo Brooks		  
#3
Roy Moore		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: Alabama Senate Primaries  (Read 1060 times)
jman123
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« on: July 17, 2017, 12:20:32 PM »
Let's discuss. Everyone backs trump in this campaign. Alabama was solid Trump in both primaries and General election.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #1 on: July 17, 2017, 02:08:13 PM »
Roy Moore leads in one poll.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #2 on: July 17, 2017, 02:35:22 PM »
Moore will win the 1st round.. his opponent will win the runoff.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: July 17, 2017, 02:40:45 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2017, 02:35:22 PM
Moore will win the 1st round.. his opponent will win the runoff.
I forgot about the primary runoff. I think Strange will win the runoff.
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Skunk
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« Reply #4 on: July 17, 2017, 02:45:46 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2017, 02:35:22 PM
Moore will win the 1st round.. his opponent will win the runoff.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: July 17, 2017, 04:29:37 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2017, 02:35:22 PM
Moore will win the 1st round.. his opponent will win the runoff.

This, I think
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ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2017, 10:23:42 PM »
Who will make the runoff to face Moore: Brooks or Strange?
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: July 17, 2017, 10:24:36 PM »
Quote from: ERM64man on July 17, 2017, 10:23:42 PM
Who will make the runoff to face Moore: Brooks or Strange?
Probably Strange
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #8 on: July 17, 2017, 11:37:56 PM »
Moore will come in first, but Strange will beat him in the runoff
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #9 on: July 17, 2017, 11:39:44 PM »
Morre is probably too polarizing to get to 50% in a primary so I will say Moore finishes at around 35% in the first round and looses to Strange 56-44.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #10 on: July 17, 2017, 11:51:07 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on July 17, 2017, 04:29:37 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on July 17, 2017, 02:35:22 PM
Moore will win the 1st round.. his opponent will win the runoff.

This, I think
Agree. It'll probably be Strange but I'm hoping for Brooks.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #11 on: July 17, 2017, 11:53:43 PM »
I'll be bold and say Moore wins outright. He's a hero to conservative groups, and Strange's appointment process will leave him unpopular in-state. As for Brooks, he probably finishes just ahead of Strange...but he can still run for re-election in 2018 (and probably will).

Moore 50.98%
Brooks 23.16%
Strange 22.88%
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ERM64man
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« Reply #12 on: July 18, 2017, 12:15:57 AM »
I think the runoff will be between Moore and Strange. I think Strange wins the runoff because he's the incumbent.
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PragmaticPopulist
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« Reply #13 on: July 19, 2017, 08:46:39 AM »
I kind of doubt Roy Moore gets the nomination, but it would be fun to watch it play out if he does. It would be a victory for the base and a middle finger to the establishment if he gets the nomination, but he could also be the only Republican that could manage to lose in Alabama. If Moore doesn't win the first round outright, I could see him win a second round against Strange, who seems like doesn't seem like a particularly strong candidate. Plus, Strange is one of the few remaining Republicans who have lost a statewide general election in Alabama.

Anyway, I'm gonna go out on a limb and say Brooks wins against Moore in the runoff.
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windjammer
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« Reply #14 on: July 19, 2017, 08:51:22 AM »
Quote from: PragmaticPopulist on July 19, 2017, 08:46:39 AM
I kind of doubt Roy Moore gets the nomination, but it would be fun to watch it play out if he does. It would be a victory for the base and a middle finger to the establishment if he gets the nomination, but he could also be the only Republican that could manage to lose in Alabama. If Moore doesn't win the first round outright, I could see him win a second round against Strange, who seems like doesn't seem like a particularly strong candidate. Plus, Strange is one of the few remaining Republicans who have lost a statewide general election in Alabama.

Anyway, I'm gonna go out on a limb and say Brooks wins against Moore in the runoff.
Well, I know you all have Scott Brown winning a senate seat in MA when you all think that Moore could lose.

But remember, AL is a much more inelastic state than MA
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ERM64man
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« Reply #15 on: July 20, 2017, 07:36:52 PM »
Could a very conservative Democrat like Parker Griffith (who opposes the Affordable Care Act) or Richard Lindsey defeat Moore?
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #16 on: July 20, 2017, 09:54:28 PM »
Quote from: PragmaticPopulist on July 19, 2017, 08:46:39 AM
I kind of doubt Roy Moore gets the nomination, but it would be fun to watch it play out if he does. It would be a victory for the base and a middle finger to the establishment if he gets the nomination, but he could also be the only Republican that could manage to lose in Alabama. If Moore doesn't win the first round outright, I could see him win a second round against Strange, who seems like doesn't seem like a particularly strong candidate. Plus, Strange is one of the few remaining Republicans who have lost a statewide general election in Alabama.

Anyway, I'm gonna go out on a limb and say Brooks wins against Moore in the runoff.

No no no
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