Independent

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

How plausible is is that this happens in real life?

I have no idea, but I believe there is an actual chance.

Other than the weird Carson and McRory appointments to the cabinet, Kasich's presidency seems solid so far. Carson is especially puzzling as Kasich seems to emphasize on a competent government with results, and Carson is anything but competent.
Great TL!

He needed to calculate some appointments. You'll see more into that soon!

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

2022:



The year started off with Former President Trump suffering extreme heart problems and being in the hospital for months, Kasich visited him many times, and Trump's attitude toward him softened. The Reform Party was still third in the House and the Senate before the midterms, but they were kingmakers. The Reform Senate Caucus didn't give any major party any clear majority. In September, former President George W. Bush suffered a stroke, and Kasich, Obama, and Trump visited him. Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke announced his intent to resign as Secretary of the Interior, potentially for a 2024 bid. He was succeeded by House Republican Conference Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers. She was replaced by Doug Collins. In August, Pat McRory also resigned from his cabinet post, and was replaced by former Ohio DOT Director Jerry Wray. Former Alaska Governor and 2008 VP Nominee Sarah Palin started an exploratory committee on March 5th, 2022, and vowed to "Bring a real Trumpist message to the White House" if she ran. Former Senator Rick Santorum also announced his intention to explore a potential 2024 bid. Not much significant legislation except for Education and NASA funding passed, until around September when the House and Senate agreed to balance the 2023 budget. In October, Terrorist Attacks rocked Montreal and Moscow, killing around 230 people. President Kasich offered his sincerest condolences to the Canadian and Russian governments, and vowed to help them.

2022 Senate Races Results:

Alabama:

Richard Shelby (R): 55.1%
Ron Crumpton (D): 39.0%
Bobby Bright (REF): 5.1%

Alaska:

Lisa Murkowski (REF): 42.3%
Joe Miller (R): 34.5%
Ray Metcalfe (D): 21.0%

Arizona:

Ben Quayle (REF): 50.9%
Phil Gordon (D): 45.9%

Arkansas:

John Boozman (R): 53.1%
Connor Eldridge (REF): 46.0%

California:

Kamala Harris (D): 72.0%
Ron Unz (R): 26.0%

Colorado:

Michael Bennett* (REF): 54.0%
Tom Tancredo (R) 42.5%
*(decided to run as Reform, but would not change parties until elected):

Connecticut:

Joe Scarborough (REF): 50.1%
Dan Malloy (D): 36.2%
Stephen Obstinik (write-in): 6.1%

Florida:

Marco Rubio** (REF): 56.7%
Kendrick Meek (D): 42.3%

 **(again, decided to run as a Reform due to more support, but not switch parties while in office):

Georgia:

Jason Carter (D): 45.1%
Tom Price (R): 32.1%
Sally Yates (REF): 22.1%

Hawaii:

Brian Schatz (D): 65.1%
Linda Lingle (REF): 33.4%

Idaho:

Butch Otter (REF): 49.0%
Russ Fulcher (R): 23.0%
Richard H. Stallings (D): 20.0%

Illinois:

Tammy Duckworth (D): 49.0%
Joe Walsh (R): 36.0%
William J. Kelly (REF): 12.9%

Indiana:

Todd Young (R): 56.4%
Baron Hill (D): 42.1%

Iowa:

Bill Northey (REF): 35.6%
Steve King (R): 32.4%
John Norris (D): 20.0%

Kansas:

[b[Jerry Moran (R): 56.0%[/b]
Greg Orman (I): 42.0%

Kentucky:

Rand Paul (R): 55.4%
Alison Grimes (D): 43.5%

Louisiana:

Primary:

Mitch Landrieu (D): 42.3
John N. Kennedy (R): 29.0%
Jeff Landry (R): 10.0%
John Georges (REF): 9.0%
Bret Allain (R): 7.1%
Bob Lang (REF): 2.5%

Runoff:

John N. Kennedy (R): 51.0%
Mitch Landrieu (D): 49.0%

Maryland:

Chris Van Hollen (D): 56.2%
Bob Ehrlich (R): 42.1%

Missouri:

Jason Kander(D/REF): 49.0%
Roy Blunt (R): 44.5%

Nevada:

Catherine Cortez Masto (D): 45.6%
Mark Hutchinson (REF): 42.3%

New Hampshire:

Kelly Ayotte (R/REF): 49.0%
Maggie Hassan (D): 48.8%

New York:

Caroline Kennedy (D): 67.8%
Wendy Long (R): 31.2%

North Carolina:

Pat McRory (R): 52.3%
Deborah Ross (D): 46.5%

North Dakota:

John Hoeven (R): 68.1%
Eliot Grassheim (D): 25.0%

Ohio:

Jon Husted (REF): 45.6%
Nina Turner (D): 30.1%
Jim Renacci (R): 20.1%

Oklahoma:

James Lankford (REF): 67.8%
Steve Perry (D): 29.1%

Oregon:

Ron Wyden (D): 67.8%
Knute Buehler (R): 31.3%

Pennsylvania:

Pat Toomey (R): 54.3%
Matt Cartwright (D): 44.0%

South Carolina:

Tim Scott (R): 62.1%
Joyce Dickerson (D): 34.5%

South Dakota:

John Thune (R): 68.9%
Rick Weiland (D): 30.1%

Utah:

Evan McMullin (REF): 38.1%
Mike Lee (R): 36.7%
Misty Snow (D): 22.3%

Vermont:

Tim Ashe (I): 67.0%
Scott Milne (R): 32.3%

Washington:

Patty Murray (D): 62.3%
Dino Rossi (R): 36.7%

Wisconsin:

Rebecca Kleefisch (R): 51.2%
Bret Hulsey (D): 47.1%

2022 Governor Races:

Alabama:

Tommy Battle (R): 60.2%
Walt Maddox (D): 37.8%

Alaska:

Loren Leman (REF): 39.0%
Joe Miller (R): 34.5%
Chris Tuck (D): 20.0%

Arizona:

Greg Stanton (D): 39.0%
Mark Brnovich (R): 38.8%
Christine Jones (REF): 20.3%

Arkansas:

Tim Griffin (R): 56.4%
Conner Eldridge (REF): 42.3%

California:

Gavin Newsom (D): 67.0%
Jośe Huízar (D): 32.1%

Colorado:

Victor Mitchell (R): 36.7%
Jared Polis (D): 34.5%
Jack Graham (REF): 25.6%

Connecticut:

Dan Drew (D): 54.3%
Prasad Srinivasan (R): 45.0%

Florida:

Gwen Graham (D): 54.5%
Will Weatherford (R): 45.3%

Georgia:

Stacey Abrams (D): 54.4%
Karen Handel (R): 43.5%

Hawaii:

Tulsi Gabbard (D): 67.8%
Bob McDermott (R): 31.3%

Idaho:

Raul Labrador (R): 78.2%
AJ Balukoff (D): 20.1%

Illinois:

Chris Kennedy (D): 49.0%
Bruce Rauner (R): 47.7%

Iowa:

Kim Reynolds (R): 49.0%
Pam Jochum (D): 47.8%

Kansas:

Carl Brewer* (REF): 49.0%
Mike Pompeo (R): 48.8%

*running as an Elect-Reform Governor

Maine:

Mark Eves* (REF): 60.1%
Peter Vigue (R): 39.0%

*joined the movement that decided to be elected to the Reform Party instead of switch parties in office

Maryland:

John Delaney (REF): 39.0%
John Grasso (R): 30.1%
Alec Ross (D): 21.3%

Massachusetts:

Charlie Baker (REF): 56.0%
Bob Massie (D): 43.2%

Michigan:

Gretchen Whitmer (D): 60.1%
Joseph Derose (R): 34.9%

Minnesota:

Chris Coleman (D): 52.3%
Kurt Daudt (R): 46.7%

Nebraska:

Dave Heineman (REF): 67.0%
Steve Lathrop (D): 30.9%


New Hampshire:

Chris Sununu*(REF): 53.4%
Steve Marchand (D): 44.5%

*switched parties before the Republican Primary, GOP announced no candidate would win the nomination, endorsed Sununu

New Mexico:

Michelle Lujan Grisham (D): 56.0%
Steve Pearce (R): 43.5%

New York:

Andrew Cuomo (D): 49.0%
Chris Gibson (REF): 46.7%

Ohio:

Mike DeWine (REF): 57.8%
Nina Turner (D): 42.3%

Oklahoma:

Todd Lamb (R): 80.0%
Chris Powell (L): 19.8%

Oregon:

Kate Brown (D): 63.2%
Bill Post (R): 35.7%

Pennsylvania:

Tom Wolf* (REF): 54.4%
Scott Wagner (R): 45.5%

*joined the Elect Reform movement

Rhode Island:

Lincoln Chafee (I): 35.5%
Gina Raimondo (D): 34.5%
Allan Fung (R): 29.0%

South Carolina:

Mark Sanford (REF): 49.0%
Tom Davis (R): 30.1%
Brad Hutto (D): 20.0%

South Dakota:

Kristi Noem (R): 70.6%
Brendan Johnson (D): 28.7%

Tennessee:

Diane Black* (REF): 54.4%
Mark Green (R): 45.3%

*joined the Elect Reform movement instead of switching in office

Texas:

Greg Abbott (R): 70.1%
Rafael Anchia (D): 29.0%

Vermont:

Phil Scott (REF): 60.1%
Sue Minter (D): 38.7%

Wisconsin:

Russ Feingold (D): 45.5%
Scott Fitzgerald (R/REF): 45.0%
Bob Harlow (I): 9.8%

Wyoming:

Liz Cheney (R): 73.4%
Ryan Greene (D): 20.3%

(Colors will be added later, but some midterms for you!!!! The House also had around 15 Reform gains, resulting in a deadlocked House!!!)

Democratic Senate Gains: 1, 1 uniting with Reform (-3 losses)
Democratic Governor Gains: 2 (-4 losses)
Republican Senate Gains: 1, uniting with Reform (-3 losses)
Republican Governor Gains: 1 (-6 losses)
Reform Senate Gains: 6, 2 uniting with other parties (-0 losses)
Reform Governor Gains: 8

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

I'm so sorry that the colors are off, but uh... I exceeded 11,000 characters. Please excuse that, but the Republican 2024 Field is next!!! Could it exceed the 2016 field despite Kasich's 60% approval rating!?

[Canis]

who are the potential republican and democrat candidates?

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

who are the potential republican and democrat candidates?

Potential? Well... What the media is focusing on as of the week after the Midterms...

Democrats:

Rep. Adam Schiff, 2020 Democratic Nominee due to the brokered convention between Cory Booker and Tulsi Gabbard and Kamala Harris
Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
Sen. Kamala Harris
Sen. Cory Booker
Sen. Jeff Merkley
Sen. Ron Wyden
Sen. Maria Cantwell
Sen. Tim Kaine
Sen Kirsten Gillibrand
Sen. Catherine Masto
Sen. Martin Heinrich
Sen. Tammy Duckworth
Gov. Andrew Cuomo
Gov. Steve Bullock
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer
Fmr. Gov. Jared Polis
Fmr. Gov. Deval Patrick
Fmr Gov. Dan Malloy
Fmr Gov. Martin O'Malley
Fmr. Mayor Bill De Blasio

Republicans:

Fmr. VP. Mike Pence
Fmr. Gov. Sarah Palin
Sen. Tom Cotton
Sen. Joni Ernst
Gov. Greg Abbott
Fmr. Sec. Ben Carson
Fmr. Sec. Ryan Zinke
Fmr. Rick Perry
Gov. Jason Chaffetz
Gov. Tommy Battle
Gov. Eric Greitins
Fmr. Gov. Scott Walker
Fmr. Gov. Gary Herbert
Rep. Greg Gianforte
Mr. Peter Thiel
Mr. Scott Baio
Mr. Donald Trump, Jr.

Reform:

John Kasich

I'm going to do all the GOP candidates at once, trust me, there will be names not on this list.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

The GOP Bench is wild!!!! You'll get an update tmrw!

[Jaguar4life]

Baio 2024!

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Guess who spent thirty minutes writing only to have his stupid phone delete it.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

The Republicans: November-August


Rick Santorum announces Presidential Campaign!!!


Fmr. Sen. Rick Santorum announcing a Presidential Campaign, November 28th, 2022.

"The politics of the Kasich Administration has left Conservative America, and we need a working class champion to restore the values of the Republic! I know, I've aged, but with age comes experience. Give me a chance. I want to prove Republicanism works, I want to prove the party of Reagan can win again based on Christian values!!!"

Sarah Palin announces Presidential Campaign!!!


Fmr. Gov. and 2008 VP Nominee Sarah Palin announces her candidacy for President of the United States, December 23rd, 2022.

"...Merry Christmas, America!!!! We'll be saying that again soon! President Kasich has been FAR too politically correct, and I think it's time we show him some Tea Party values! He was never a Republican! I'm running! God bless you!..."

Bruce Rauner announces Presidential Campaign!!!



Fmr. IL Gov. Bruce Rauner announces his Presidential Campaign via live video to audience after immediately starting to campaign in NH, December 26th, 2022.

"...I may have lost the battle, but I plan to bring a clear American vision for tomorrow under a Republican banner for 2024!!!..."

Gary Herbert Announces Presidential Bid!!!



Former Utah Governor Gary Herbert announces his candidacy for 2024, January 5th, 2023.

"...Unexpectedly, I'm running for President!!!..."

Fmr. Sec. Ryan Zinke announces Presidential Run against former boss!!!!


Fmr. Sec. Ryan Zinke announces his candidacy on the grounds of the Montana state Capitol, January 10th, 2023.
"...Kasich's a good guy, he just ain't conservative enough to be president!!!..."

Texas Governor Greg Abbott running!!!


Greg Abbot announces his intention to seek the Republican Nomination in Houston, TX, January 21st,2023

"It's time for a conservative America!!!"

Governor Eric Greitens announces Presidential Candidacy!!!


Governor Greitens announces his candidacy for President on February 20th, 2023.

"...I'm running!.."

Senator Tom Cotton announces Presidential Bid!!!


Senator Tom Cotton announces run in Des Moines, Iowa, March 2nd, 2023.

"...I'm here in Iowa because my home state is just like y'all, it's amazing, nice, quiet, and we all have the same values! I'm running for President because I think I'm the best man to take on Kasich!!!..."

Fmr. Sec. Ben Carson: The Emergence of a frontrunner?


Fmr. Sec. Ben Carson announces his candidacy in Washington, D.C., March 20th, 2023.

"...For all the speculation, I'm not running for Senate! No but seriously, the Presidency is under too liberal hands, a deadlocked Congress, we're getting our values trampled over, and that's why I resigned! Because I'm a conservative!..."

Fmr. Sec. Rick Perry announces run!


Fmr. Sec. Rick Perry announces run on April 2nd,2023, in Dallas, TX.

Rep. Greg Gianforte announces Bid!

"...I'm running to bring Montana values back to the table!!!..."


Rep. Gianforte announces run in Billings, Montana, on May 1st,2023.

Fmr. Gov. Walker running!!!


Fmr. Gov. Walker announces his run in Madison,WI, on May 10th, 2023.

"...I'm running for conservative values..."

Gov. Battle seeks the GOP nod!


Gov. Battle announces his intent to run on May 15th,2023 through a tweet!

"I'm running for President in 2024!"

Peter Thiel announces Presidential Run via video!!!


Peter Thiel announces his run via video, May 20th,2023.

"...Face it America, you need me as President..."

Fmr. EPA Director Scott Pruitt announces Presidential Campaign!!!


Fmr. Director Pruitt announces Presidential Campaign, in Tulsa,OK, June 1st, 2023.

"...I'm running to fight government tyranny!..."

Anthony Scaramucci running for President, announces in viral video!!!


Anthony Scaramucci announces 2024 bid in viral video, touts experience as outsider, June 7th,2023.

"...America, I'm an outsider. I'm running for President. I'm an honest, straight up guy. I've been involved in the political scene since I left the Trump administration, however..."

Steve Bannon announces!


Steve Bannon announces Presidential campaign via video, June 20th,2023.

"...I'm running because the President doesn't acknowledge the danger we are in from the Radical Muslims!!!..."

Paul LePage announces, last GOP Candidate to announce!


Fmr. Gov. LePage announces bid in Bangkor, ME, July 26th,2023.

"...I'm running for President... But may I just say... Trump wasn't that bad, but I'll be better!!!..."




The Ted Cruz Tragedy:


Senator Cruz moments before the attempt occurred.

Senator Ted Cruz was a front runner, in March he was poised to announce his candidacy and Abbott was likely going to withdraw from the race and support him, but days before Ted Cruz was to announce, someone fired three bullets into a crowd at a book signing. One grazed Cruz's arm, while another hit him in the hip. It was a disgruntled former employee, so he decided to cancel his bid for President.

Republican National Primary Polling Average (August 1st, 2023)

Fmr. Sec. Ben Carson: 11.3%
Fmr. Gov. Sarah Palin: 10.3%
Fmr. Dir. Anthony Scaramucci: 9.0%
Fmr. Sec. Ryan Zinke: 8.5%
Sen. Tom Cotton: 8.4%
Gov. Greg Abbott: 8.0%
Gov. Eric Greitens: 6.5%
Mr. Peter Thiel: 5.6%
Fmr. Gov. Bruce Rauner: 4.5%
Rep. Greg Gianforte: 3.2%
Mr. Steve Bannon: 3.0%
Gov. Tommy Battle: 2.1%
Fmr. Gov. Scott Walker: 2.0%
Fmr. Gov. Gary Herbert: 2.0%
Fmr. Gov. Paul LePage: 1.2%
Fmr. Dir. Scott Pruitt: 1.1%
Fmr. Sec. Rick Perry: 0.9%
Fmr. Sen. Rick Santorum: 0.4%

Undecided: 9.0%

Candidates who explored but declined to run: Senator Ted Cruz, Governor Todd Lamb, Sen. Joni Ernst, Fmr. Sen. Ron Johnson, Fmr. Pres. Trump (declined in a tweet in the hospital) Fmr. Mayor Rudy Giuliani, Fmr. Chief of Staff John Kelly, Mr. Kid Rock, Sen. Roy Moore, Fmr. Gov. Jan Brewer, Fmr. Gov Mary Fallin, Mrs. Kelli Ward

[America Needs R'hllor]

Wow, that field is mad. Carson would still be sleepy, so I predict a Palin nomination right now, but it could really go any way.

[Canis]

How is the Mooch doing so well?

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Wow, that field is mad. Carson would still be sleepy, so I predict a Palin nomination right now, but it could really go any way.

after the Democrat and well... Reform candidates pop up, I'll give you all one update on each field until Iowa, when it'll sort of cobine itself. I am too, he's in his 70's, boring, so who knows maybe the Alaska whack job wins? Maybe someone competent wins, maybe the Repulicans want an outsider?

How is the Mooch doing so well?

He's a "tell it like it is" candidate. He even cursed...  Oh never mind, I'll give you a rundown of a debate in the next GOP Update

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

The Democrats: December-July

Martin O'Malley announces Presidential Campaign!!!


Fmr. Gov. Martin O'Malley announces his candidacy in Des Moines, Iowa, December 28th, 2022.

"...I'm running again because the Democratic Party needs a win now more than ever, we risk becoming a third party..."

Tim Kaine announces Presidential Bid!!!


Fmr. 2016 Democratic VP Nominee and Senator Tim Kaine announces his presidential candidacy, January 29th, 2023, in Norfolk, VA.

"...I therefore announce my candidacy for President of the United States!!!..."

Gretchen Whitmer announces Presidential Candidacy!!!


Gov. Whitmer announces her intention to seek the Presidency, February 8th, 2023, in Flint, MI.

"...I'm running for President to represent the dis- enfranchised!!! I'm running to make Washington accountable and pay for its actions!!! We've been through Trump, let's get someone who really cares and will fight for progressive values as President!!!..."

Jeff Merkley announces Presidential Candidacy!!!!


Sen. Merkley announces his intent to run for President, February 23rd, 2023, in Portland,OR.

"...I'm running to fight for a Democratic, progressive, common sense vision in Washington. I must admit the President is better than Donald Trump, who was by no doubt the worst American President, but we deserve something better than mediocre or non controversial. We deserve health care, we deserve a living wage, we deserve a sound American future!!!..."

Linda Sarsour running for President!!


Linda Sarsour announcing her candidacy in New York City, NY, March 1st, 2023.

"...Lets get a Muslim woman in the White House!!!..."

Kirsten Gillibrand announces Presidential Candidacy!!!


Senator Gillibrand announces her candidacy in Washington D.C, March 3rd, 2023.

"...I'm running to bring common sense leadership back. I admire the President a lot more than Trump, who had impeachment hearings all the time yet was still protected by his party to the point where someone was sick of it and ran against him in the General. I'm running because okay isn't normal, only excellence should be normal for our great country!!!..."

Andrew Cuomo announces candidacy for President!!!!


Gov. Cuomo announces his run for President in Albany, NY, April 2nd, 2023.

"...I'm running for President because I've led New York through trying times. I'm experienced. I know what to do, I know how to do it. Like it or not, New York has always come out strong and successful, and now I want to do the same for America. In 2020, I didn't get it right. This time, WE will!!!..."

Fmr. Gov. Deval Patrick running for President!!!!


Fmr. Gov. Patrick announces his candidacy in Springfield, MA, on May 1st, 2023.

"...I'm running, I'm experienced, and I can be president on day one! Let the Massachusetts miracle occupy the nation!!!..."

Fmr. Gov. Polis running!!!!


Fmr. Gov. Polis announces Presidential bid from Denver, CO, May 18th, 2023.

"...Think about it America, I'm experienced, dress like a champ, my states doing good now, and I will protect the equality of everyone. How good can a movement get?..."

Catherine Cortez Masto running for President!!!!


Sen. Masto announces Presidential candidacy, in Washington D.C, June 3rd, 2023.

"...I'm going to announce my decision to run for President today due to my decision, and the people's decision, that this country can get better. Let's make the economy boom again, let's make jobs the best they ever were again, let's make America whole again!!!..."

Mayor De Blasio announcing Candidacy!!!!


Mayor De Blasio announces candidacy, July 10th, 2023.

"...I'm running, folks!!!! Let's uphold progressive values and win in November!!!..."


Democratic National Primary Polling Average (August 1st,2023)

Jeff Merkley: 24.0%
Gretchen Whitmer: 20.9%
Catherine C. Masto: 10.1%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 9.0%
Deval Patrick: 7.6%
Andrew Cuomo: 7.3%
Tim Kaine: 6.0%
Bill De Blasio: 4.6%
Jared Polis: 4.5%
Linda Sarsour: 1.0%
Martin O'Malley: 0.5%

Undecided: 4.5%

Candidates who explored but declined to run: Sen. Joe Kennedy III, Sen. Cory Booker, Sen. Kamala Harris, Gov. Tulsi Gabbard, Gov. Stacey Abrams, Rep. Seth Moulton, Rep. Tim Ryan, Rep. Preet Bharara, Mayor Eric Garcetti

[America Needs R'hllor]

Linda Sarsour running for President!!


Linda Sarsour announcing her candidacy in New York City, NY, March 1st, 2023.

"...Lets get a Muslim woman in the White House!!!..."

Hey, look! A candidate against whom I'd vote for Trump!

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

President Kasich announces Re-election bid!!!!


President Kasich announces his intent to seek re-election to a crowd of thousands of people in Cleveland,OH, October 8th, 2023.

"...Hello, America!!!! Thank you for giving me the opportunity to serve, it's been hard, but I love the job. I love being able to serve the public and to improve their lives, it's a truly humbling experience. We've been able to keep our promises we made four years ago, we've founded a national party able to break the partisan gridlock.

We've got a balanced budget, we're slowly going to start reducing the deficit, we've ended the interventions we were bogged down in, we've brought a sense of normalcy to our country. We've been through some tough times, but the future is ahead. It appears that America is on the horizon, we're thriving.

We've done so much in so little time, but more is needed. That's why I'm asking you, the American people to please re-elect me and give me another chance... I want the best for our great country, I want America to be that shining city on a hill. Please, vote for me if you want a strong successful America!!!! I love you all, God bless our great country!!!..."

----

2023 MS Governor Election:

Tate Reeves (R): 68.0%
Jim Hood (D): 30.6%

2023 LA Governor Election:

Rob Maness (R): 36.5%
John Georges (REF): 34.9%
Caroline Fayard (D): 27.3%

Runoff:

Rob Maness (R): 51.2%
John Georges (REF): 48.8%

2023 KY Governor Election:

Andy Beshear (REF): 40.6%
Jenean Hampton (R): 34.6%
Jim Gray (D): 24.5%

2023 TX Special Senate Election:

Beto O'Rourke (D): 39.0%
Ken Paxton (R): 38.4%
Matthew Dowd (REF): 22.3%

(Senator Cruz was forced to resign due to his injuries, and Governor Abbott decided to hold a special election earlier.)

Iowa Democratic Caucus Poll (November 1st,2023)

Jeff Merkley: 19.8%
Gretchen Whitmer: 19.8%
Catherine C. Masto: 16.7%
Bill De Blasio: 10.1%
Deval Patrick: 8.7%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 8.5%
Jared Polis: 6.0%
Andrew Cuomo: 3.4%
Tim Kaine: 3.2%
Martin O'Malley: 2.0%
Linda Sarsour: 0.2%

New Hampshire Democratic Primary Poll (November 1st, 2023)

Gretchen Whitmer: 29.0%
Jeff Merkley: 19.8%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 14.5%
Bill De Blasio: 11.2%
Andrew Cuomo: 6.0%
Jared Polis: 5.9%
Catherine C. Masto: 5.0%
Deval Patrick: 3.9%
Tim Kaine: 2.0%
Martin O'Malley: 1.9%
Linda Sarsour: 0.2%

South Carolina Democratic Primary Poll (November 1st, 2023)

Deval Patrick: 10.1%
Tim Kaine: 8.7%
Jeff Merkley: 8.6%
Gretchen Whitmer: 8.5%
Andrew Cuomo: 6.0%
Martin O'Malley: 5.9%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 5.2%
Bill De Blasio: 5.1%
Catherine C. Masto: 5.0%
Jared Polis: 4.5%
Linda Sarsour: 0.1%

Nevada Democratic Primary Poll (November 1st, 2023)

Catherine C. Masto: 59.8%
Jared Polis: 8.9%
Jeff Merkley: 8.8%
Gretchen Whitmer: 8.0%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 5.0%
Andrew Cuomo: 2.9%
Bill De Blasio: 2.0%
Tim Kaine: 1.8%
Martin O' Malley: 1.0%
Deval Patrick: 1.0%
Linda Sarsour: 0.0%

--

Iowa Republican Caucus Poll (November 1st, 2023)

Ben Carson: 13.2%
Sarah Palin: 13.0%
Eric Greitens: 11.0%
Tom Cotton: 10.9%
Ryan Zinke: 9.0%
Greg Abbott: 6.5%
Greg Gianforte: 5.6%
Bruce Rauner: 4.9%
Anthony Scaramucci: 4.8%
Tommy Battle: 3.9%
Scott Walker: 3.2%
Peter Thiel: 3.2%
Gary Herbert: 2.5%
Steve Bannon: 1.0%
Rick Perry: 0.9%
Paul LePage: 0.8%
Scott Pruitt: 0.7%

New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll (November 1st,2023)

Bruce Rauner: 14.5%
Ben Carson: 10.1%
Eric Greitens: 9.8%
Anthony Scaramucci: 8.0%
Peter Thiel: 6.5%
Sarah Palin: 6.0%
Tom Cotton: 5.9%
Greg Abbott: 5.8%
Ryan Zinke: 5.4%
Greg Gianforte: 5.3%
Scott Walker: 2.0%
Paul LePage: 1.9%
Tommy Battle: 1.9%
Gary Herbert: 1.6%
Rick Perry: 1.4%
Steve Bannon: 0.5%
Scott Pruitt: 0.3%

South Carolina Republican Primary Poll (November 1st, 2023)

Ben Carson: 20.1%
Sarah Palin: 10.1%
Tom Cotton: 9.8%
Greg Abbott: 9.5%
Eric Greitens: 6.0%
Tommy Battle: 6.0%
Ryan Zinke: 5.5%
Anthony Scaramucci: 5.4%
Bruce Rauner: 4.5%
Greg Gianforte: 4.0%
Steve Bannon: 2.0%
Scott Walker: 1.0%
Peter Thiel: 1.0%
Gary Herbert: 0.9%
Rick Perry: 0.9%
Paul LePage: 0.8%
Scott Pruitt: 0.7%

Nevada Republican Caucus Poll (November 1st, 2023)

Ben Carson: 15.6%
Greg Abbott: 12.1%
Sarah Palin: 10.0%
Tom Cotton: 9.0%
Eric Greitens: 6.5%
Bruce Rauner: 6.5%
Anthony Scaramucci: 5.9%
Ryan Zinke: 5.5%
Greg Gianforte: 4.0%
Peter Thiel: 2.3%
Rick Perry: 2.2%
Scott Walker: 1.9%
Gary Herbert: 1.0%
Paul LePage: 0.2%
Steve Bannon: 0.1%
Scott Pruitt: 0.0%

Tommy Battle withdraws from the battle!!!


Gov. Battle withdraws in a speech in Mobile, AL, November 4th, 2023.

"...Its obvious I'm not what the American people need right now. Don't worry Alabama, you'll get tired of me being around too much! Hah, it's ok, my heart wasn't fully invested in this... But that's okay, cause it's fully invested in Alabama!!!..."

Scott Walker withdraws from the Presidential race!!!


Gov. Walker announces his withdrawal to a small crowd of around 20 people in Walker, Iowa, just before the November 4th debate.

"...America, it's time I retire and allow a new conservative rebellion to rise..."


Fmr. Sec. Perry withdraws!!!!


Fmr. Sec Perry announces his suspension of his campaign after a disastrous debate performance, even worse than the "Oops moment". (November 5th,2023)

"...I can't do this anymore, okay? It's time for me to retire... I want a new generation of Conservative Republicans to rise up, and hopefully elect Secretary Carson or Governor Palin!!! I'm pulling for Ben, though..."

Steve Bannon withdraws, threatens third party run!!!


Steve Bannon withdraws after being humiliated in the debate by Scaramucci, who told him "how does it taste?", to which Bannon called Scaramucci "a damn bastard", and the two got into a vicious argument on stage, which was condemned by almost every candidate on the stage. (November 8th, 2023.

"...Look, I'm being treated unfairly. I may run third party, our movement of Trumpism needs to carry on to the General Election, I don't know if I'll run yet, but I'm leaving the Republican Party!!!..."

Fmr. Director Pruitt announces end of Campaign!!!


Fmr. Director Pruitt announces end of campaign, November 23rd, 2023, in Tulsa,OK.

"...I'm forced to end my campaign because lack of public support and funds, this isn't the end of me, though..."

---------

Linda Sarsour drops out of the Presidential Race, may endorse Green ticket!?


Linda Sarsour drops out of the Presidential race, November 2nd, 2023.


"...It's obvious America is not ready for a Muslim woman president, I will not let my political star fade, though. I will most likely run for local office, perhaps against Mayor De Blasio. I make no endorsement at this time, I may even endorse the Green Party nominee!!!..."


Sen. Kaine no longer containing bid!!!


Sen. Kaine withdraws from the race, in Richmond,VA, November 27th, 2023.

"...I can no longer run, thank you it's been an honor, but the Presidency just isn't for me..."

Next up... The run up to the Iowa Caucus... Who's your favorite candidate so far?

[Canis]

Merkely is my favorite candidate

[Canis]

When's the next update?

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

When's the next update?

Coming for the delay, sorry I was really busy this week! But ah, you're pulling for Merkley? You'll find out more about the other candidates in the next update

[Canis]

When's the next update?

Coming for the delay, sorry I was really busy this week! But ah, you're pulling for Merkley? You'll find out more about the other candidates in the next update

Nice!

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Rundown of the Democratic Primary field up to Iowa:

The Democratic Primary field was rocked by the withdrawals of Senator Kaine and Mrs. Sarsour in November, but Merkley and Whitmer seemed to pick up more supporters from the chaos. There are fears of a primary echoing 2020, where the Democrats had a brokered convention, or 2016, when they were slightly less united. The Debates have managed to produce Merkley, Whitmer, Masto, and Gillibrand as the most "interesting" candidates. In December, Martin O'Malley decided to withdraw from the race, citing fundraising concerns, most likely for a 2025 DNC Chair bid. The Iowa polls seem to favor Merkley or Whitmer, though. Although Fmr. Gov. Jared Polis has been picking up a lot of steam, if my be too little, too late. Senator Masto's numbers went down, however she's pushing hard, second place is within reach. With about a week before the Iowa Caucus, anything can happen.

Withdrawal from O'Malley!!!!


Fmr. Gov. O'Malley announces suspension of campaign in Iowa City, IA, December 2nd, 2023.

"... Well, I'm withdrawing from the Presidential race, three campaigns have shown me I will most likely never become the President. I'm too "boring", however my ideas are ideas that can be used that will make more Americans successful and happy. That's why I may run for something else soon, to improve people's lives..."

Iowa Democratic Caucus Poll (January 16th, 2024)

Sen. Jeff Merkley: 23.4%
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer: 19.8%
Sen. Catherine C. Masto: 10.9%
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand: 9.8%
Fmr. Gov. Jared Polis: 6.5%
Mayor Bill De Blasio: 5.6%
Gov. Andrew Cuomo: 5.6%
Fmr. Gov. Deval Patrick: 5.2%

Rundown of the Republican Primary field up to Iowa:

The Republican field suffered several losses in November, but in December, even more rocked the GOP "chaos field" as dubbed by Fmr. Gov. Jeb Bush, who CNN apparently thinks is still relevant. In December, despite high poll numbers, Fmr. WH. Comms Director Anthony Scaramucci declined to continue his campaign, despite high poll numbers, and a decent chance to win Republican primaries. The Iowa competition is likely to go to Fmr. Sec. Carson, although Fmr. Gov. Palin and Sen. Tom Cotton are right on his heels!!! Senator Cotton emerged as a strong, young conservative figure in the debates, he's doing good in most Southern state polling with Iowa his only exception, but he can't really do well outside of that circle. Let's see what happens on the wacky Republican side!!! Fmr. President Trump praised Secretary Carson, Fmr. Gov. Palin, and Fmr. Sec. Zinke, saying Republicans should choose from among them. The former President is the most unpopular president of the century so far, with Palin and Zinke publicly praising Trump, it's not likely they can be anywhere near competitive in the General. Plus, Palin's disaster our debate performances have sunk her numbers. Can the 73 year old former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development win Iowa?

The "Mooch" withdraws!!!!


Fmr. WH. Comms Dir. Scaramucci withdraws his White House bid in New York City, NY, on December 15th, 2023.

"...Look, you may think I'm a fool to withdraw with such a good potential at winning the nomination, but I'm really not. I've come to the conclusion that I don't have what it takes to be President of the United States, if I won it could risk the country's future, and I will never do that for my own personal gain. I'm just not experienced enough yet, however trust me, I'm exploring a run for the House. I think I could serve my country best there. Some people will look to me and ask why did I choose a House race over a GOP Presidential race where I was poised to win states, and to that I answer with I believe I can best serve my people in the House of Representatives..."

Fmr. Gov. Herbert no longer continuing Presidential bid!!!


Fmr Gov. Herbert withdraws on December 29th, 2023, in Salt Lake City, UT.

"... I can't do this anymore, I haven't made much of an impact that is necessary to continue my bid. This movement will live on, Former Secretary Carson is the clear man for the job. Please vote for him!!!..."

Iowa Republican Caucus Poll (January 16th, 2024)

Fmr. Sec. Ben Carson: 22.1%
Sen. Tom Cotton: 20.3%
Fmr. Gov. Sarah Palin: 16.5%
Fmr. Sec. Ryan Zinke: 12.0%
Gov. Greg Abbott: 8.7%
Gov. Eric Greitens: 7.6%
Fmr. Gov. Bruce Rauner: 5.2%
Rep. Greg Gianforte: 2.0%
Mr. Peter Thiel: 2.0%

[Lord Admirale]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XMhheJNhGO4

Still the greatest video on the internet

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Iowa, Iowa, Iowa:



Iowa Democratic Caucus (100% reporting):

Sen. Jeff Merkley: 27.6%
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer: 26.0%
Sen. Catherine Masto: 13.4%
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand: 8.7%
Fmr. Gov. Jared Polis: 6.7%
Mayor Bill De Blasio: 5.9%
Gov. Andrew Cuomo: 5.2%
Uncommitted: 3.6%
Fmr. Gov. Deval Patrick: 2.9%

Fmr. Gov. Polis withdraws from the race!!!!


Fmr. Gov. Polis withdraws on Caucus night, January 24th, 2024, in Des Moines,IA.

"...Although we did better here than people expected, I'm withdrawing my candidacy for the Presidency. However you haven't seen the last of me yet, Colorado still needs me so all options are on the table there. I have to give my endorsement to a qualified candidate, Governor Whitmer!!! She's done well tonight, although she hasn't one, I encourage all my New Hampshire supporters and national supporters to make her the next President of the United States!!! The Reform Party, or moderate Republicanism is not the answer for America!!!..."

Rundown:

The withdrawal of Polis proved a good opportunity for Whitmer to win New Hampshire, where she was already leading. With Polis's support, she may pick up an extra ten percent. New Hampshire is likely to go for her, while South Carolina is sort of lean Patrick, the former Massachusetts Governor may have come behind uncommitted voters in Iowa, but in South Carolina he's leading. If he can do better, Clyburn and the Black community's support may push him over the edge there. Nevada is Safe Masto, as of now, Senator Merkley is regarded as a front runner, but the early states aren't favored to go his way.

--

Iowa Republican Caucus (100% reporting)



Fmr. Sec. Ben Carson: 22.3%
Sen. Tom Cotton: 22.0%
Fmr. Sec. Ryan Zinke: 16.0%
Gov. Eric Greitens: 15.6%
Fmr. Gov. Sarah Palin: 10.1%
Gov. Greg Abbott: 7.7%
Fmr. Gov. Bruce Rauner: 3.4%
Rep. Greg Gianforte: 1.0%
Mr. Peter Thiel: 1.0%
Uncommitted: 1.0%

Rep. Gianforte quits!!!


Rep. Gianforte withdraws on Caucus night, in Ames, IA.

"...Look, I can't continue on anymore. It's not fair to the people of Montana for me to be distracted with this. So I'm quitting the contest, and I'm announcing my endorsement of fellow Montanan Ryan Zinke!!! He's tough, he's got guts, and he'll make a hell of a commander in chief!!!..."

Peter Thiel withdraws, "I don't care anymore"!?


Peter Thiel issued a rare tweet from his campaign's Twitter on Caucus night.

"Look, I don't care anymore. You obviously don't want a President Thiel. Vote for whoever."

Rundown:

Iowa was close, too close for Carson. Senator Cotton likely wasn't going to win New Hampshire or Nevada, he needed a win in South Carolina. If he won there, his fundraising would increase, and he could win more than just a couple Super Tuesday states. Most surprising of all was Governor Palin's collapse, she just did horrible on Caucus night. She is currently considering stepping aside, but some private aides have leaked that she "feels entitled to be President". New Hampshire is a toss up. Bruce Rauner seems to be making a lot of inroads there, though. Greg Gianforte's endorsement of Zinke is no big deal, it doesn't help much. But Mr. Thiel's tweet has been criticized by lots of the media, perhaps getting more coverage in one day than his entire campaign over the course of many months.

--

The General Rundown:

The real winner of both party's caucuses was President Kasich. The Reform Party's Iowa Caucus is unanimously decided for the President, with a couple write in votes here and there for Fmr. Gov. Ventura, who isn't contesting the Nomination. The other two parties, however seem more fractured than ever. The President's getting stuff done, legislation passed, and winning people's votes with actions while the bickering candidates do everything they can to destroy one another. President Kasich has blown the modern political world into shreds.

General Election Poll, January 28th, 2024:

Pres. Kasich/??? (REF): 53.4%
Democrat: 26.5%
Republican: 20.0%

[Canis]

Nice! what does the polling look for each state for the general?
I know its quite far off but is Hickenlooper considering running in 2024?

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Nice! what does the polling look for each state for the general?
I know its quite far off but is Hickenlooper considering running in 2024?

The polling shows Kasich getting ~ 400ish Electoral Votes. The Democrats and Republicans are now extremely unpopular compared to Kasich, but you'll get more on that soon. Vice President Hickenlooper is likely to serve another term, but is considered a potential reform candidate for 2028, however he'll be around 76. The most likely candidates for the Reform Party in 2028 are Ben Sasse, Marco Rubio, Mark Eves, Andy Beshear, etc.

[Don Vito Corleone]

Linda Sarsour running for President!!


Linda Sarsour announcing her candidacy in New York City, NY, March 1st, 2023.

"...Lets get a Muslim woman in the White House!!!..."

Hey, look! A candidate against whom I'd vote for Trump!