MD- Sen 2022 Could Hogan win?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 11:09:38 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  MD- Sen 2022 Could Hogan win?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MD- Sen 2022 Could Hogan win?  (Read 1779 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 27, 2017, 10:41:29 PM »
Of course, I prefer Van Hollen, but if he gets over cancer could he win?
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2017, 10:46:23 PM »
ok lol Tongue
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,823
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 27, 2017, 10:46:38 PM »
Hogan probably won't win re-election, so I don't see how he's going to win a Senate race in 2022.
Logged
InheritTheWind
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 27, 2017, 10:52:07 PM »
Good god, no.
Logged
Coraxion
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 906
Ethiopia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 27, 2017, 10:55:10 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on July 27, 2017, 10:46:38 PM
Hogan probably won't win re-election, so I don't see how he's going to win a Senate race in 2022.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 27, 2017, 10:57:32 PM »
L O L
O
L
Logged
BlueDogDemocrat
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 289
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 27, 2017, 11:00:11 PM »
Probably not at this point
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 27, 2017, 11:05:42 PM »

my new opinion
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 28, 2017, 02:56:41 AM »
No. Congressional elections are now much more polarized then gubernatorial. You will not find Charlie Bakers among present day Republican Senators. And the last Republican to win Senate election in Maryland was venerable Charles Mathias. Alas, Hogai isn't Mathias...
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 28, 2017, 10:38:52 PM »
He'd make it a heck of a lot closer, but no.
Logged
The Arizonan
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,557
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 28, 2017, 11:21:05 PM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on July 28, 2017, 02:56:41 AM
No. Congressional elections are now much more polarized then gubernatorial. You will not find Charlie Bakers among present day Republican Senators. And the last Republican to win Senate election in Maryland was venerable Charles Mathias. Alas, Hogai isn't Mathias...

Charles Mathias was pretty liberal by Republican standards.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 29, 2017, 12:04:45 AM »
Quote from: The Arizonan on July 28, 2017, 11:21:05 PM
Quote from: smoltchanov on July 28, 2017, 02:56:41 AM
No. Congressional elections are now much more polarized then gubernatorial. You will not find Charlie Bakers among present day Republican Senators. And the last Republican to win Senate election in Maryland was venerable Charles Mathias. Alas, Hogai isn't Mathias...

Charles Mathias was pretty liberal by Republican standards.

He was liberal even by national one.
Logged
maga2020
Rookie
**
Posts: 131


Political Matrix
E: 5.48, S: 7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 29, 2017, 12:28:23 PM »
Toss-up with a democratic president.

Would be Delaware 2010 without O'Donnell (she may have lost but in the end it was better purging RINOs like Mike Castle from the party and winning 1000 races under her formula elsewhere).
Logged
PragmaticPopulist
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,234
Ireland, Republic of


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 29, 2017, 03:13:37 PM »
Quote from: The Arizonan on July 28, 2017, 11:21:05 PM
Quote from: smoltchanov on July 28, 2017, 02:56:41 AM
No. Congressional elections are now much more polarized then gubernatorial. You will not find Charlie Bakers among present day Republican Senators. And the last Republican to win Senate election in Maryland was venerable Charles Mathias. Alas, Hogai isn't Mathias...

Charles Mathias was pretty liberal by Republican standards.
Mathias was even more liberal than Hogan is. Maryland's not gonna elect a Republican senator even if there's a Democratic President.
Logged
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 29, 2017, 09:10:05 PM »
Unlikely, Governor's races are far less partisan then Senate races. I suspect that he could match Michael Steele's performance in 06, but that is probably the best he could do in a non-wave scenario.
Logged
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 29, 2017, 09:28:23 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on July 27, 2017, 10:46:38 PM
Hogan probably won't win re-election, so I don't see how he's going to win a Senate race in 2022.
Eh he'll probably win re-election. True he is far from safe, but he is still relatively well liked and most of the current Dem candidates for Governor are lower profile. Besides Governors races are much less partisan then national ones and unpopular Presidents tend to have much less negative coattails on statewide candidates then they do on congressional candidates.
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,916


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 29, 2017, 11:05:03 PM »
Quote from: Acting Game Moderator 1184AZ on July 29, 2017, 09:28:23 PM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on July 27, 2017, 10:46:38 PM
Hogan probably won't win re-election, so I don't see how he's going to win a Senate race in 2022.
Eh he'll probably win re-election. True he is far from safe, but he is still relatively well liked and most of the current Dem candidates for Governor are lower profile. Besides Governors races are much less partisan then national ones and unpopular Presidents tend to have much less negative coattails on statewide candidates then they do on congressional candidates.

This is very wrong for Maryland, see 06

Predicted Hogan would win in 14, he'll lose in 18 if we have a decent candidate at the rate trumps approval is in md
Logged
mvd10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,709


Political Matrix
E: 2.58, S: -2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 30, 2017, 09:34:36 AM »
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Massachusetts,_1996
Logged
Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,695
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 01, 2017, 06:01:16 PM »
What kind of garbage thread is this?
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,916


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 01, 2017, 07:32:36 PM »
Logged
_
Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 01, 2017, 07:53:21 PM »
He has no chance in a federal race, NEXT!
Logged
Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 05, 2017, 05:29:06 PM »
Nope. If Trump is POTUS, it will be a Democrat wave akin to 2014 (reversed) or 2006. If Trump isn't POTUS, it will still be a Democratic victory as Maryland is one of the strongest Democratic states on the east coast.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,440
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 06, 2017, 01:00:17 AM »
« Edited: August 06, 2017, 01:02:14 AM by Cory Booker »
If Cory Booker is PREZ, no Hogan won't win a Congressional Seat in MD, due to Baltimore. In a Trump midterm, yes.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 12 queries.