Hogan probably won't win re-election, so I don't see how he's going to win a Senate race in 2022.
Eh he'll probably win re-election. True he is far from safe, but he is still relatively well liked and most of the current Dem candidates for Governor are lower profile. Besides Governors races are much less partisan then national ones and unpopular Presidents tend to have much less negative coattails on statewide candidates then they do on congressional candidates.
This is very wrong for Maryland, see 06
Predicted Hogan would win in 14, he'll lose in 18 if we have a decent candidate at the rate trumps approval is in md