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September 20, 2017, 01:03:57 pm
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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter, Justice TJ)
| | |-+  County tie
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Author Topic: County tie  (Read 850 times)
Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #25 on: August 07, 2017, 10:44:20 pm »
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Most likely in Indiana to tie in 2020 imo: Tippecanoe County.
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Angry Socdem
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« Reply #26 on: August 07, 2017, 11:49:08 pm »
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Given that a county with a smaller population is much more likely to produce a tie, I'll go with Kenedy County, Texas. Just look at 2012!
This is the best answer in the thread. Interesting note, the county seat (Sarita) is the most liberal city in Texas.
No way its more liberal than Boston Austin
I got the information from Wikipedia, which referenced this webpage. I can verify that this is at least very, very accurate for Maryland.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #27 on: August 15, 2017, 08:42:25 am »
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Harris County, TX

That would be amazing if the nation's third-biggest county produces a tie.

It almost happened in 2012.
http://houston.culturemap.com/news/city-life/11-07-12-00-42-romney-sweeps-texas-but-harris-country-remains-barely-blue-with-obama-win/
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« Reply #28 on: August 15, 2017, 01:03:53 pm »
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That proves - once again - that Houston should "break away" from Harris County; that county could easily and literally be divided into half and half. I think it's so abnormal that Texas houses both Loving County and Harris County.
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« Reply #29 on: August 17, 2017, 05:32:25 am »
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Harris County, TX

That would be amazing if the nation's third-biggest county produces a tie.

Yeah, it's pretty unlikely for it it to be one of the largest counties. Much more likely is some county like Mahnomen, Minnesota.
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Figueira
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« Reply #30 on: August 17, 2017, 09:57:23 pm »
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Bronx County, New York because Warren is superduper unelectable. Obviously.
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« Reply #31 on: August 18, 2017, 10:44:11 pm »
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Between a generic D and generic R, I'd go with Cos County, New Hampshire.

Between Trump and Warren, it's just too unpredictable. Ties are so uncommon that the only one I've ever seen is Bruce Rauner and Pat Quinn tied in the Chicago suburb of River Forest in 2014.

If Trump blows Warren out, it's because he regains Romney-like numbers or better among the wealthy (who are opposed to Warren's desire to take their money) while expanding or at least holding onto his numbers among rural blue-collar voters. In this case, I would go with Marion County, Indiana (which Bush won) or Bucks County, Pennsylvania.

If Warren blows Trump out, she's probably found out a way to outflank him with lower-income rural whites without losing her hold on minorities or rich suburbanites. I'm assuming minorities are out of the picture for Trump no matter what after how his first term has gone. A Rust Belt county that voted Obama/Trump would be a good pick. Perhaps Elliot County, Kentucky.

In a close race, we probably move back toward Romney/Obama numbers a bit, in which case a good choice is Kent County, Delaware.
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« Reply #32 on: August 20, 2017, 06:53:12 pm »
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benson county nd
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