States decided by less than 5 points
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  States decided by less than 5 points
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Mr. Smith
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« on: August 04, 2017, 02:38:51 PM »



Trump/Pence: 204 EV
Clinton/Kaine: 201 EV

Only a 3 point EV lead for Trump.
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SWE
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« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2017, 05:13:43 PM »

For comparison, in 2012, the only states that were within 5 points were Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio. Romney could have won them all and it still wouldn't have been enough.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2017, 05:15:59 PM »

A 3 point EV lead is still kind of impressive given that he was down in the popular vote by 2.8 million.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2017, 07:02:14 PM »

While only 6 states flipped between 2012 and 2016, most are large: FL, MI, OH, PA alone have 83 EVs. All were decided by 5 points or less in one or both years.
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PoliticalJunkie23
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« Reply #4 on: August 22, 2017, 03:12:01 PM »

Interesting how close Maine was, as I thought Trump just did well in the 2nd district. Did he run up his margins there, or did he do better than expected in the 1st district?
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Keep cool-idge
Benjamin Harrison he is w
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« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2017, 04:01:19 PM »

Interesting how close Maine was, as I thought Trump just did well in the 2nd district. Did he run up his margins there, or did he do better than expected in the 1st district?
So it wasn't so much trump did better the Romney in the first but that Hillary did 6 points worse trump however still did 1 point better
But the reason it was so close is that Maine second district was won by obama by 8 points but trump won it by 10 points that's a 18 point swing! Some else interesting is that the second district was one of Perots best districts he only lost it by 4 to Clinton bush in 2000 did come very close to Winning only losing by 1 point
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