Which demographic group is the biggest?
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  Which demographic group is the biggest?
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Question: Which demographic group is the biggest?
#1
A
#2
B
#3
C
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Author Topic: Which demographic group is the biggest?  (Read 1592 times)
Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« on: August 06, 2017, 12:11:28 AM »

A: Lesbians who voted for Trump
B: Heterosexual, white men from rural Deep Southern counties who voted for Clinton
C: Stein voters
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2017, 12:29:38 AM »

A. There were a lot of lesbians picking up wood in Vermont who were quite attracted to Trump's Trade Rhetoric. Chinese lesbians have been exported to the area to pick up wood and it's been damaging to the local economy (remember that the Lesbian Wood industry is the number 2 industry in VT). If you look at the swing map from 2012-2016, the areas with the largest concentrations of lesbian wood picking up industries swung the hardest for Trump.

Best comment in this forum ever. Tongue
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2017, 03:06:41 PM »

Option B has got to be at least 8-10%. Definitely option B.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2017, 03:50:19 PM »

Option B has got to be at least 8-10%. Definitely option B.

Actually a very sad number... Undecided
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2017, 04:19:18 PM »

Problem with option B is that rural white deep south men are not that big a demographic.
Deep South - about 12% of the population
Rural Deep South - about 6%
White rural Deep South - about 4%
White male rural Deep South - about 2%
... who voted for Clinton - about 0.2%
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cvparty
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« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2017, 04:23:08 PM »

Problem with option B is that rural white deep south men are not that big a demographic.
Deep South - about 12% of the population
Rural Deep South - about 6%
White rural Deep South - about 4%
White male rural Deep South - about 2%
... who voted for Clinton - about 0.2%
this, roughly
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2017, 07:46:46 PM »

A. There were a lot of lesbians picking up wood in Vermont who were quite attracted to Trump's Trade Rhetoric. Chinese lesbians have been exported to the area to pick up wood and it's been damaging to the local economy (remember that the Lesbian Wood industry is the number 2 industry in VT). If you look at the swing map from 2012-2016, the areas with the largest concentrations of lesbian wood picking up industries swung the hardest for Trump.

I get that this is a joke, but I don't know what it means. Does it have something to do with Canada?
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catographer
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« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2017, 10:32:44 PM »

what is this post even
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2017, 05:22:18 AM »

Problem with option B is that rural white deep south men are not that big a demographic.
Deep South - about 12% of the population
Rural Deep South - about 6%
White rural Deep South - about 4%
White male rural Deep South - about 2%
... who voted for Clinton - about 0.2%

How many Lesbians are there living in the US?
If you consider 5% of the population gay and half of the population female, about 2.5%?
And how many of them might have chosen Trump over Clinton? And why?
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cvparty
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2017, 02:20:47 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2017, 02:25:17 PM by cvparty »

Problem with option B is that rural white deep south men are not that big a demographic.
Deep South - about 12% of the population
Rural Deep South - about 6%
White rural Deep South - about 4%
White male rural Deep South - about 2%
... who voted for Clinton - about 0.2%

How many Lesbians are there living in the US?
If you consider 5% of the population gay and half of the population female, about 2.5%?
And how many of them might have chosen Trump over Clinton? And why?

I assume that the 5% figure also includes Bisexuals.  The number of Lesbians would thus be closer to 1-1.5%.

In either case, to match the number of Stein voters, Trump would have had to definitionally won a majority of Lesbians, which clearly didn't happen.

B is clearly the largest out of the options provided in the OP (it isn't even close). The only question is if A or C is bigger.
Not really, let's go with the 5% estimate of the LGBT population share. Lesbians are probably at most 2%. And Trump did horribly with LGBT people, exit polls say he had 14% of the vote. Let's just assume lesbians voted like LGBTs at large (though I have a hunch that Donald would have even less support among lesbians). Then the share of the voters is 0.28%, far less than Stein's 1.1%.

Now using the broadest definition of Deep South - Louisiana, Mississippi Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, northern Florida, western Tennessee, and eastern Texas...

Deep South - 13.4%
+ male and heterosexual (~46%) - 6.2%
+ white non-Hispanic (~55%) - 3.4%
+ rural (~34%) - 1.2%
+ voted for Clinton (~20%? probably generous) - 0.24%

No question Stein voters are the biggest group. The real question is whether there were more As or Bs. But my estimate for the lesbian share was kinda generous, so I would say

C >>>> B > A
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2017, 04:31:14 PM »

Definitely C. It is clearly largest and most definable in number.
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