Don't Stop Thinking About Tomorrow: A 2015 Canadian Election TL

[JoeyOCanada]

May 2, 2011 - Stephen Harper and Conservatives earn first majority government, Jack Layton leads NDP to official opposition


May 25, 2011 - Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff announces he will be resigning as leader, Bob Rae appointed interim leader


July 11, 2011 - NDP Leader Jack Layton announces leave of absence, Nycole Turmel appointed interim leader of the NDP


August 22, 2011 - Jack Layton is hospitalized due to his battle with cancer, his health is unknown


October 5, 2011 - Nearly two months after being hospitalized, Jack Layton hosts a press conference in which he lays out his hopes and dreams for Canada, quoting the famous Fleetwood Mac song by telling Canadians: "Don't stop thinking about tomorrow, it'll be better than before". Layton would then announce his resignation as the leader of the NDP but promised to help whoever becomes the new leader.

[_]

I look forward to this.  Hopefully an NDP Majority!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Here's to hoping the Grits win the next election.

[Pericles]

Hoping for an NDP win though a Harper win would be a good twist too.

[erſatz-york]

I'm hoping for a Harper victory, obviously, but if that can't be achieved, I'll settle for the destruction of the Grits as a federal electoral force and their replacement by the NDP as the primary left-of-center party.

[TheSaint250]

I'm hoping for a Harper victory, obviously, but if that can't be achieved, I'll settle for the destruction of the Grits as a federal electoral force and their replacement by the NDP as the primary left-of-center party.

[_]

I'm hoping for a Harper victory, obviously, but if that can't be achieved, I'll settle for the destruction of the Grits as a federal electoral force and their replacement by the NDP as the primary left-of-center party.

This will work as well.

[JoeyOCanada]

November 2011 - Interim Liberal Leader Bob Rae becomes the first candidate to put his name on the ballot to become the permanent leader. The Liberal Leadership Convention is scheduled for September 2012


December 2011 - New Brunswick MP Dominic LeBlanc announces his candidacy for the Liberal leadership


January 2012 - Former New Brunswick Premier Frank McKenna announces his candidacy for the Liberal leadership


January 2012 - Quebec MP and former astronaut Marc Garneau announces his candidacy for the Liberal leadership


January 2012 - As January crept to a close, former Ontario MP Martha Hall Findlay announced her candidacy for the Liberal leadership


February 2012 - Premier of Prince Edward Island, Robert Ghiz announces his candidacy for the Liberal leadership


February 2012 - Quebec Premier Jean Charest announces his candidacy for the Liberal leadership


March 2012 - Ontario MP and brother to the Premier of Ontario, David McGuinty announces his candidacy for the Liberal leadership


March 2012 - Son of former Prime Minister Pierre Elliot Trudeau and current Quebec MP Justin Trudeau shocked the country when he announced that he would NOT be seeking the Liberal leadership at this time
Who do you want as the Liberal Leader?
McKenna - 26%
Charest - 20%
Ghiz - 16%
Rae - 10%
LeBlanc - 8%
Garneau - 7%
Findlay - 7%
McGuinty - 6%

[_]

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So that's the POD.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

So that's the POD.

I thought the PoD was Layton living.

[JoeyOCanada]

The overarching POD is Layton living but Trudeau not running for the leadership is a mini-POD which will have consequences.

[Kingpoleon]

If Scott Brison doesn't run, I suppose I'm rooting for Charest.

[_]

The overarching POD is Layton living but Trudeau not running for the leadership is a mini-POD which will have consequences.

Alright, great TL So far, GO NDP!

[JoeyOCanada]

Liberal Leadership Convention

50%+1 support is required to be elected the leader of the Liberal Party of Canada.

First Ballot
Jean Charest - 33%
Frank McKenna - 27%
Bob Rae - 20%
Robert Ghiz - 10%
Dominic LeBlanc - 4%
Marc Garneau - 3%
Martha Hall Findlay - 2%
David McGuinty - 1%

David McGuinty received the lowest amount of support and has been eliminated. He endorsed Frank McKenna

Second Ballot
Frank McKenna - 39%
Jean Charest - 20%
Robert Ghiz - 17%
Bob Rae - 11%
Marc Garneau - 7%
Martha Hall Findlay - 4%
Dominic LeBlanc - 2%

Dominic LeBlanc is shockingly eliminated on the second ballot. He endorses Frank McKenna. Marc Garneau decides to withdraw after the second ballot and places his endorsement with Robert Ghiz.

Third Ballot
Frank McKenna - 56%
Jean Charest - 21%
Robert Ghiz - 17%
Bob Rae - 5%
Martha Hall Findlay - 1%



Former New Brunswick Premier Frank McKenna has been elected the new leader of the Liberal Party of Canada. He thanked Canadians far and wide and made it clear that he was going to take the Liberals back to the promised much like he did in New Brunswick!

[JoeyOCanada]

January 2012 - Manitoba MP Niki Ashton becomes the first candidate to declare her intent to seek the leadership of the NDP. The NDP Leadership convention is scheduled for January 2013.


January 2012 - In a move that shocked many, the son of former leader Jack Layton, Toronto city Councillor Mike Layton announced his intention to seek the NDP leadership claiming that he would continue on what his father built.

 
February 2012 - Nova Scotia MP Megan Leslie announces her candidacy for the leadership of the NDP.


March 2012 - March was a huge month for the leadership race and it began with Quebec MP Romeo Saganash announcing his candidacy for the NDP leadership.


March 2012 - Quebec MP Thomas Mulcair announces his candidacy for the NDP leadership.


March 2012 - British Columbia MP Nathan Cullen announces his candidacy for the NDP leadership.


March 2012 - March continued with long time Manitoba MP Bill Blaikie announcing his candidacy for the NDP leadership.


March 2012 - New Brunswick MP Yvon Godin announces his candidacy for the NDP leadership.


April 2012 - Newfoundland and Labrador MP Ryan Cleary announces his candidacy for the NDP leadership.


May 2012 - Ontario MP Peggy Nash announces her candidacy for the NDP leadership.


September 2012 - With mere months before the convention, Newfoundland and Labrador MP Jack Harris announces his candidacy for the NDP leadership.
Who do you want as NDP leader?
Nash - 17%
Mulcair - 14%
Blaikie - 13%
Layton - 13%
Leslie - 11%
Harris - 11%
Cleary - 7%
Ashton - 6%
Cullen - 6%
Saganash - 1%
Godin - 1%

[JoeyOCanada]

NDP Leadership Convention

50%+1 is required to become the leader of the New Democratic Party of Canada.

First Ballot
Peggy Nash - 14%
Thomas Mulcair - 14%
Jack Harris - 14%
Bill Blaikie - 13%
Mike Layton - 13%
Megan Leslie - 11%
Ryan Cleary - 7%
Niki Ashton - 7%
Nathan Cullen - 6%
Romeo Saganash - 1%
Yvon Godin - <1%

Yvon Godin and Romeo Saganash have both been eliminated from the ballot. Neither man decides to make an endorsement.

Second Ballot
Peggy Nash - 21%
Mike Layton - 17%
Thomas Mulcair - 14%
Jack Harris - 14%
Bill Blaikie - 13%
Megan Leslie - 9%
Ryan Cleary - 7%
Niki Ashton - 7%
Nathan Cullen - 5%

Nathan Cullen is eliminated after the second ballot and decides to place his endorsement with Peggy Nash.

Third Ballot
Peggy Nash - 29%
Mike Layton - 20%
Thomas Mulcair - 12%
Jack Harris - 11%
Bill Blaikie - 8%
Megan Leslie - 8%
Niki Ashton - 7%
Ryan Cleary - 5%

Ryan Cleary is eliminated after the third ballot. He places his endorsement with who he believes will lead the NDP to the next government and fellow Newfoundlander, Jack Harris. Bill Blaikie decides to withdraw following the third ballot and endorses Thomas Mulcair.

Fourth Ballot
Peggy Nash - 32%
Mike Layton - 20%
Thomas Mulcair - 20%
Jack Harris - 13%
Megan Leslie - 8%
Niki Ashton - 7%

Niki Ashton is eliminated following the fourth ballot. Megan Leslie announces her withdrawal, citing no possible way she could win the leadership. Ashton and Leslie both place their endorsements with Peggy Nash.

Fifth Ballot
Peggy Nash - 37%
Mike Layton - 30%
Thomas Mulcair - 20%
Jack Harris - 13%

Jack Harris is eliminated after the fifth ballot, he places his endorsement with Peggy Nash.

Sixth Ballot
Peggy Nash - 57%
Mike Layton - 27%
Thomas Mulcair - 16%



After six hard-fought ballots, Ontario MP Peggy Nash has been elected as the new leader of the New Democratic Party of Canada. She promised to continue what Jack Layton started and thanked all of the candidates, especially Jack's son Mike for a very hard fought campaign and convention.

[JoeyOCanada]

August 31, 2015

[JoeyOCanada]

September 7, 2015 - A week after the election was called, the first debate was held hosted by Maclean's. The debate featured candidates from the four major Canadian parties (Harper for the Conservatives, McKenna for the Liberals, Nash for the NDP and May for the Green).

Stephen Harper focused on national security and economic management but was shaken by attacks from both Frank McKenna and Peggy Nash.

Peggy Nash took some jabs at Harper's record and McKenna's record as the Premier of New Brunswick before focusing on Jack Layton's vision for Canada and how she would help to ensure that became a reality.

Frank McKenna looked incredibly strong as he forced Stephen Harper to admit that Canada is almost in a recession.

Elizabeth May held her own in the debate attacking Harper's record on climate change but she was mostly quiet aside from that.

Most pundits felt as though Peggy Nash was the winner of the debate.
Nanos Poll - September 11, 2015
NDP - 36%
Conservative - 30%
Liberal - 29%
Bloc Quebecois - 3%
Green - 2%

[JoeyOCanada]

The Campaign Trudges On

NDP Leader Peggy Nash campaigned with former leader Jack Layton for a large part of the campaign following the first debate, hoping it would boost her poll numbers.


Stephen Harper called out Peggy Nash on lack of leadership skills and said that Canada needs a real leader in charge.


Frank McKenna looked to shore up support on the East Coast by holding several rallies and events in the Maritime provinces.


Elizabeth May campaigned hard to get reelected in her riding and mainly stayed there, venturing into other parts of British Columbia as well.

Nanos Polls - September 18, 2015
NDP - 34% (-2)
Conservative - 31% (+1)
Liberal - 28% (-1)
Green - 4% (+2)
Bloc Quebecois - 3%

[JoeyOCanada]

September 22, 2015 - The second and final debate of the campaign featured the same four candidates as the first with Gilles Duceppe of the Bloc Quebecois added as well.

Stephen Harper continued to attack Peggy Nash on leadership telling Canadians that she is not ready to hold the title of Prime Minister.

Peggy Nash attacked both Harper and Frank McKenna on being the "old guard" and claimed it was time for a fresh, new face to lead the country.

Frank McKenna seemed to struggle in this debate, but attacked Harper on the fact that he has mostly campaigned in the Western provinces, saying that Canada is one and should not be divided into East vs. West. Harper retorted by calling out McKenna's frequent stops in Eastern provinces.

Both Elizabeth May and Gilles Duceppe remained largely out of the picture for the duration of the debate, although May did get in more jabs on Harper's climate record.

Pundits saw Stephen Harper as the winner of this debate, citing the fact that both Frank McKenna and Peggy Nash seemed to struggle on tough questions.
Nanos Poll - September 25, 2015
NDP - 31% (-3)
Conservative - 31% (+1)
Liberal - 28%
Green - 6% (+2)
Bloc Quebecois - 4% (+1)

[JoeyOCanada]

Election Night 2015 Coverage
The Newfoundland and Labrador Results

Avalon
Scott Andrews (IND) - 23,423
Ken McDonald (LIB) - 10,211
Jeannie Baldwin (NDP) - 3,467
Lorraine E. Barnett (CON) - 2,323
Krista Byrne-Puumala (GRN) - 127

Bonavista—Burin—Trinity
Judy Foote (LIB) - 29,102
Mike Windsor (CON) - 3,286
Jenn Brown (NDP) - 1,306
Tyler John Colbourne (GRN) - 603

Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame
Claudette Menchenton (NDP) - 22,308
Scott Simms (LIB) - 11,943
Kevin George O'Brien (CON) - 3,283
Elizabeth Perry (GRN) - 792

Labrador
Yvonne Jones (LIB) - 10,982
Edward Rudkowski (NDP) - 1,321
Peter Penashue (CON) - 936

Long Range Mountains
Devon Babstock (NDP) - 15,936
Gudie Hutchings (LIB) - 15,321
Wayne Ruth (CON) - 3,281
Terry Cormier (GRN) - 2,983

St. John's East
Jack Harris (NDP) - 31,388
Deanne Stapleton (CON) - 5,698
Nick Whalen (LIB) - 4,736
David Anthony Peters (GRN) - 1,382

St. John's South—Mount Pearl
Ryan Cleary (NDP) - 22,283
Seamus O'Regan (LIB) - 19,212
Jackson McLean (GRN) - 2,047
Marek Krol (CON) - 903

Current Seat Totals
NDP: 4 seats
Liberal: 2 seats
Independent: 1 seat
Conservative: 0 seats
Green: 0 seats
Bloc Quebecois: 0 seats

[erſatz-york]

Can't wait to see how things finally turn out!

[Lachi]

NDP up 2, Liberals down 2, Conservatives down 1 in Newfoundland and Labrador

[JoeyOCanada]

Election Night 2015 Coverage
The Maritime Provinces Results

Prince Edward Island
Cardigan
Lawrence MacAulay (LIB) - 15,214
Billy Cann (NDP) - 4,436
Julius Pataki (CON) - 1,236
Teresa Doyle (GRN) - 986

Charlottetown
Sean Casey (LIB) - 12,244
Joe Byrne (NDP) - 3,984
Ron MacMillan (CON) - 2,853
Becka Viau (GRN) - 1,222

Egmont
Gail Shea (CON) - 16,433
Herb Dickieson (NDP) - 2,333
Bobby Morrissey (LIB) - 2,213
Nils Ling (GRN) - 1,001

Mapleque
Wayne Easter (LIB) - 16,102
Stephen Stewart (CON) - 3,234
Lynne Lund (GRN) - 2,054
Leah-Jane Hayward (NDP) - 1,986

Nova Scotia
Cape Breton-Canso
Roger Cuzner (LIB) - 30,932
Michelle Smith (NDP) - 7,843
Adam Daniel Rogers (CON) - 5,322
Maria Goretti Coady (GRN) - 1,986

Central Nova
Fred DeLorey (CON) - 32,684
Ross Landry (NDP) - 8,943
Sean Fraser (LIB) - 6,423
David Hachey (GRN) - 1,264

Cumberland-Colchester
Wendy Robinson (NDP) - 20,249
Scott Armstrong (CON) - 19,982
Bill Casey (LIB) - 8,444
Jason Matthew Blanch (GRN) - 2,122

Darthmouth-Cole Harbour
Robert Chisholm (NDP) - 31,433
Jason Cole (CON) - 11,299
Darren Fisher (LIB) - 6,873
Brynn Nheiley (GRN) - 973

Halifax
Megan Leslie (NDP) - 38,733
Andy Fillmore (LIB) - 6,493
Irvine Carvery (CON) - 2,922
Thomas Trappenberg (GRN) - 1,433

Halifax West
Geoff Regan (LIB) - 34,377
Joanne Hussey (NDP) - 7,837
Michael McGinnis (CON) - 6,894
Richard Henryk Zurawski (GRN) - 1,111

Kings-Hants
Scott Brison (LIB) - 39,026
David Morse (CON) - 7,945
Hugh Curry (NDP) - 3,298
Will Cooper (GRN) - 1,569

Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook
Peter Stoffer (NDP) - 23,161
Robert Thomas Strickland (CON) - 16,165
Darrell Samson (LIB) - 5,343
Mike Montgomery (GRN) - 1,948

South Shore-St. Margarets
Richard Clark (CON) - 31,034
Alex Godbold (NDP) - 13,184
Bernadette Jordan (LIB) - 6,444
Richard Biggar (GRN) - 1,222

Sydney-Victoria
Mark Eyking (LIB) - 30,102
Monika Dutt (NDP) - 6,023
John Douglas Chiasson (CON) - 4,101
Adrianna MacKinnon (GRN) - 842

West Nova
Arnold LeBlanc (CON) - 29,775
Colin Fraser (LIB) - 10,842
Greg Foster (NDP) - 4,001
Clark Walton (GRN) - 1,203

New Brunswick
Acadie-Bathurst
Jason Godin (NDP) - 27,845
Serge Cormier (LIB) - 18,211
Riba Girouard-Riordon (CON) - 2,983
Dominique Breau (GRN) - 1,833

Beausejour
Dominic LeBlanc (LIB) - 41,532
Helene Boudreau (NDP) - 5,288
Ann Bastarache (CON) - 3,732
Kevin King (GRN) - 1,922

Fredericton
Mary Lou Babineau (GRN) - 17,225
Keith Ashfield (CON) - 16,922
Matt DeCourcey (LIB) - 11,283
Sharon Scott-Levesque (NDP) - 2,732

Fundy Royal
Rob Moore (CON) - 29,684
Jennifer McKenzie (NDP) - 10,299
Alaina Lockhart (LIB) - 8,204
Stephanie Coburn (GRN) - 1,533

Madawaska-Restigouche
Bernard Valcourt (CON) - 20,778
Rene Arsenault (LIB) - 9,672
Rosaire L'Italien (NDP) - 6,999
Francoise Aubin (GRN) - 733

Miramichi-Grand Lake
Tilly O'Neill-Gordon (CON) - 17,202
Patrick Colford (NDP) - 12,476
Pat Finnigan (LIB) - 5,558
Matthew Ian Clark (GRN) - 1,082

Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
Luc LeBlanc (NDP) - 23,222
Robert Goguen (CON) - 20,986
Ginette Petitpas Taylor (LIB) - 8,422
Luc Melanson (GRN) - 3,001

New Brunswick Southwest
John Williamson (CON) - 17,304
Andrew Graham (NDP) - 15,973
Karen Ludwig (LIB) - 4,123
Gayla MacIntosh (GRN) - 1,203

Saint John-Rothesay
Rodney Weston (CON) - 29,932
Wayne Long (LIB) - 6,433
AJ Griffin (NDP) - 4,233
Sharon Murphy (GRN) - 832

Tobique-Mactaquac
Frank McKenna (LIB) - 29,491
Richard Bragdon (CON) - 4,723
Robert Kitchen (NDP) - 2,221
Terry Wishart (GRN) - 932

Current Seat Totals
Liberal: 11 seats
NDP: 10 seats
Conservative: 9 seats
Green: 1 seat
Bloc Quebecois: 0 seats

[JoeyOCanada]

Election Night 2015 Coverage
Eastern Quebec and Cote-Nord/Saguenay Results

Eastern Quebec
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia
Joel Charest (NDP) - 14,483
Kedina Fleury-Samson (BQ) - 7,912
Remi Masse (LIB) - 3,963
Andre Savoie (CON) - 1,983
Sherri Springle (GRN) - 293

Bellechasse-Les Etchemins-Levis
Steven Blaney (CON) - 33,972
Jean-Luc Daigle (NDP) - 9,122
Antoine Dube (BQ) - 9,103
Jacques Turgeon (LIB) - 5,493
Andre Belisle (GRN) - 2,122

Gaspesie-Les Iles-de-la-Madeleine
Philip Toone (NDP) - 17,345
Diane Lebouthillier (LIB) - 11,886
Nicolas Roussy (BQ) - 8,734
Jean-Pierre Pigeon (CON) - 1,988
Jim Morrison (GRN) - 368

Montmagny—L'Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup
Francois Lapointe (NDP) - 14,274
Louis Gagnon (BQ) - 11,918
Marie-Josee Normand (LIB) - 7,939
Bernard Genereux (CON) - 4,212
Chantal Breton (GRN) - 1,002

Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques
Guy Caron (NDP) - 19,374
Pierre Cadieux (LIB) - 12,594
Johanne Carignan (BQ) - 8,673
Francis Fortin (CON) - 3,363
Louise Boutin (GRN) - 1,343

Cote-Nord and Saguenay
Beauport—Côte-de-Beaupré—Île d’Orléans—​Charlevoix
Jean-Roger Vigneau (LIB) - 17,308
Jonathan Tremblay (NDP) - 13,731
Sylvie Boucher (CON) - 9,650
Sebastien Dufour (BQ) - 9,306
Patrick Kerr (GRN) - 204

Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
Dany Morin (NDP) - 13,328
Denis Lemieux (LIB) - 13,298
Elise Gauthier (BQ) - 8,455
Caroline Ste-Marie (CON) - 6,804
Dany St-Gelais (GRN) - 1,302

Jonquiere
Jean-Francois Caron (BQ) - 14,301
Karine Trudel (NDP) - 13,700
Marc Petterson (LIB) - 11,202
Ursula Larouche (CON) - 6,802
Carmen Budilean (GRN) - 902

Lac-Saint-Jean
Gisele Dallaire (NDP) - 18,498
Denis Lebel (CON) - 15,228
Sabin Simard (LIB) - 10,198
Sabin Gaudreault (BQ) - 10,193
Laurence Requille (GRN) - 168

Manicouagan
Marilene Gill (BQ) - 14,404
Jonahan Genest-Jourdain (NDP) - 14,102
Mario Tremblay (LIB) - 7,202
Nathan Grills (GRN) - 2,108
Yvon Boudreau (CON) - 2,101

Current Seat Totals
NDP: 16 seats
Liberal: 12 seats
Conservative: 10 seats
Bloc Quebecois: 2 seats
Green: 1 seat