Senatorial map = Presidential map

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

As you all certainly know, 2016 was the first and only election where the winning party in every Senate election mirrored the winning party for their state in the presidential election.
If a time traveler tells you that will have happened in 2020 again, how would this knowledge affect your predictions?

[Kamala]

Looking at how Trump is doing so far, D+5: CO, ME, NC, IA, GA.
Unlikely but plausible: MT.

[Xing]

I'd conclude that Collins is likely to retire, making Maine a likely Democratic pick-up. I'd consider Gardner pretty much DOA (I think he's the underdog right now, but I'm guessing he'll at least overperform Trump), and probably move NC to Lean R instead of Toss-Up (ugh) and consider Daines pretty much safe.

[TheSaint250]

I would think Collins retired and Gardner lost. Tillis might have lost as well

[windjammer]

D+2 for now: CO and either ME/NC

Tillis is a dumbass.

[UncleSam]

CO and ME to Dems, due to Collins retirement and lol Cory Gardner

Tells me virtually nothing about the presidential race other than 'very close'. Florida, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin would probably be the deciding states at that point.

If Collins does not retire however it would tell me Trump is likely to win fairly comfortably - it is more conceivable he could make up the ~3 points he lost Maine by in 2016 then that Collins would lose.

Honestly the map already looks almost identical to Presidential results (Michigan and Colorado being the only exceptions I believe), so the odds of a repeat are not that low at all.

[Coraxion]

The OP isn't asking for your predictions, he's asking for your predictions if every state votes straight-ticket. So Democrats won't pickup MT in this scenario.

CO, NC, ME, IA, GA, TX, and AK. D+7.

[Gass3268]

Anywhere between D+2 to D+6

Ranking of possibility:

1. CO (Coloradoans do not like Gardner's banning of condoms)
2. ME (Only if Collins retires)
3. NC (Tills has awful approval numbers)
4. IA (I think IA jumps back to being competitive)
5. GA (Is this the year it goes Dem?)
6. AK, MT or TX (All three are unlikely)

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Montana is certainly the trickiest one.
If I know that both races will be won by the same party I could imagine that Bullock will be the Democratic candidate for VP and that that little girl from 2014 will finally have become senator.

[windjammer]

Anywhere between D+2 to D+6

Ranking of possibility:

1. CO (Coloradoans do not like Gardner's banning of condoms)
2. ME (Only if Collins retires)
3. NC (Tills has awful approval numbers)
4. IA (I think IA jumps back to being competitive)
5. GA (Is this the year it goes Dem?)
6. AK, MT or TX (All three are unlikely)

Regarding IA, remember they l-o-v-e their incumbent.

[Gass3268]

Anywhere between D+2 to D+6

Ranking of possibility:

1. CO (Coloradoans do not like Gardner's banning of condoms)
2. ME (Only if Collins retires)
3. NC (Tills has awful approval numbers)
4. IA (I think IA jumps back to being competitive)
5. GA (Is this the year it goes Dem?)
6. AK, MT or TX (All three are unlikely)

Regarding IA, remember they l-o-v-e their incumbent.

That's why it's 4th

Pretty much interchangeable after #3, which if forced to make a firm prediction I would say D+3.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Montana is certainly the trickiest one.
If I know that both races will be won by the same party I could imagine that Bullock will be the Democratic candidate for VP and that that little girl from 2014 will finally have become senator.

Bullock for VP wouldn't swing MT.  Maybe as Presidential candidate.