2018 State Legislature Predictions

[PoliticalShelter]

How do you think the 2018 State Legislature elections will go down?

Personally I think the democrats will gain the; Washington Senate, Colorado senate, Maine senate and the Minnesota state legislature.

Is there any others that the democrats might be able to gain?

[_]

How do you think the 2018 State Legislature elections will go down?

Personally I think the democrats will gain the; Oregon Senate, Colorado senate, Maine senate and the Minnesota state legislature.

Is there any others that the democrats might be able to gain?

A regain of a supermajority in the IL House is possible, but I consider it unlikely based on Michael Madigan still being speaker.  Watch the state senate as well.

[TheSaint250]

Did you mean Washington senate?

[PragmaticPopulist]

Republicans are very overextended in state legislatures, so there could be huge gains among Democrats if it's a wave year in 2018. The most plausible chamber pickups for Dems are the Colorado Senate, Maine Senate, Minnesota House, both New Hampshire chambers, and the Washington Senate. The second tier targets for Democrats are both Arizona chambers, Florida House, and the New York Senate (if the IDC is primaried), and the Virginia House.

The "wild cards" are both chambers of the North Carolina and Wisconsin and the Texas House. The legislative districts were ruled unconstitutional, so we don't know how the new maps will affect the outcomes.

[PoliticalShelter]

Did you mean Washington senate?

Fixed!

[Meatball Ron]

Republicans are very overextended in state legislatures, so there could be huge gains among Democrats if it's a wave year in 2018. The most plausible chamber pickups for Dems are the Colorado Senate, Maine Senate, Minnesota House, both New Hampshire chambers, and the Washington Senate. The second tier targets for Democrats are both Arizona chambers, Florida House, and the New York Senate (if the IDC is primaried), and the Virginia House.

The "wild cards" are both chambers of the North Carolina and Wisconsin and the Texas House. The legislative districts were ruled unconstitutional, so we don't know how the new maps will affect the outcomes.

I think the NH Senate might be tough given the gerrymandered districts in the state, but it's not impossible. The massive state house, on the other hand, is prone to wild swings and could easily flip if Trump's current popularity levels last into late 2018.

[FairBol]

How do you think the 2018 State Legislature elections will go down?

I am very much hoping that the CT GOP can pick up some seats in the state Senate (which is currently even in the number of seats....eighteen GOP, eighteen Dems).  Picking up the majority in at least one chamber would be a historic victory in these parts.