Describe the following person...
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« on: August 15, 2017, 06:34:09 AM »

Describe someone who voted in 1992 for the very first time, has always lived in a state that gave its electoral votes to the same party in each election ever since (e.g. Maryland or Alabama), and has always voted for the nationwide EV winner.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2017, 07:42:08 AM »

Describe someone who voted in 1992 for the very first time, has always lived in a state that gave its electoral votes to the same party in each election ever since (e.g. Maryland or Alabama), and has always voted for the nationwide EV winner.

What??
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jimrtex
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« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2017, 09:51:57 AM »

Describe someone who voted in 1992 for the very first time, has always lived in a state that gave its electoral votes to the same party in each election ever since (e.g. Maryland or Alabama), and has always voted for the nationwide EV winner.
There are 14 states that have voted for the Democrat in the past 7 elections, and 13 states that have voted for the Republican in the past seven elections (assumes that we are not excluding states with faithless electors).

So it could be someone who lived in the Fargo-Moorhead area the entire time, and moved back and forth across the Red River, so that he was in Moorhead in 92, 96, 08, 12, and Fargo in 00, 04, and 16. His friends have taken to calling him Bellwether Bob, and he has become moderately wealthy as partisans try to lure him to their side of the river (e.g. the house in Moorhead that he sold for $250,000 in 2015, when he bought a similar house in Fargo for $100,000, pocketing $150,000 on the exchange).

Or it could be someone born in 1973 who lived in MA for college, graduating in 1995; after graduation he moved to HI (Maui) for a short while but long enough to vote for Clinton in 1996; he then moved to AK (Fairbanks, Ketchikan, and Anchorage) from 1997-2004 where he began to vote Republican; the dark winters finally got to him and he moved to TX (Austin) 2005-2007; but he couldn't take the heat so in 2008 moved to WA (Seattle); but the rain depressed him as much as the winters in Alaska and he moved to CA (San Diego) 2009-2016 where in his mid-30s he met and married a Mormon women; they (he and his wife, and their 4 children) moved to UT (Provo) in the summer of 2016.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: August 15, 2017, 11:16:15 AM »

Describe someone who voted in 1992 for the very first time, has always lived in a state that gave its electoral votes to the same party in each election ever since (e.g. Maryland or Alabama), and has always voted for the nationwide EV winner.
There are 14 states that have voted for the Democrat in the past 7 elections, and 13 states that have voted for the Republican in the past seven elections (assumes that we are not excluding states with faithless electors).

I wanted to avoid writing "voted" thee times in a row. But if you exclude Maine from the all-Democrat states, you should also exclude Nebraska from the all-Republican states.

Describe someone who voted in 1992 for the very first time, has always lived in a state that gave its electoral votes to the same party in each election ever since (e.g. Maryland or Alabama), and has always voted for the nationwide EV winner.

What??
What "What??"?
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ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #4 on: August 15, 2017, 11:46:44 AM »

I interpreted this as, for example, an Alabama Clinton/Clinton/Bush/Bush/Obama/Obama/Trump voter, not that they have to constantly move.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: August 15, 2017, 12:04:11 PM »

I interpreted this as, for example, an Alabama Clinton/Clinton/Bush/Bush/Obama/Obama/Trump voter, not that they have to constantly move.

My question was actually intended like you thought; I didn't have transplants in contemplation, as it more interesting to analyze a swing voter in a politically static state.
But I didn't want to savage jimrtex hard work. Smiley
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ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #6 on: August 15, 2017, 12:43:56 PM »

I interpreted this as, for example, an Alabama Clinton/Clinton/Bush/Bush/Obama/Obama/Trump voter, not that they have to constantly move.

My question was actually intended like you thought; I didn't have transplants in contemplation, as it more interesting to analyze a swing voter in a politically static state.
But I didn't want to savage jimrtex hard work. Smiley

Using a Deep South state, my answer would be a fairly well off black Evangelical Christian who attends a predominately white church in the suburbs of Birmingham.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #7 on: August 15, 2017, 04:30:52 PM »

I interpreted this as, for example, an Alabama Clinton/Clinton/Bush/Bush/Obama/Obama/Trump voter, not that they have to constantly move.

My question was actually intended like you thought; I didn't have transplants in contemplation, as it more interesting to analyze a swing voter in a politically static state.
But I didn't want to savage jimrtex hard work. Smiley

I thought it was the state, not the voter, who voted for the national EV winner.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: August 15, 2017, 05:12:43 PM »

I interpreted this as, for example, an Alabama Clinton/Clinton/Bush/Bush/Obama/Obama/Trump voter, not that they have to constantly move.

My question was actually intended like you thought; I didn't have transplants in contemplation, as it more interesting to analyze a swing voter in a politically static state.
But I didn't want to savage jimrtex hard work. Smiley

I thought it was the state, not the voter, who voted for the national EV winner.

No, no. Sorry if I didn't express myself accurately. I meant it the other way round: swing voter and static state.
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: August 15, 2017, 05:20:43 PM »

Using a Deep South state, my answer would be a fairly well off black Evangelical Christian who attends a predominately white church in the suburbs of Birmingham.

That would fit - except for 2016. I don't think a black Evangelical Christian would vote for Trump.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2017, 03:48:13 PM »

White, lower middle-class, politically moderate, living in a suburb of Peoria, IL.
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