KY-PPP (D): McConnell trails Generic D by 7 points, Paul leads by 12
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  KY-PPP (D): McConnell trails Generic D by 7 points, Paul leads by 12
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Author Topic: KY-PPP (D): McConnell trails Generic D by 7 points, Paul leads by 12  (Read 4418 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 21, 2017, 01:20:27 PM »
« edited: August 21, 2017, 01:24:25 PM by heatcharger »

http://ourlivesontheline.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/KentuckyResults.pdf

Democratic opponent 44%
McConnell 37%

Paul 50%
Democratic opponent 38%

Trump approval: 60/36
McConnell approval: 18/74
Paul approval: 39/47

Discuss.
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windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2017, 01:22:14 PM »

He will win reelection (or someone who defeats in the primaries will), but democrats definitely should try to compete here.
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Kamala
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« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2017, 01:22:19 PM »

Beshear the son might be the Democrats' best bet, but I have a gut feeling he's angling for governor in 2019 instead.
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Matty
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« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2017, 01:22:43 PM »

In literally every single poll, GOP senators trail far behind trump in approval ratings.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2017, 01:23:00 PM »

Generic D doesn't exist, and McConnell has looked vulnerable at least early on in all of his elections except '02, but always pulls through in the end. Next.
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Beet
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« Reply #5 on: August 21, 2017, 01:24:54 PM »

Meet the D Family. Generic, Genevieve, and their children Gerald and Gemma. They have the ability to run in any election in the whole country, and get magical powers.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2017, 01:26:22 PM »

Meet the D Family. Generic, Genevieve, and their children Gerald and Gemma. They have the ability to run in any election in the whole country, and get magical powers.

Are they from Georgia?
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2017, 01:28:30 PM »

Wow great honer! 40% of Kentucky Democrats approve of Trump. Winning
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Kamala
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« Reply #8 on: August 21, 2017, 01:30:38 PM »

Wow great honer! 40% of Kentucky Democrats approve of Trump. Winning

Aren't like a majority of Kentuckians registered Democrats? Ancestral democrats but practically Republicans?
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #9 on: August 21, 2017, 01:46:05 PM »

Meet the D Family. Generic, Genevieve, and their children Gerald and Gemma. They have the ability to run in any election in the whole country, and get magical powers.
Lol his made me laugh
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2017, 01:53:44 PM »

McConnell's 74% disapproval rating is the highest PPP has ever found for any public official.  Source
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« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2017, 01:56:26 PM »

>Rand
>Negative approval
Junk
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Virginiá
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« Reply #12 on: August 21, 2017, 01:58:44 PM »

McConnell has looked vulnerable at least early on in all of his elections except '02, but always pulls through in the end. Next.

I'm inclined to agree with this - the idea that MM will pull it out in the end. Mitch may be looking beatable now, but he's been a Senator for a long, long time and has an enormous amount of resources at his disposal. McConnell going down is really something I'd have to see to believe. Kentucky just isn't favorable ground by any measure for Democrats.
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: August 21, 2017, 02:00:08 PM »

Democrats really should look into recruiting this "Generic Democratic Opponent" guy. He sounds like quite the juggernaut.
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Skye
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« Reply #14 on: August 21, 2017, 02:00:46 PM »

Eh, McConnell's approvals have always been low, but not this low.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
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« Reply #15 on: August 21, 2017, 02:17:49 PM »

Well deserved numbers for Mitch, of course, but Kentucky will continue to reelect the pork whore.
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Doimper
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« Reply #16 on: August 21, 2017, 02:27:49 PM »

Likely R.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #17 on: August 21, 2017, 02:29:39 PM »

My gut says Mcconnell retires in 2020 especially if 2018 is a disaster for Republican and Trump looks like he's going to loose heading into 2020.
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Doimper
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« Reply #18 on: August 21, 2017, 02:31:17 PM »

Honestly, MMcC should be much more worried about a primary challenger. No way someone with a 74% disapproval rating isn't at risk of getting primaried.
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PragmaticPopulist
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« Reply #19 on: August 21, 2017, 03:17:46 PM »

Ds should definitely compete here, whether or not McConnell retires. Like WV, the KY electorate is more "populist" than the traditional libertarian-leaning conservative types that dominate congress. Andy Beshear would be a good candidate if he passes on running for governor.
Wow great honer! 40% of Kentucky Democrats approve of Trump. Winning

Aren't like a majority of Kentuckians registered Democrats? Ancestral democrats but practically Republicans?
Yeah. Just like WV, there are a lot of DINOs who haven't voted for a Democrat for president since Bill Clinton, and consistently vote for Republicans at least at the presidential level.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #20 on: August 21, 2017, 04:51:29 PM »

The Dems have had chances before but they blew it. I hope McConnell is out of the Senate, but Rand Paul is one of the few GOP senators I have any degree of approval of.

Hopefully the primary challenger isn't a Matt Bevin-type.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: August 21, 2017, 06:01:11 PM »
« Edited: August 21, 2017, 06:02:43 PM by Maxwell »

didn't McConnell start out fairly far behind in 2014 too? McConnell has that seat as long as he wants it because he runs bloody as hell campaigns.

I mean he beat Grimes by 15 even with just horrible approval ratings. Now that might be a reflection on Grimes, but still.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #22 on: August 21, 2017, 08:01:04 PM »

Here's to an Indiana 2012 redux, but doubt it.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #23 on: August 21, 2017, 09:50:55 PM »

didn't McConnell start out fairly far behind in 2014 too? McConnell has that seat as long as he wants it because he runs bloody as hell campaigns.

I mean he beat Grimes by 15 even with just horrible approval ratings. Now that might be a reflection on Grimes, but still.

Grimes ran a terrible campaign in 2014 and the race started as a dead-heat.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #24 on: August 21, 2017, 09:59:08 PM »

didn't McConnell start out fairly far behind in 2014 too? McConnell has that seat as long as he wants it because he runs bloody as hell campaigns.

I mean he beat Grimes by 15 even with just horrible approval ratings. Now that might be a reflection on Grimes, but still.

Grimes ran a terrible campaign in 2014 and the race started as a dead-heat.

If you named a Democrat, McConnell would probably be ahead at the moment (perhaps by 1 or 2, but ahead nevertheless)
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