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CrabCake
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« on: August 22, 2017, 05:09:29 AM » |
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« edited: August 22, 2017, 05:14:34 AM by Çråbçæk »
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This isn't happening in vacuum, people. It's quite clear for some time that the old Cold War alignment of India and Pakistan have been shifting. Many, many events over the past eight years - the US military's (plus close US allies like Japan and Australia's militaries) increased affiliation with India (naval exercises and the like), the acceptance of India into the us nuclear pact, the Chinese economic courting of Pakistan; makes it clear if the world is splintering into a blocs that India has chosen the US, and Pakistan China. It's a marriage of convinience on all parties sake - the US wants to use India as an easy way to control the valuable checkpoints in the Indian Ocean and South China Sea, striking at China's soft underbelly, China wants an increased access to Indian Ocean ports in Baluchistan without needing to rely on going through the Straits of Malacca, Pakistan wants a capital-heavy patron with fewer scruples about human rights and isn't constantly at loggerheads with it in Afghanistan (and that isn't droning their northern provinces) and India wants the patronage of an extremely powerful superpower that they don't currently have a border crisis with (as India does with China). This has been the case for a while, to the extent that all other states in the region (the Maldives, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Myanmar and Bangladesh) are drawn into the cat and mouse game between china and the us.
The one thing you can say about Trump (same with the whole NATO two percent thing) is he definitely can absorb an increasingly popular foreign policy idea and adopt it enthusiastically, especially if it aligns with the idea that the US is being taken for a ride by freeloaders. It's not a hugely subtle approach, but the most charitable approach to Trump's diplomacy is that it's a sort of Breaking The Gordian Knot approach.
But really, the trump presidency is more proof that foreign policy largely marches on irrespective of the presidency, especially if the incumbent is weak and ignorant. Which is rather alarming, all things considered.
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