Is this electoral outcome possible?

[Burke Bro]

Every time I imagine Donald Trump's impending defeat, this is the first map that comes to mind.

I have one question.

Is it possible for Trump to win OH & IA while losing TX, AZ, GA, FL, & NC. If so, what factors make it a realistic outcome? Is Trump unique in that case?

[TML]

If we were to shift the popular vote results from 2016 uniformly, OH would flip to D before TX.

Additionally, although Northern Maine was won by 10% in 2016, its Cook PVI rating in 2017 is less Republican than that of Eastern Nebraska (R+2 vs. R+4). Thus, I think Northern Maine would probably flip before Eastern Nebraska.

[Xing]

Flip Texas, and the map is much more plausible, IMO.

[AN63093]

Flip Texas, and the map is much more plausible, IMO.

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Winning Texas without IA or OH also flipping would be very unlikely. As others mentioned, this would likely only be possible if a Texan was the Democratic nominee, ex. Castro. I guess someone like Harris, who would probably be not particularly strong iin the Midwest but stronger among minority groups (and the Sun Belt area as a whole) could potentially pull it off too, but once again I think any Democrat winning Texas is quite improbable. I think winning Georgia is a bit of a stretch too. But Arizona and NC flipping are entirely possible with the right candidate (in my Harris vs. Trump prediction, I have Harris winning both).

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

A moderate, free-trader Democrat could perform well in the sunbelt while doing about as well as Hillary in the midwest. So I guess Castro?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Flip Texas and it's plausible. no way a Democrat wins Texas while losing Ohio and Iowa.

[libertpaulian]

Flip TX, OH, IA, and ME-02, and it's perfect.

[Greedo punched first]

OH, IA, and ME-02 would flip before TX.

A more likely landslide scenario.

I think this is more likely for a GOP loss in 2020.