Future Realignment Possibilities?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Realigning eras are mostly a myth that depends on your starting point:

-From 1968 to the present, Republicans have won eight of the last 13 elections
-Since Reagan took office, Republicans have won six of ten elections
-Since Clinton took office, however, Democrats have won four of seven- and the popular vote in six of seven.

Wait, was it actually a Republican alignment from 1968-1992 and a Democratic one from 1992-2016 (or the present)?  Or a Democratic alignment until 1980 followed by a Republican one?  Over 13 elections, 8 have gone one way and 5 the other.  Honestly, that seems more like statistical noise than a realignment.  Since both parties have access to countless polls and data and tend to slowly adapt, we haven't had a real realignment since 1932 (or arguably even 1860) and probably never will again.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

This map is mainly based off of information from the following:

https://public.tableau.com/profile/mycollegeoptions#!/vizhome/PresidentialPolling-Fall2016/PresidentialPolling2016

https://www.surveymonkey.com/elections/map/2016/us?poll=sm-exit-millennials-cps

The first site features a 50-state poll of over 80,000 14-18-year-olds.  The second site features how voters aged 18-34 voted in 2016.

That second map is one Survey Monkey poll.  Trump won the 18-29 vote in 21 states, not 4!

[100% pro-life no matter what]

This map is mainly based off of information from the following:

https://public.tableau.com/profile/mycollegeoptions#!/vizhome/PresidentialPolling-Fall2016/PresidentialPolling2016

https://www.surveymonkey.com/elections/map/2016/us?poll=sm-exit-millennials-cps

The first site features a 50-state poll of over 80,000 14-18-year-olds.  The second site features how voters aged 18-34 voted in 2016.

That second map is one Survey Monkey poll.  Trump won the 18-29 vote in 21 states, not 4!

Ah ok. Thanks. Where did you get that info?

Exit polls (now, we don't have all of the Safe R/D states, but we can be reasonably confident in those, especially if similar less R/D states voted as expected.

https://i1.wp.com/amptoons.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/18-29-vote-exit-polls-2016.png

Here is just 18-24: https://i2.wp.com/amptoons.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/18-24-vote-exit-polls-2016.png (Note Minnesota!)