Which state would flip to a Democrat first: South Carolina or Missouri

[I’m not Stu]

In an unlikely circumstance where at least one of these two states flips, Which one flips first?

[I’m not Stu]

Trump won Missouri by a wider margin than South Carolina. MO is R+9. SC is R+8. The population in St. Louis has declined over the years. Missouri has been rapidly trending Republican. South Carolina has been more steady in the past few races.

[I’m not Stu]

5 of the 10 fastest growing counties in South Carolina are trending Democratic. SC only slightly trended Republican. MO heavily trended Republican. Clinton was a weak candidate. The PVI of SC-07 is fairly close to the statewide PVI. Archie Parnell lost a close race that wasn't even expected to be competitive. In Missouri, Trump did far better than the statewide PVI. I don't think Missouri is elastic enough anymore to flip before South Carolina. Which state did Clinton do better with white voters? Which state has a larger percentage of minority voters?

[I’m not Stu]

5 of the 10 fastest growing counties in South Carolina are trending Democratic. SC only slightly trended Republican. MO heavily trended Republican. Clinton was a weak candidate. The PVI of SC-07 is fairly close to the statewide PVI. Archie Parnell lost a close race that wasn't even expected to be competitive. In Missouri, Trump did far better than the statewide PVI. I don't think Missouri is elastic enough anymore to flip before South Carolina. Which state did Clinton do better with white voters? Which state has a larger percentage of minority voters?

South Carolina has a higher minority percentage but also a more Republican white vote.

Did Clinton get a larger share of the white vote in Missouri than South Carolina in 2016?

[I’m not Stu]

Which state has a faster growing Hispanic population?