Which state would flip to a Democrat first: South Carolina or Missouri

[Technocracy Timmy]

5 of the 10 fastest growing counties in South Carolina are trending Democratic. SC only slightly trended Republican. MO heavily trended Republican. Clinton was a weak candidate. The PVI of SC-07 is fairly close to the statewide PVI. Archie Parnell lost a close race that wasn't even expected to be competitive. In Missouri, Trump did far better than the statewide PVI. I don't think Missouri is elastic enough anymore to flip before South Carolina. Which state did Clinton do better with white voters? Which state has a larger percentage of minority voters?

South Carolina has a higher minority percentage but also a more Republican white vote.

Did Clinton get a larger share of the white vote in Missouri than South Carolina in 2016?

Yes. Clinton got 24% of the white vote in SC while getting 28% of the white vote in Missouri (CNN exit polls).

[Technocracy Timmy]

Which state has a faster growing Hispanic population?

Both states had Latinos as 4% of the electorate in 2016. I don't know how they voted (since there wasn't data on it) but they probably won't be a factor in either state in 4-8 years. Hispanics are generally concentrated in the southwest, Florida, and in urban centers in the northeast.

White voters and black turnout will be much bigger factors in flipping either state.