538 - How much members of Congress vote with Trump
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  538 - How much members of Congress vote with Trump
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Author Topic: 538 - How much members of Congress vote with Trump  (Read 854 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« on: August 28, 2017, 01:18:25 AM »

Pretty Interesting: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/?ex_cid=irpromo

Highlights - Senate:

Senators who vote with Trump most often:

1. Johnson, Rubio, Tillis, Cornyn, Cochran, Wicker, Hatch, Blunt, Cassidy, Roberts, Boozman, Shelby, Rounds, Thune, Hoeven, Inhofe, Lankford, Barrasso, Enzi - 95.8%

2. Burr, Perdue, Moran, McConnell, Sullivan - 95.7%

3. Gardner, Isakson, Cruz, Ernst, Grassley, Scott, Lee, Kennedy, Daines, Fischer, Cotton, Crapo, Risch - 93.8%

Senators who vote with Trump least often:

1. Gillibrand - 6.3%
2. Warren - 8.3%
3. Merkley - 10.4%
4. Booker, Sanders - 12.5%
5. Markey - 12.8%

The most trumpish democrats are Manchin at 54.2%, Heitkamp at 50.0%, and Donnelly at 46.8%. Susan Collins is at 79.2%, but all other R senators, including our health care savior, John McCain, are above 80%.

Highlights - House:

House Members who vote with Trump most often:

1. Ryan, Scalise, Graves - 100.0%

2. Valadao, Paulsen, Issa, Knight, Walters, Denham, Culberson, Frelinghuysen, Bacon, Young, Woodall, Bishop, Smucker, Upton, McCaul, Ross, Tiberi, Brooks, Calvert, Carter, Rodgers, Cook, Barr, Tenney, Allen, Walberg, Kinzinger, Huizenga, Wilson, Rice, Murphy, Walden, Bergman, Walorski, Barletta, Harper, McHenry, Moolenaar, Gowdy, Burgess, Hensarling, Thompson, Scott, Byrne, Aderholt, Thornberry, Womack, Conaway, Collins, Roby, Smith, Lucas, Bucshon, Rokita, Jenkins, Brady, Comer, Flesichmann, Dunn, Hartzler, Shimkus, Higgins, Johnson, Shuster, Luetkemeyer, McKinley, Guthrie - 97.6%

3. Trott, Hill, Budd, Amodei, Bost, Flores, LaMalfa, Kelly, Rooney, Rogers, Graves, Cramer, Crawford, Palazzo - 97.5%

House Members who vote with Trump least often:

1. Gomez - 0.0% (Sworn in in July)
2. Coleman - 2.4%
3. Grijalva, Ellison, Waters, Lee, Espillat - 4.9%
4. Clarke, Lewis, Velazquez - 5.0%
5. Hastings, Guitierrez - 5.3%

The most Trumpish democrat is Cuellar at 65.9%, who is actually ahead of Republican Walter Jones (61.1%). After that is Petersen at 59.0% and Sinema at 46.2%.

Aside from Jones, all Republicans are at or above 70%. Ros-Lethinen is at 70% exactly, followed by Amash at 73.2%, Smith at 75.0%, Massie at 78.0%, and Fitzpatrick at 78.0%. All other republicans are above 80%.




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Coraxion
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2017, 05:32:40 AM »

I like the fact that Gillibrand, Booker, and Harris have lower Trump scores than Franken, Brown, and Klobuchar because it destroys the alt-left's narrative.
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PragmaticPopulist
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2017, 08:24:34 AM »

House Members who vote with Trump most often:

1. Ryan, Scalise, Graves - 100.0%

2. Valadao, Paulsen, Issa, Knight, Walters, Denham, Culberson, Frelinghuysen, Bacon, Young, Woodall, Bishop, Smucker, Upton, McCaul, Ross, Tiberi, Brooks, Calvert, Carter, Rodgers, Cook, Barr, Tenney, Allen, Walberg, Kinzinger, Huizenga, Wilson, Rice, Murphy, Walden, Bergman, Walorski, Barletta, Harper, McHenry, Moolenaar, Gowdy, Burgess, Hensarling, Thompson, Scott, Byrne, Aderholt, Thornberry, Womack, Conaway, Collins, Roby, Smith, Lucas, Bucshon, Rokita, Jenkins, Brady, Comer, Flesichmann, Dunn, Hartzler, Shimkus, Higgins, Johnson, Shuster, Luetkemeyer, McKinley, Guthrie - 97.6%

The most surprising one here are Valadao, Paulsen, Issa, and Knight. Clinton won their districts by 7 points or more, and yet they are voting with Trump almost all the time. Valadao especially seems to be trying to see how much he can vote with Trump without being voted out. Trump lost his district by 15.5%.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2017, 08:47:12 AM »

Young voting against Trump as much as Portman or Graham do makes me happy. These aren't always the best guages of where someone stands politically but they are interesting nonetheless.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2017, 09:06:53 AM »

I'm sure it's just a big coincidence that the list of Senators who vote with Trump least often is dominated by people who are running for president in 2020.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2017, 02:21:45 PM »

Cuellar votes with Trump 65.9% of the time but is in a D+9 district. These colors don't run.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2017, 02:33:05 PM »

Rohrabacher votes 5% less with Trump than Walters does next door. That's interesting...

Rohrabacher knows he's in a competitive seat. Walters is probably Safe.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2017, 02:57:02 PM »

Rohrabacher votes 5% less with Trump than Walters does next door. That's interesting...

Rohrabacher knows he's in a competitive seat. Walters is probably Safe.

That can't be it. Rohrabacher's district is R+4 while Walter's is R+3.

If one falls then the other one probably does as well.

Sabato has Rohrabacher at Toss-Up and Walters at Likely R.
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MarkD
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« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2017, 03:22:41 PM »

House Members who vote with Trump most often:

1. Ryan, Scalise, Graves - 100.0%

2. Valadao, Paulsen, Issa, Knight, Walters, Denham, Culberson, Frelinghuysen, Bacon, Young, Woodall, Bishop, Smucker, Upton, McCaul, Ross, Tiberi, Brooks, Calvert, Carter, Rodgers, Cook, Barr, Tenney, Allen, Walberg, Kinzinger, Huizenga, Wilson, Rice, Murphy, Walden, Bergman, Walorski, Barletta, Harper, McHenry, Moolenaar, Gowdy, Burgess, Hensarling, Thompson, Scott, Byrne, Aderholt, Thornberry, Womack, Conaway, Collins, Roby, Smith, Lucas, Bucshon, Rokita, Jenkins, Brady, Comer, Flesichmann, Dunn, Hartzler, Shimkus, Higgins, Johnson, Shuster, Luetkemeyer, McKinley, Guthrie - 97.6%

The most surprising one here are Valadao, Paulsen, Issa, and Knight. Clinton won their districts by 7 points or more, and yet they are voting with Trump almost all the time. Valadao especially seems to be trying to see how much he can vote with Trump without being voted out. Trump lost his district by 15.5%.

My reaction to that list - which names surprise me - is very different than yours. I'm not surprised when a Republican who gets elected from a district that voted Democrat for President has a conservative voting record, nor when a Democrat who gets elected from a district that voted Republican for President has a liberal voting record. The names on that list who surprise me, for voting as pro-Trump as they have, are Walden, Freylinghuysen, and Upton. Walden's been in the House for over 18 years, Freylinghuysen for over 22 years, and Upton for over 30 years. All three of them have clearly had a long record of voting as moderate Republicans. These guys get an average score from the American Conservative Union that's under 80%; Upton has averaged about 72%, and Freylinghuysen about 64%.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2017, 09:07:08 PM »

This actually doesn't show all that much since Congress hasn't voted on all that much compared to past years.   It's been a remarkable unproductive year so far legislatively.

I don't care how a Senator votes on naming a post office.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2017, 09:10:23 PM »

This actually doesn't show all that much since Congress hasn't voted on all that much compared to past years.   It's been a remarkable unproductive year so far legislatively.

I don't care how a Senator votes on naming a post office.

The house has actually voted on a ton of stuff, it's just that the senate has proved to be a death chamber. The senate scores are mostly based on cabinet appointments.
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Doimper
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« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2017, 09:12:02 PM »

Sinema is at 46%? Hooray for our soon-to-be new Senator, I guess.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: August 28, 2017, 09:27:53 PM »
« Edited: August 28, 2017, 11:42:54 PM by Dwarven Dragon »

Sinema is at 46%? Hooray for our soon-to-be new Senator, I guess.

Considering she's an athiest, having a moderate record is one of the best things she can do to have a successful senate run - it refutes the societal perception of atheists - ultra-liberal, immoral, out of touch individuals. Also this:


I'd inagine "I voted against Nancy Pelosi for Speaker--twice" would make for a great line in an introductory ad.


Edit: Actually voted against Pelosi three times - Jan. 2015, Oct. 2015, Jan. 2017
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