Which state will swing more Democrat under a Warren/Bullock ticket?
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  Which state will swing more Democrat under a Warren/Bullock ticket?
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Question: Which state will swing more Democrat under a Warren/Bullock ticket?
#1
West Virginia
#2
Oklahoma
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Author Topic: Which state will swing more Democrat under a Warren/Bullock ticket?  (Read 682 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: August 28, 2017, 03:28:57 PM »

Clinton/Kaine did not win one single county in those two state.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2017, 04:20:43 PM »

Probably WV. It's more elastic and populist relative to Oklahoma (and I know that it's her birth state).

Does Warren talk a big game about climate change? She's from a coastal state but I don't hear about it much from her. That's a big factor here (and to the degree she emphasizes it in 2020) when it comes to how WV swings.

Do you think her birth place status will work to her advantage in OK?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2017, 04:32:54 PM »

OK, but I doubt either state will swing much to the left if this is the Democratic ticket, if at all.

Why? Isn't Bullock extremely bipartisanly popular in the Heartland® of the country? Also, Warren's popular attitude could help her a bit, too.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2017, 04:55:23 PM »

Do you think her birth place status will work to her advantage in OK?
Maybe but wasn't she born and raised in Oklahoma City? That's the only decent concentration of Democrats in the state so perhaps it won't really be a big advantage for her when it comes to swinging the entire state to the left.

Ironically, when Warren was young the "big troika" of Oklahoma (Oklahoma, Cleveland, Canadian) was a deep red island surrounded by a deep blue sea. These are the county maps for 1968, 1976 and 1992:


The last time the "big troika" voted Democrat was the landslide election in 1964, and even then those three counties were less Democratic than the Southern half of Oklahoma.

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AN63093
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2017, 05:16:13 PM »

Accidentally clicked OK, but I meant to vote WV.

WV is more elastic.  Though there's a good chance both states swing D, even if just <1%, since they are both maxed out, or close to it.

Especially in the case of WV.  If the ticket is someone like Warren/Bullock... WV has trended R 7 times in a row, it's not going to go 8 with that ticket.
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