Randy Bryce (@ironstache) internal shows Paul Ryan in big trouble

[Ebsy]

[Suburbia]

Lean/Likely R, but WI-01 2018 is a race to watch in 2018.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I don't buy it. Ryan is invincible here.

[Greedo punched first]

If Ryan loses, who would the House GOP pick as Speaker? Ryan is a deeply entrenched incumbent unlikely to lose.

[Dr. Arch]

Ryan can lose, and Bryce appears to be the perfect candidate to take him on. In a wave, I wouldn't be surprised.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Ryan can lose, and Bryce appears to be the perfect candidate to take him on. In a wave, I wouldn't be surprised.

With a normal average Joe Goper, fo shizzle, but Paul Ryan, Safe R.

[Blackacre]

Likely R sounds about right, maybe a bit of a soft Likely though.

...You know what, maybe I should do a 1-10 ranking for this sh**t instead of a 5 point scale that is often mistaken for a 4 point scale. (to include Tilt or not to include Tilt?)

Ryan could lose. He probably won't but he could lose.

[McGovernForPrez]

Likely R sounds about right, maybe a bit of a soft Likely though.

...You know what, maybe I should do a 1-10 ranking for this sh**t instead of a 5 point scale that is often mistaken for a 4 point scale. (to include Tilt or not to include Tilt?)

Ryan could lose. He probably won't but he could lose.

Possibly do it as a -5 to 5 system, 0 being toss up. Positive for Republican negative for Dems. This race would probably be a 2 for me using that scale.

[Jeppe]

Geez, couldn't they have found a respectable nurse or a teacher to run in this district? Not somebody with the Twitter handle ironstache..

[Chief Justice Keef]

Geez, couldn't they have found a respectable nurse or a teacher to run in this district? Not somebody with the Twitter handle ironstache..

Booooooooo.

[SATW]

The quality of this board has gone down significantly if people are taking this poll seriously.

[TheSaint250]

Lol ok

[McGovernForPrez]

The quality of this board has gone down significantly if people are taking this poll seriously.

Why? I'm pretty sure its a fairly polarized district so I could easily see Bryce having a high floor as shown by this poll.

[_]

As much as I'd love to see Ryan gone, he ain't going anywhere.  Likely R, but only because I hope he loses.

[Gass3268]

Ryan can lose, and Bryce appears to be the perfect candidate to take him on. In a wave, I wouldn't be surprised.

There is too much Waukesha County in WI-01 for Ryan to lose. If the district looked more like it did before the 2000's incumbent protection map, he would have already lost by now.

[Yank2133]

Ryan can lose, and Bryce appears to be the perfect candidate to take him on. In a wave, I wouldn't be surprised.

There is too much Waukesha County in WI-01 for Ryan to lose. If the district looked more like it did before the 2000's incumbent protection map, he would have already lost by now.

This.

[DrScholl]

Paul Ryan = Michael Portillo. He is not safe, not in this environment.

[PragmaticPopulist]

Obama actually won the current version of the district in 2008, 50.8%-48.1%, so Ryan isn't 100% safe.

If Ryan loses, who would the House GOP pick as Speaker? Ryan is a deeply entrenched incumbent unlikely to lose.

If Ryan loses, it almost definitely means Rs are losing the house. I suppose Kevin McCarthy could become Minority Leader, though he already turned down the Speakership once before.

[Kamala]

Obama actually won the current version of the district in 2008, 50.8%-48.1%, so Ryan isn't 100% safe.

If Ryan loses, who would the House GOP pick as Speaker? Ryan is a deeply entrenched incumbent unlikely to lose.

If Ryan loses, it almost definitely means Rs are losing the house. I suppose Kevin McCarthy could become Minority Leader, though he already turned down the Speakership once before.

Ideally, someone reasonable like Elise Stefanik (too inexperienced, also if Ryan loses she might too) would become MinLeader, but knowing the Republican Party it'd be someone like Kevin Brady

[Crumpets]

I love the dog-whistling in that chart contrasting tall dude WCW Bryce against shorty hipster millionaire beardy-suit Ryan.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hopefully this poll isn't junk.

[Kamala]

I love the dog-whistling in that chart contrasting tall dude WCW Bryce against shorty hipster millionaire beardy-suit Ryan.

GLORIOUS PROLETARIAT Randy will absolutely CRUSH the YUPPIE-KING Paul.

[KingSweden]

Who can resist the mustache of Randy Bryce? That is John Gregg-level (almost)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Who can resist the mustache of Randy Bryce? That is John Gregg-level (almost)

Indiana resisted Gregg twice.

[mcmikk]

Let's not get too ahead of ourselves. There's still way too many undecideds to give us a good idea of what's going on. Sure, it's 42-37, but if Bryce stays at 37% and Ryan wins the majority of the undecideds, well then he won't be in such "big trouble" anymore. I'd love to see Ryan gone, but this race is Likely R imo.